| Literature DB >> 34228387 |
Emily Shiel1, Spiros Miyakis2, Elaine Tennant3, Shelanah Fernando3, Alice Kizny-Gordon4, Bryant Koh4, Michael Findlay1, Katherine Garnham4, Shravya Pilli1, Hayden Segboer1, Jo Tallon5, Joanna Kao6, Anne Miller6, Tim Shore6, Richard Maher6, Mark Telford7, Kate Barclay8, Ben Harris9, James Newcombe10, Bernie Hudson10, Mel Figtree10.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The Northern Sydney Local Health District was one of the first health regions to be affected by COVID-19 in Australia. AIMS: To describe the clinical characteristics, risk factors and outcomes in our low-prevalence Australian population.Entities:
Keywords: Australia; COVID-19; Virtual Hospital risk stratification; low-prevalence
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34228387 PMCID: PMC8447053 DOI: 10.1111/imj.15445
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Intern Med J ISSN: 1444-0903 Impact factor: 2.611
Epidemiology
| Characteristic | Patient cohort ( |
|---|---|
| Age (years) | |
| Median (interquartile range) | 47.8 (31–62) |
| Distribution, no./total no. (%) | |
| 0–14 | 11/517 (2.2) |
| 15–29 | 109/517 (21.1) |
| 30–44 | 98/517 (19) |
| 45–59 | 140/517 (27.1) |
| 60–74 | 110/517 (21.3) |
| ≥75 | 49/517 (9.5) |
| Female sex, no./total no. (%) | 258/517 (49.9) |
| Current smoker, no./total no. (%) | 21/517 (4.1) |
| Transmission source, no./total no. (%) | |
| International travel | 265/517 (51.3) |
| Cruise ship | 47/517 (9.1) |
| Community | 108/517 (20.9) |
| Close contact | 83/517 (16.1) |
| Casual contact | 22/517 (4.3) |
| Contact type not defined | 3/517 (0.6) |
| Nursing home acquired | |
| Resident | 10/517 (1.9) |
| Healthcare worker | 4/517 (0.8) |
| Nosocomial | |
| Patient | 5/517 (1) |
| Healthcare worker | 12/517 (2.3) |
| Family | 8/517 (1.5) |
| Unknown | 58/517 (11.2) |
| Median incubation period (days) | 5 |
| Healthcare worker, no./total no. (%) | 66/517 (12.8) |
Patient clinical features
| Characteristic | Patient cohort ( |
|---|---|
| Comorbidities, no./total no. (%) | |
| Hypertension | 81/517 (15.7) |
| Ischaemic heart disease | 24/517 (4.7) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 9/517 (1.7) |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 10/517 (1.9) |
| Asthma | 47/517 (9.1) |
| Other chronic lung disease | 15/517 (2.9) |
| Chronic renal disease | 7/517 (1.4) |
| Diabetes | 33/517 (6.4) |
| Immunodeficiency | 13/517 (2.5) |
| Malignancy | 16/517 (3.1) |
| Symptoms, no./total no. (%) | |
| Nasal congestion | 166/517 (32.1) |
| Anosmia | 188/517 (36.4) |
| Loss of taste | 177/517 (34.2) |
| Headache | 220/517 (42.6) |
| Cough | 313/517 (60.5) |
| Dry | 243/313 (77.6) |
| Wet | 70/313 (22.4) |
| Sputum production | 63/313 (20.1) |
| Fatigue | 307/517 (59.4) |
| Sore throat | 213/517 (41.2) |
| Shortness of breath | 159/517 (30.8) |
| Pleuritic chest pain | 56/517 (10.8) |
| Anorexia | 123/517 (23.8) |
| Nausea/vomiting | 74/517(14.3) |
| Diarrhoea | 103/517 (19.9) |
| Abdominal pain | 38/517 (7.4) |
| Myalgia or arthralgia | 191/517 (36.9) |
| Subjective fever | 254/517 (49.1) |
| Experienced worsening of symptoms in week 2 of symptoms | 74/517 (14.3) |
| Recorded temperature | |
| Temperature checked | 158/517 (30.6) |
| ≥37.5°C | 79/158 (50) |
| <37.5°C | 79/158 (50) |
| No temperature recorded | 359/517 (69.4) |
| Weight, no./total no. (%) | |
| Underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2) | 5/295 (1.7) |
| Healthy (BMI 18.5–24.9 kg/m2) | 151/295 (51.2) |
| Overweight (BMI 25–29.9 kg/m2) | 101/295 (34.2) |
| Obese (BMI ≥30 kg/m2) | 38/295 (12.9) |
| Weight not known | 222/517 (42.9) |
BMI, body mass index.
