| Literature DB >> 34213428 |
Tao Guo1, Tao Xu2, Shengyu Zhang1, Yamin Lai1, Xi Wu1, Dongsheng Wu1, Yunlu Feng1, Qingwei Jiang1, Qiang Wang1, Jiaming Qian1, Aiming Yang1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The clinical presentation of focal autoimmune pancreatitis (FAIP) and together with radiological overlap can mimic pancreatic cancer (PC). The aim of this study is to construct and validate a prediction model for differentiating FAIP from PC according to EUS characteristics. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Ninety patients with FAIP and 196 patients with PC, who consecutively underwent EUS at our center from January 2013 to December 2018, were retrospectively included in the study. The enrolled patients were randomly divided into either a derivation sample or a validation sample. According to EUS characteristics, multivariate stepwise logistic regression and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analyses were used to construct a prediction model in derivation sample, and then, the efficacy was assessed in validation sample.Entities:
Keywords: EUS; autoimmune pancreatitis; pancreatic cancer; prediction model
Year: 2021 PMID: 34213428 PMCID: PMC8411560 DOI: 10.4103/EUS-D-20-00212
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Endosc Ultrasound ISSN: 2226-7190 Impact factor: 5.628
The definition criteria of EUS characteristics
| EUS characteristics | Definitions |
|---|---|
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | Reduced echogenicity involving>1/2 of pancreas (head/body, body/tail, or entire pancreas) |
| Focal hypoechogenicity | Reduced echogenicity involving≤1/2 of pancreas (head, body or tail) |
| Diffuse enlargement | Enlargement involving>1/2 of pancreas (head/body, body/tail or entire pancreas) |
| Focal enlargement | Enlargement involving≤1/2 of pancreas (head, body, or tail) |
| Peripancreatic hypoechoic margin | A capsule-like hypoechoic rim surrounding pancreas |
| Common bile duct dilation | Common bile duct diameter≥8 mm |
| Bile duct wall thickening | The hypoechoic intermediate layer of the bile duct is clearly thickened |
| Lymphadenopathy | Lymph node diameter≥8 mm with hypoechoic texture |
| Vessel involvement | Loss of interface between the pancreas and vessels of portal system |
Figure 1Flow diagram of the patient enrollment
Clinical characteristics of autoimmune pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer
| Clinical characteristics | AIP ( | PC ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years), median (range) | 59 (15–82) | 61.5 (36–88) | 0.0206 |
| Sex (male/female) | 174/43 | 107/90 | <0.0001 |
| Jaundice, | 133 (61.3) | 113 (57.4) | 0.4161 |
| Type of pancreatic form, | |||
| Diffuse enlargement | 127 (58.5) | 0 | - |
| Head/body | 0 | 0 | - |
| Body/tail | 12 (9.4) | 0 | - |
| Head/body/tail | 115 (90.6) | 0 | - |
| Focal enlargement or mass | 90 (41.5) | 197 (100) | - |
| Head | 90 (41.5) | 197 (100) | - |
| Body | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tail | 0 | 0 | — |
*t-test or Chi-square test. AIP: Autoimmune pancreatitis; PC: Pancreatic cancer
Comparison of characteristics between diffuse autoimmune pancreatitis and focal autoimmune pancreatitis
| Clinical and EUS characteristics | DAIP ( | FAIP ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years), median (range) | 59 (18–81) | 59 (15–82) | 0.8616 |
| Sex (male/female) | 100/27 | 74/16 | 0.5261 |
| Jaundice, | 68 (53.5) | 65 (72.2) | 0.0054 |
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | 125 (98.4) | 70 (77.8) | <0.0001 |
| Focal hypoechogenicity | 0 | 19 (21.1) | <0.0001 |
