Gregorio P Milani1,2, Giovanni Casazza3, Antonio Corsello2, Paola Marchisio4,5, Alessia Rocchi1, Giulia Colombo2, Carlo Agostoni6,7, Giorgio Costantino2,8. 1. Pediatric Emergency Department, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy. 2. Department of Clinical Science and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy. 3. Dipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "L. Sacco", Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy. 4. Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy. 5. Pediatric Highly Intensive Care Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy. 6. Department of Clinical Science and Community Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy. carlo.agostoni@unimi.it. 7. Pediatric Intermediate Care Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Via della Commenda 9, 20122, Milan, Italy. carlo.agostoni@unimi.it. 8. Emergency Department, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A few studies have suggested that the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was present in Northern Italy several weeks before its official detection on February 21, 2020. On the other hand, no clinical data have been provided so far to support such hypothesis. We investigated clinical-epidemiological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among children and adults referring to emergency department (ED) in the main hospital of the center of Milan (Italy) before February 21, 2020. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of medical records of ED visits at the Fondazione Ca' Granda Policlinico, Milan between January 11 and February 15 in 2017, 2018, 2019 and in 2020 was performed. The number of subjects referring with fever, cough or dyspnea was compared between the studied period of 2020 and the previous 3 years, by calculating a standardized referral ratio (SRR, number of observed cases in 2020 divided by the number of expected cases according to 2017-2019) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: In the pediatric ED, 7709 (average 2570/year) and 2736 patients were visited during the period 2017-2019 and in the 2020, respectively. Among adults, 13,465 (average 4488/year) and 4787 were visited during the period 2017-2019 and in the 2020, respectively. The SRR was 1.16 (95% CI 1.10-1.23) in children and 1.25 (95% CI 1.16-1.35) in adults. The ratio for the two (children and adults) SRRs was 0.93 (0.84-1.02), suggesting a trend towards a higher frequency in adults compared to children. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that SARS-CoV-2 might have spread in Milan before February 21, 2020 with a minor trend among children.
BACKGROUND: A few studies have suggested that the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was present in Northern Italy several weeks before its official detection on February 21, 2020. On the other hand, no clinical data have been provided so far to support such hypothesis. We investigated clinical-epidemiological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection among children and adults referring to emergency department (ED) in the main hospital of the center of Milan (Italy) before February 21, 2020. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of medical records of ED visits at the Fondazione Ca' Granda Policlinico, Milan between January 11 and February 15 in 2017, 2018, 2019 and in 2020 was performed. The number of subjects referring with fever, cough or dyspnea was compared between the studied period of 2020 and the previous 3 years, by calculating a standardized referral ratio (SRR, number of observed cases in 2020 divided by the number of expected cases according to 2017-2019) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: In the pediatric ED, 7709 (average 2570/year) and 2736 patients were visited during the period 2017-2019 and in the 2020, respectively. Among adults, 13,465 (average 4488/year) and 4787 were visited during the period 2017-2019 and in the 2020, respectively. The SRR was 1.16 (95% CI 1.10-1.23) in children and 1.25 (95% CI 1.16-1.35) in adults. The ratio for the two (children and adults) SRRs was 0.93 (0.84-1.02), suggesting a trend towards a higher frequency in adults compared to children. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that SARS-CoV-2 might have spread in Milan before February 21, 2020 with a minor trend among children.
Authors: Philip Zachariah; Candace L Johnson; Katia C Halabi; Danielle Ahn; Anita I Sen; Avital Fischer; Sumeet L Banker; Mirna Giordano; Christina S Manice; Rebekah Diamond; Taylor B Sewell; Adam J Schweickert; John R Babineau; R Colin Carter; Daniel B Fenster; Jordan S Orange; Teresa A McCann; Steven G Kernie; Lisa Saiman Journal: JAMA Pediatr Date: 2020-10-05 Impact factor: 16.193
Authors: K Lingappan; H Karmouty-Quintana; J Davies; B Akkanti; M T Harting Journal: Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol Date: 2020-06-03 Impact factor: 5.464
Authors: Gregorio P Milani; Paola Marchisio; Alessia Rocchi; Giuseppe Bertolozzi; Ludovico Furlan; Adriano La Vecchia; Carlo Agostoni; Giorgio Costantino Journal: Ital J Pediatr Date: 2021-03-12 Impact factor: 2.638
Authors: Kevin J Downes; Lara A Danziger-Isakov; Melissa K Cousino; Michael Green; Marian G Michaels; William J Muller; Rachel C Orscheln; Tanvi S Sharma; Victoria A Statler; Rachel L Wattier; Monica I Ardura Journal: J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc Date: 2020-11-10 Impact factor: 3.164