Adverse outcomes
| Event | Patient cohort, no./total no. (%) |
|---|---|
| Severity at diagnosis | |
| Asymptomatic | 11/517 (2.1) |
| Mild | 453/517 (87.6) |
| Moderate | 43/517 (8.3) |
| Severe | 10/517 (1.9) |
| Incomplete recovery at 30 days | 28/517 (5.5) |
| Death | 9/517 (1.8) |
| Persistent symptoms | 19/517 (3.7) |
| Complication | |
| Pulmonary embolism | 1/517 (0.2) |
| Transverse myelitis | 1/517 (0.2) |
| Brachial neuritis | 1/517 (0.2) |
| Renal dialysis | 1/517 (0.2) |
| Hospitalisation | 61/517 (11.8) |
| Intensive care admission | 11/517 (2.1) |
| Invasive ventilation | 7/517 (1.4) |
Risk factors for adverse patient outcomes
| Outcome | Death | Composite outcome death or ICU admission | Incomplete recovery at 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis ( | |||
| Age >80 years | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| ≥2 comorbidities | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Overweight or obese | 0.022 | 0.01 | 0.012 |
| Hypertension | 0.001 | <0.001 | 0.001 |
| Ischaemic heart disease | 0.006 | 0.039 | 0.006 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | <0.001 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
| COPD | NS | 0.039 | NS |
| Other chronic lung disease | 0.025 | NS | NS |
| Chronic renal disease | NS | 0.019 | NS |
| Diabetes | NS | 0.018 | NS |
| Malignancy | 0.002 | <0.001 | 0.045 |
| Multivariate analysis ( | |||
| Age >80 years | <0.001, 24.4 (4.1–144.8) | NS | 0.002, 5.6 (1.9–16.7) |
| ≥2 comorbidities | 0.004, 27.6 (2.9–258.9) | <0.001, 20.3 (5.2–79.8) | 0.002, 4.3 (1.7–11.1) |
Patient characteristics that were not significant on univariate analysis on any outcome were: asthma, current smoker and immunodeficiency.
CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ICU, intensive care unit; NS, not significant; RR, relative risk.