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 122 (96.1) | 85 (94.4) | 0.7445 |
| Lobularity | 35 (27.6) | 25 (27.8) | 0.9717 |
| Peripancreatic hypoechoic margin | 59 (46.5) | 30 (33.3) | 0.0528 |
| MPD dilation | 13 (10.2) | 23 (25.6) | 0.0028 |
| CBD dilation | 82 (64.6) | 69 (76.7) | 0.0563 |
| Bile duct wall thickening | 95 (74.8) | 73 (81.1) | 0.2735 |
| lymphadenopathy | 60 (47.2) | 47 (52.2) | 0.4699 |
| Vessel involvement | 24 (18.9) | 18 (20.0) | 0.8395 |
*t-test, Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. DAIP: Diffuse autoimmune pancreatitis; FAIP: Focal autoimmune pancreatitis; MPD: Main pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct
Characteristics of focal autoimmune pancreatitis patients in the derivation and validation samples
| Clinical and EUS characteristics of FAIP | Derivation sample ( | Validation sample ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years), median (range) | 59 (27–82) | 60 (15–79) | 0.5405 |
| Sex (male/female) | 38/7 | 36/9 | 0.5814 |
| Jaundice, | 35 (77.8) | 30 (66.7) | 0.2393 |
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | 37 (82.2) | 33 (73.3) | 0.3105 |
| Focal hypoechogenicity | 8 (17.8) | 11 (24.4) | 0.4384 |
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 41 (91.1) | 44 (97.8) | 0.3607 |
| Lobularity | 13 (28.9) | 12 (26.7) | 0.8139 |
| Peripancreatic hypoechoic margin | 17 (37.8) | 13 (28.9) | 0.3711 |
| MPD dilation | 8 (17.8) | 15 (33.3) | 0.0907 |
| CBD dilation | 31 (68.9) | 38 (84.4) | 0.0811 |
| Bile duct wall thickening | 38 (84.4) | 35 (77.8) | 0.4191 |
| lymphadenopathy | 24 (53.3) | 23 (51.1) | 0.8329 |
| Vessel involvement | 11 (24.4) | 7 (15.6) | 0.2918 |
*t-test, Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. FAIP: Focal autoimmune pancreatitis; MPD: Main pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct
Characteristics of pancreatic cancer patients in the derivation and validation samples
| Clinical and EUS characteristics of PC | Derivation sample ( | Validation sample ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years), median (range) | 63 (36–88) | 59.5 (36–80) | 0.1851 |
| Sex (male/female) | 55/44 | 52/46 | 0.7253 |
| Jaundice, | 60 (60.6) | 53 (54.1) | 0.3545 |
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | 2 (2.0) | 6 (6.1) | 0.1696 |
| Focal hypoechogenicity | 97 (98.0) | 92 (93.9) | 0.1696 |
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 23 (23.2) | 13 (13.3) | 0.0703 |
| Lobularity | 1 (1.0) | 0 | 1.0000 |
| Peripancreatic hypoechoic margin | 0 | 0 | — |
| MPD dilation | 78 (78.8) | 86 (87.8) | 0.0920 |
| CBD dilation | 68 (68.7) | 61 (62.2) | 0.3417 |
| Bile duct wall thickening | 19 (19.2) | 14 (14.3) | 0.3565 |
| lymphadenopathy | 43 (43.4) | 35 (35.7) | 0.2679 |
| Vessel involvement | 58 (58.6) | 56 (57.1) | 0.8375 |
*t-test, Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. PC: Pancreatic cancer; MPD: Main pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct
Comparison of characteristics between focal autoimmune pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer in the derivation sample
| Clinical and EUS characteristics | FAIP ( | PC ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years), median (range) | 59 (27–82) | 63 (36–88) | 0.0310 |
| Sex (male/female) | 38/7 | 55/44 | 0.0008 |
| Jaundice, | 35 (77.8) | 60 (60.6) | 0.0438 |
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | 37 (82.2) | 2 (2.0) | <0.0001 |
| Focal hypoechogenicity | 8 (17.8) | 97 (98.0) | <0.0001 |
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 41 (91.1) | 23 (23.2) | <0.0001 |
| Lobularity | 13 (28.9) | 1 (1.0) | <0.0001 |
| Peripancreatic hypoechoic margin | 17 (37.8) | 0 | <0.0001 |
| MPD dilation | 8 (17.8) | 78 (78.8) | <0.0001 |
| CBD dilation | 31 (68.9) | 68 (68.7) | 0.9807 |
| Bile duct wall thickening | 38 (84.4) | 19 (19.2) | <0.0001 |
| lymphadenopathy | 24 (53.3) | 43 (43.4) | 0.2697 |
| Vessel involvement | 11 (24.4) | 58 (58.6) | 0.0001 |
*t-test, Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. FAIP: Focal autoimmune pancreatitis; PC: Pancreatic cancer; MPD: Main pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct
Multivariate stepwise logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic analysis in derivation sample
| Predictors | OR | 95% CI | Weighted score (OR-1) | Area under ROC curve (95% CI) | Cutoff value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||
| With | Without | |||||
| Prediction model 1 | ||||||
| Diffuse hypoechogenicity | 347.0 | 36.8–>999.9 | 0 | 346.0 | 0.975 (0.959–0.990) | 350.5 |
| Bile duct wall thickening | 25.6 | 4.1–501.1 | 0 | 24.6 | ||
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 9.9 | 1.9–80.1 | 0 | 8.9 | ||
| Prediction model 2 | ||||||
| MPD dilation | 41.3 | 7.2–450.1 | 40.3 | 0 | 0.951 (0.929–0.974) | 543.3 |
| CBD dilation | 16.6 | 1.9–314.0 | 15.6 | 0 | ||
| Bile duct wall thickening | 516.3 | 39.6–>999.9 | 0 | 515.3 | ||
| Hyperechoic foci/strands | 44.6 | 7.9–456.2 | 0 | 43.6 | ||
†Exclude the variables of diffuse/focal hypoechogenicity. OR: Odds ratio; CI: Confidence interval; ROC: Receiver operating characteristic; MPD: Main pancreatic duct; CBD: Common bile duct
Efficacy of prediction model in validation sample
| Patients | Prediction model 1 | Prediction model 2† | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| |||
| Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | |
| FAIP | 91.8 (0.864–0.973) | 95.6 (0.849–0.995) | 83.7 (0.764–0.910) | 93.3 (0.817–0.986) |
| FAIP with jaundice | 87.5 (0.788–0.962) | 97.1 (0.851–0.999) | 78.6 (0.678–0.893) | 91.4 (0.769–0.982) |
| FAIP without jaundice | 97.6 (0.874–0.999) | 90.0 (0.555–0.998) | 90.5 (0.774–0.973) | 100 (0.692–1.000) |
†Exclude the variables of diffuse/focal hypoechogenicity. FAIP: Focal autoimmune pancreatitis; PC: Pancreatic cancer, CI: Confidence interval
Figure 2EUS characteristics of the patient with focal autoimmune pancreatitis. (a and b) EUS image showing a uniformly enlarged pancreatic head, which is characterized by hyperechoic foci/strands or lobularity (parenchymal heterogeneity) on the background of reduced echogenicity (long arrow) and a homogeneous, regular thickening of common bile duct wall (short arrow), which is characterized by a hyper-hypo-hyperechoic series of layers of the duct wall (sandwich type). (c) EUS image showing a nonenlarged pancreatic body and tail with parenchyma that presents with diffuse hypoechogenicity (arrow). (d) EUS image showing a profound thickening of common bile duct wall (arrow) that occupies the entire lumen with appearances of parenchymal echo (parenchymal-echo type)
Figure 3EUS characteristics of the patient with pancreatic cancer. (a) EUS image showing an irregular hypoechoic mass located in the pancreatic head and a dilated common bile duct which is suddenly interrupted by the mass (arrow). (b) EUS image showing an irregular hypoechoic lesion confined to pancreatic head and an asymmetric thickening of common bile duct wall (arrow). (c) EUS image showing a solitary hypoechoic mass in the pancreatic head with a discernable demarcation between the mass and surrounding parenchyma (wide arrow). (d) EUS image showing an isoechoic pancreatic body/tail (long arrow) and an ectatic main pancreatic duct (short arrow)