Standardised data collection form
| Patient number: | |||||||||||||||
| Investigator: | |||||||||||||||
| Demographics | |||||||||||||||
| Hospital/Location of testing | MRN | Suburb | DOB | Age at diagnosis | Sex | Acquisition | HCW (Yes/No) | Date of first contact with known source | |||||||
| Comorbiditiess (Yes/No) | |||||||||||||||
| Hypertension | IHD | Cerebrovascular disease | COPD | Asthma | Other CLD | Current smoker | CKD | Diabetes | Immunodeficiency | Malignancy | |||||
| Symptoms (Yes/No) | |||||||||||||||
| Symptom onset: | |||||||||||||||
| Incubation period: | |||||||||||||||
| Nasal congestion | Anosmia | Ageusia | Headache | Cough (dry/wet/none) | Sputum production | Fatigue | Shortness of breath | Pleuritic chest pain | Anorexia | Nausea and vomiting | Diarrhoea | Abdominal pain | Myalgia or arthralgia | Subjective fever | Week 2 deterioration SOB/cough |
| Observations | |||||||||||||||
| Presenting temperature | Highest temperature in first 24 h | Underweight (<18.5 kg/m2), healthy (18.5–24.9 kg/m2), overweight (25–29.9 kg/m2), obesity (≥30 kg/m2) | Patient BMI (either reported or measured) | ||||||||||||
| Testing | |||||||||||||||
| Date of test (–/–/–) | Difference between date of test and symptom onset | Any preceding that was negative (Yes/No) | |||||||||||||
| Radiology (Yes/No/Not done) | |||||||||||||||
| CXR ground glass opacity | CXR local patchy shadowing | CXR bilateral patchy shadowing | CXR interstitial abnormalities | CT ground glass opacity | CT local patchy shadowing | CT bilateral patchy shadowing | CT interstitial abnormalities | ||||||||
| Laboratory investigations | |||||||||||||||
| Lymphocyte count | Platelet count | CRP | LDH | AST | ALT | Bilirubin | Cr | CK | Troponin | PCT | D‐dimer | ||||
| Patient outcomes | |||||||||||||||
| Severity at diagnosis (mild/moderate/severe) | Hospital Admission required (Yes/No) | Days in hospital | Oxygen therapy (Yes/No) | COVID‐19 specific treatment (specify) | Adverse drug reaction? (Yes/No) | Details of ADR or reason for cessation | IV antibiotics (Yes/No, which antibiotic) | Glucocorticoids (Yes/No) | |||||||
| Patient outcomes | |||||||||||||||
| ICU requirement (Yes/No) | ICU days | Invasive ventilation (Yes/No) | ECMO (Yes/No) | Renal replacement therapy (Yes/No) | Secondary bacterial pneumonia (Yes/No) | Recovery at 30 days (Yes/No) | Death (Yes/No) | Days to death from symptom onset | |||||||
| Further comments: | |||||||||||||||
ALT alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; CK, creatinine kinase; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CLD, chronic liver disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; Cr, creatinine; CRP, C‐reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; CXR, chest X‐ray; ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; HCW, healthcare worker; ICU, intensive care unit; IHD, ischaemic heart disease; IV, intravenous; PCT, procalcitonin; SOB, shortness of breath.
Pathology findings
| Investigation | Patient cohort | Disease severity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mild/Moderate | Severe ( | ||
| Laboratory findings, no./total no. (%) | |||
| Lymphocyte count <1 × 109/L | 33/81 (40.7) | 27/71 (38) | 6/10 (60) |
| Platelet count <150 × 109/L | 19/81 (23.5) | 17/71 (23.9) | 2/10 (20) |
| CRP ≥10 mg/L | 55/80 (68.8) | 45/70 (64.3) | 10/10 (100) |
| LDH >250 U/L | 6/10 (60) | 4/8 (50) | 2/2 (100) |
| AST >35 U/L | 35/71 (49.3) | 27/62 (43.5) | 8/9 (88.9) |
| ALT >50 U/L | 16/73 (21.9) | 13/63 (20.6) | 3/10 (30) |
| Bilirubin >20 μmol/L | 3/73 (4.1) | 2/63 (3.2) | 1/10 (10) |
| Creatinine >110 μmol/L | 11/80 (13.8) | 9/71 (12.7) | 2/10 (20) |
| Creatinine kinase >250 U/L | 0/2 (0) | 0/2 (0) | 0/0 |
| Troponin >26 ng/L | 3/30 (10) | 2/26 (7.7) | 1/4 (25) |
| Procalcitonin >0.05 μg/L | 8/13 (61.5) | 6/9 (66.7) | 2/4 (50) |
| D‐dimer >0.50 mg/L | 23/26 (88.5) | 18/21 (85.7) | 5/5 (100) |
ALT, alanine transaminase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; CRP, C‐reactive protein; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase.