CA19-9 Level to Serum γ-Glutamyltransferase as a Potential Prognostic Biomarker in Patients with Pancreatic Head Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to reduce the influence of biliary obstruction on carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level (CA19-9) by introducing the CA19-9 level to serum γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) ratio as an indicator, and ultimately to reveal the correlation between CA19-9/GGT and the prognosis of patients with pancreatic head carcinoma (PHC).
METHODS: A total of 339 enrolled patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for PHC in Beijing ChaoYang Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. The optimal cut-off value, according to which patients were divided into a low-ratio group (Group 1, n=179) and a high-ratio group (Group 2, n=160), was determined by the ROC curve obtained from preoperative CA19-9/GGT and 1-year survival. Through univariate and multivariate analyses, risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival were screened out among PHC patients.
RESULTS: The best cut-off value of CA19-9/GGT was 2.07 (area under the curve=0.567, 95% CI 0.498-0.636). Compared with Group 2, Group 1 had lower CA19-9, and higher GGT, total bilirubin (TB) and lymph-node metastasis rate (P<0.05). The 1-, 2- and 3-year disease-free survival rates of patients in Groups 1 and 2 were 68.2%, 42.5% and 28.2%, and 42.2%, 19.3% and 18.3%, respectively (P=0.000), and the 1-, 2- and 3-year overall survival rates were 79.1%, 50.7% and 29.1%, and 56.7%, 22.2% and 17.2%, respectively (P=0.000). Multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9/GGT, portal system invasion and lymph-node metastasis were independent risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival among patients with PHC.
CONCLUSION: Compared with CA19-9 level alone, CA19-9/GGT plays a more precise role in the evaluation of postoperative tumor recurrence and the long-term prognosis of PHC patients. The lower the ratio, the better the long-term prognosis. The CA19-9/GGT ratio may prove to be a useful biomarker for identifying PHC patients at high risk of early recurrence and unfavorable prognosis.

Introduction

Pancreatic carcinoma represents one of the commonest cancers of the digestive system. On account of its high malignancy and great tendency toward local vascular invasion and distant metastasis, its overall resection rate is less than 20% and its 5-year survival rate is less than 10%.1 Its morbidity rate is ranked fourteenth while its mortality rate is ranked sixth worldwide, according to the global cancer statistics in 2018.2 Currently, radical surgical resection remains the best treatment option for pancreatic carcinoma,3 thus emphasizing the importance of predicting the long-term prognosis of patients with pancreatic carcinoma before surgery so as to make optimal treatment decisions.

Abnormally elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels are seen in patients with malignant cancers, including pancreatic carcinoma, cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder carcinoma. It has been proven by extensive research that CA19-9 has a close correlation with diagnosis, prognosis and postoperative tumor recurrence in pancreatic carcinoma.4,5 However, CA19-9 can not only be found in tumor patients’ blood, but also be detected at a low concentration in healthy people, since the epithelium of the pancreas, bile duct, stomach and colon is able to synthesize CA19-9 as well.6,7 When biliary obstruction occurs, CA19-9 secreted by biliary epithelial cells cannot be excreted into the intestinal tract, while CA19-9 secreted by pancreatic epithelial cells may reflux back to the bile duct. Besides, biliary inflammation secondary to obstruction stimulates the hyperplasia of biliary epithelial cells, resulting in an increase in blood CA19-9 levels.8 Consequently, the sensitivity of CA19-9 as a marker is limited since its elevation can also be seen in some benign biliary obstructive diseases and biliary inflammatory diseases.9 For PHC patients, the CA19-9 level can also be affected if biliary obstruction caused by oncothlipsis or bile-duct invasion occurs, reducing its utility in predicting long-term prognosis.

γ-Glutamyltransferase (GGT), which is distributed widely in the human body and is primarily located on cell membranes, leads to various chronic metabolic disorders as a result of its key role in glutathione metabolism and its roles in pro-oxidation and pro-inflammatory procedures.10 Oxidation stress and inflammation are also pathways implicated in cancer development and progression, implying the close correlation between GGT and tumor occurrence. GGT may also be related to the long-term prognosis of cancers. According to research,11 a high level of serum GGT indicates poor long-term prognosis among patients with pancreatic carcinoma.

Our study aims to reduce the influence of biliary obstruction on CA19-9 level by introducing the CA19-9 level to serum GGT ratio as an indicator, and ultimately to reveal the correlation between CA19-9/GGT and the postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term prognosis of PHC patients.

Materials and Methods

Ethics Approval and Consent to Participate

The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013) and was approved by the Ethics Committee of Beijing Chaoyang Hospital (No. 2020-D.-309-2). The requirement for participants’ informed consent was exempted because of the retrospective study design, and the study design was approved by the appropriate ethics review board.

Patients and Clinicopathologic Factors

Patient Selection

Our study retrospectively analyzed the data of PHC patients who underwent surgical treatment in the Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreaticosplenic Surgery of Beijing ChaoYang Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019, and screened out 339 eligible patients for further analysis according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria (Figure 1). The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work, in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.

Figure 1

Screening flowchart.

Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria

Inclusion criteria: 1) PHC patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) from January 2010 to December 2019; 2) no restrictions were imposed on age and gender; 3) preoperative evaluation showed no distant metastasis; 4) patients underwent en bloc resection during surgery; 5) postoperative pathology confirmed the diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; and 6) clinical and follow-up information was complete.

Exclusion criteria: 1) unable to resect the tumor during surgery; 2) surgical rule violation; 3) postoperative pathology confirmed tumor histologic types other than conventional pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; and/or 4) lost to follow-up after surgery.

General Condition of Patients

A total of 339 patients met our inclusion criteria, including 192 males and 147 females. The ratio of males to females was 1.3:1 and their average age (mean±SD) was 63.0±10.1 years. Initial symptoms mainly included abdominal pain (n=146), jaundice (n=134) and atypical gastrointestinal symptoms (n=19), while the rest of the patients showed no symptoms and the disease was not detected until physical examination. A history of diabetes was noted in 117 patients (34.5%). Of the 134 patients with jaundice, 56 underwent preoperative jaundice-reducing treatment, including 19 patients who underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and 37 patients who underwent percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD) treatment.

Patient Grouping and Definition

The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was obtained based on the ratio of CA19-9/GGT and the 1-year survival rate, from which the optimal cut-off value of CA19-9/GGT was determined to be 2.07 [area under the curve (AUC)=0.567, 95% CI 0.498–0.636]. The sensitivity in predicting the 1-year survival condition of patients was 62.7%, while its specificity was 58.8% under this circumstance (Figure 2). Patients were divided into two groups, a low-ratio group (Group 1, CA19-9/GGT <2.07, n=179) and a high-ratio group (Group 2, CA19-9/GGT >2.07, n=160), according to the optimal cut-off value. The levels of serum CA19-9 and GGT were measured in the last blood sample before surgery. For patients who underwent jaundice reduction treatment, our center examined the levels of serum CA19-9 and GGT on the day of surgery separately.

Figure 2

Time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve. (The AUC of the CA19-9 to γ-glutamyltransferase ratio to predict the 1-year OS is 0.567.).

Follow-Up Strategy

Our follow-up finished in June 2020 and the median follow-up period was 51 months. The perioperative information and postoperative recovery condition of enrolled patients were obtained from medical records and were compared between different groups. We scheduled follow-up for the first and the third months within the first 3 months. Then we arranged follow-up every 3 months within the first 2 years after the operation and every 6 months after 2 years. Tumor recurrence and death of patients indicated the endpoints of follow-up visits. Blood tests (routine blood tests, blood biochemistry, CA19-9), imaging examinations (abdominal enhanced CT, pulmonary CT), follow-up treatments, tumor recurrence and survival conditions were included.

Statistical Analysis

Measurement data fitting a normal distribution were expressed as mean ± standard deviation while data fitting a non-normal distribution were expressed as median (interquartile range). The t-test was adopted for the normal distribution and the rank-sum test was used for the non-normal distribution when comparing measurement data between the two groups. The chi-squared test was used to compare the counting data between the two groups and Fisher’s exact probability method was used when the theoretical frequency was less than 1. Survival curves were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method and evaluated with the log-rank test. Statistical significance was defined as P<0.05 and all data were analyzed by SPSS 24.0 software.

Results

Perioperative Condition

The surgery went smoothly for all of the enrolled patients and the tumors were removed successfully, including in 122 patients in whom the tumor was combined with portal system invasion: 85 of these cases underwent allogenic vascular replacement, 25 cases underwent end-to-end anastomosis and the other 12 cases underwent direct suture after wedge resection of the invaded vessels. The intraoperative bleeding volume was 500 (400–800) mL and 120 patients (35.4%) received a blood transfusion during surgery. The mean operative time was 9.9±2.9 hours.

All patients’ diagnoses were confirmed by postoperative pathology as pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, including 23 cases (6.8%) of highly differentiated tumors, 229 cases (67.6%) of moderately differentiated tumors and 87 cases (25.7%) of poorly differentiated tumors. Lymph-node biopsies were positive in 222 cases (65.5%). The mean diameter of tumors was 3.8±1.7 cm. Radical resection (R0) was achieved in 314 cases (92.6%); besides, biopsies of the pancreatic incisal margin were positive in nine cases (2.7%), biopsies of the pancreatic circumferential margin were positive in nine cases (2.7%), biopsies of the pancreatic uncinate process incisal margin were positive in four cases (1.2%) and biopsies of the portal sulcus margin were positive in three cases (0.9%).

Postoperative Complications

Postoperative complications occurred in 95 patients, with a morbidity rate of 28.0%, including 29 cases (8.6%) of biochemical fistula, eight cases (2.4%) of level B pancreatic fistula and five cases (1.5%) of level C pancreatic fistula; abdominal infection occurred in 20 cases (5.9%) and delayed gastric emptying (DGE) in 17 (5.0%); and there were 10 cases (2.9%) of abdominal hemorrhage, six (1.8%) of biliary fistula, five (1.5%) of pulmonary infection, three (0.9%) of gastrointestinal hemorrhage, two (0.6%) of intestinal fistula, two (0.6%) of portal vein thrombosis and one case (0.3%) of pulmonary embolism. Three patients died perioperatively owing to a level C pancreatic fistula complicated by abdominal hemorrhage, and the perioperative mortality was 0.9%. The median postoperative hospital stay was 17 (14–22) days.

Survival Data and Recurrence

The follow-up period was up to June 2020, with a median follow-up period of 51 months, during which 191 (56.3%) of all included patients received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for one to eight cycles. The overall median disease-free survival (DFS) time was 15 months and the 1-, 2- and 3-year DFS rates were 56.0%, 31.8% and 23.2%, respectively (Figure 3A). The median overall survival (OS) time was 18 months and the OS rates 1 year, 2 years and 3 years after the operation were 68.6%, 37.5% and 23.3%, respectively (Figure 3B).

Figure 3

Long-term prognosis of patients with PHC. (A) Overall disease-free survival curve of patients; (B) overall survival curve of patients..

Comparison of Perioperative and Long-Term Prognostic Data in Different Groups

The general condition of patients in the different groups was compared and the results are shown in Table 1, from which it can be found that patients in Group 1 had a lower level of CA19-9 and higher levels of GGT, total bilirubin (TB) and lymph-node metastasis rate compared to Group 2 (P<0.05). The comparison of the main postoperative complications within different groups is shown in Table 2, which shows that there were no significant differences in postoperative mortality or the incidence of complications between the two groups (P>0.05).

Table 1

Demographic and Pathologic Findings in the Two Groups of Patients with PHC

Variables	Group 1 (n=179)	Group 2 (n=160)	P
Gender (M/F)	86/93	86/74	0.294
Age (years), mean ± SD	63.5±9.9	62.5±10.3	0.372
Diabetes (N/A)	54/125	63/97	0.075
PBD (N/A)	35/144	21/139	0.112
TB (μmol/L)	80.4 (17.6,175.0)	12.3 (9.3,40.5)	0.000
CA19-9 (U/mL)	59.8 (22.4,182.7)	693.1 (233.6,2005.2)	0.000
GGT (U/L)	513 (115,960)	28 (18,153)	0.000
Intraoperative blood loss (mL)	500 (400,800)	500 (400,800)	0.455
Blood transfusion (N/A)	60/119	60/100	0.444
Operative time (h), mean ± SEM	9.7±2.6	10.1±3.2	0.254
Tumor size (cm), mean ± SD	3.7±1.7	4.0±1.8	0.116
Degree of differentiation (poor/moderate–high)	48/131	39/121	0.608
Portal system invasion (N/A)	58/121	64/96	0.146
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (N/A	8/171	12/148	0.237
LN metastasis (±)	99/80	123/37	0.000
Resection margin (R0/R1)	166/13	148/12	0.933
Postoperative chemotherapy (N/A)	97/82	94/66	0.398
Chemotherapy period	2 (0,5)	2 (0,4)	0.635

Abbreviations: PBD, preoperative biliary drainage; TB, total bilirubin; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; GGT, γ-glutamyltransferase; LN, lymph node; R, resection margin.

Table 2

Morbidity and Mortality in the Two Groups

Variables	Group 1 (n=179)	Group 2 (n=160)	P
Postoperative hospital stay (days)	17 (14–24)	17 (13–22)	0.298
Perioperative mortality	2	1	0.922
Perioperative complications	51	44	0.839
Biochemical fistula	15	14	0.903
Pancreatic fistula
Level B	5	3	0.843
Level C	2	3	0.899
DGE	11	6	0.313
Abdominal infection	11	9	0.839
Abdominal hemorrhage	6	4	0.888

Abbreviation: DGE, delayed gastric emptying.

The median DFS of patients in Groups 1 and 2 was 19 and 11 months, respectively, and the 1-, 2- and 3-year DFS rates were 68.2%, 42.5% and 28.2%, and 42.2%, 19.3% and 18.3%, respectively (P=0.000) (Figure 4A). The median OS of patients in Groups 1 and 2 was 25 and 14 months, respectively, and the 1-, 2- and 3-year OS rates were 79.1%, 50.7% and 29.1%, and 56.7%, 22.2% and 17.2%, respectively (P=0.000) (Figure 4B).

Figure 4

Overall long-term prognosis between the two groups in patients with PHC. (A) Overall disease-free survival curve of the two groups of patients; (B) overall survival curve of the two groups of patients.

Risk Factors for Postoperative Tumor Recurrence in Patients with PHC

Postoperative tumor recurrence in PHC patients was defined as a dependent variable, while preoperative data, intraoperative data, pathologic data and postoperative data were defined as independent variables for univariate analysis; the results are shown in Table 3. It can be seen that the level of CA19-9, CA19-9/GGT, operative time, intraoperative blood loss, blood transfusion, degree of differentiation, tumor size, lymph-node metastasis and portal system invasion may be risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence in patients with PHC. Furthermore, we incorporated these variables into a Cox proportional hazard model for multivariate analysis, and the results are detailed in Table 4. It can be seen that CA19-9/GGT (RR=1.397, 95% CI 1.054–1.852), portal system invasion (RR=1.561, 95% CI 1.167–2.086) and lymph-node metastasis (RR=2.325, 95% CI 1.711–3.160) were independent risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence in PHC. Meanwhile, CA19-9/GGT ≤2.07, without portal system invasion or lymph-node metastasis, indicated a lower risk of postoperative tumor recurrence.

Table 3

Univariate Analysis of Risk Factors for PHC Recurrence

Variables	N	1-year OS (%)	3-year OS (%)	χ2	P
Gender				1.421	0.233
Male	172	53.3	21.9
Female	167	58.9	24.8
Age (years)				2.282	0.131
≤60	133	60.0	25.0
>60	206	53.3	22.0
Diabetes				3.122	0.077
Yes	117	50.3	17.6
No	222	59.1	26.5
PBD				1.848	0.174
Yes	56	56.2	32.8
No	283	56.0	21.6
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy				2.208	0.137
Yes	20	35.0	20.0
No	319	57.4	23.3
TB (μmol/L)				1.300	0.254
≤21	160	52.3	20.7
>21	179	59.2	25.5
GGT (U/L)				0.097	0.756
≤45	139	54.1	26.9
>45	200	57.3	21.4
CA19-9 (U/mL)				4.997	0.025
≤37	70	61.1	34.7
>37	269	54.6	20.4
CA19-9/GGT				16.071	0.000
≤2.07	179	68.2	28.2
>2.07	160	42.2	18.3
Operative time (h)				7.751	0.005
≤8	111	73.0	30.7
>8	228	47.4	19.3
Intraoperative blood loss (mL)				9.418	0.002
≤800	274	60.1	26.2
>800	65	39.1	10.3
Blood transfusion				16.757	0.000
Yes	120	37.0	15.8
No	219	66.4	27.3
Degree of differentiation				6.407	0.011
Poor	87	40.8	18.3
Moderate–high	252	61.3	24.8
Tumor size (cm)				6.646	0.010
≤4	242	61.0	25.6
>4	97	43.7	18.4
LN metastasis				42.160	0.000
Yes	222	45.9	13.2
No	117	75.5	42.1
Portal system invasion				16.234	0.000
Yes	122	38.4	17.7
No	217	65.6	26.4
Resection margin				3.612	0.057
R0	314	58.0	24.1
R1	25	32.0	16.0
Postoperative complications				0.593	0.441
Yes	95	59.7	23.6
No	244	54.6	22.6
Postoperative chemotherapy				0.018	0.893
Yes	191	57.2	21.2
No	148	54.6	25.2
Chemotheraputic cycles				0.082	0.775
≤2	211	55.5	22.6
>2	128	56.9	23.9

Abbreviations: OS, overall survival; PBD, preoperative biliary drainage; TB, total bilirubin; GGT, γ-glutamyltransferase; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; LN, lymph node; R, resection margin.

Table 4

Multivariate Analysis of Independent Risk Factors for PHC Recurrence

Variables	RR	95% CI	P
CA19-9	0.728	0.639–1.367	0.728
CA19-9/GGT	1.397	1.054–1.852	0.020
Operative time	1.197	0.873–1.641	0.264
Intraoperative blood loss	1.028	0.670–1.578	0.899
Blood transfusion	0.791	0.551–1.135	0.203
Degree of differentiation	1.312	0.986–1.746	0.062
Tumor size	1.281	0.964–1.702	0.088
LN metastasis	2.325	1.711–3.160	0.000
Portal system invasion	1.561	1.167–2.086	0.003

Abbreviations: CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; GGT, γ-glutamyltransferase; LN, lymph node.

Risk Factors for Postoperative Long-Term Survival in Patients with PHC

Postoperative long-term prognosis was defined as a dependent variable, while preoperative data, intraoperative data, pathologic data and postoperative data were defined as independent variables for univariate analysis, and the results are shown in Table 5 It can be seen that level of CA19-9, CA19-9/GGT, operative time, intraoperative blood loss, blood transfusion, degree of differentiation, tumor size, lymph-node metastasis, portal system invasion and condition of the incisal margins may be risk factors influencing long-term survival in patients with PHC. These 10 indicators were included in the Cox proportional hazard model for multivariate analysis, as detailed in Table 6. It can be seen that CA19-9/GGT (RR=1.526, 95% CI 1.143–2.038), portal system invasion (RR=1.621, 95% CI 1.214–2.166) and lymph-node metastasis (RR=2.389, 95% CI 1.753–3.256) were independent risk factors influencing postoperative long-term survival in patients with PHC. Patients with CA19-9/GGT ≤2.07, and no portal system invasion or lymph-node metastasis are indicated to have a better long-term prognosis.

Table 5

Univariate Analysis of Long-Term Survival in Patients with PHC

Variables	N	1-year OS (%)	3-year OS (%)	χ2	P
Gender				2.024	0.155
Male	172	68.8	22.7
Female	167	68.4	24.1
Age (years)				1.600	0.206
≤60	133	71.0	24.9
>60	206	67.0	21.7
Diabetes				3.053	0.081
Yes	117	61.4	19.9
No	222	72.4	25.0
PBD				1.012	0.314
Yes	56	68.8	30.8
No	283	68.5	22.1
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy				1.983	0.159
Yes	20	45.0	20.0
No	319	70.1	23.5
TB (μmol/L)				1.762	0.184
≤21	160	67.6	20.2
>21	179	69.5	26.2
GGT (U/L)				0.074	0.786
≤45	139	70.1	26.7
>45	200	67.7	21.6
CA19-9 (U/mL)				5.048	0.025
≤37	70	79.6	33.5
>37	269	65.8	20.8
CA19-9/GGT				20.612	0.000
≤2.07	179	79.1	29.1
>2.07	160	56.7	17.2
Operative time (h)				8.114	0.004
≤8	111	82.9	31.2
>8	228	61.4	19.4
Intraoperative blood loss (mL)				10.330	0.001
≤800	274	73.6	26.4
>800	65	47.7	9.7
Blood transfusion				17.971	0.000
Yes	120	50.9	15.4
No	219	78.2	27.8
Degree of differentiation				6.332	0.012
Poor	87	52.4	17.3
Moderate–high	252	74.2	25.4
Tumor size (cm)				6.717	0.010
≤4	242	73.1	26.1
>4	97	57.7	16.5
LN metastasis				43.748	0.000
Yes	222	61.5	13.1
No	117	81.9	42.8
Portal system invasion				19.010	0.000
Yes	122	49.8	16.7
No	217	78.7	27.0
Resection margin				4.128	0.042
R0	314	69.0	24.4
R1	25	64.0	16.0
Postoperative complication				0.003	0.954
Yes	95	72.5	22.9
No	244	67.0	23.3
Postoperative chemotherapy				0.343	0.558
Yes	191	68.6	21.5
No	148	68.5	24.6
Chemotheraputic cycles				0.069	0.793
≤2	211	68.6	23.6
>2	128	68.6	25.2

Abbreviations: OS, overall survival; PBD, preoperative biliary drainage; TB, total bilirubin; GGT, γ-glutamyltransferase; CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; LN, lymph node; R, resection margin.

Table 6

Multivariate Analysis of Long-Term Survival in Patients with PHC

Variables	RR	95% CI	P
CA19-9	0.887	0.599–1.314	0.550
CA19-9/GGT	1.526	1.143–2.038	0.004
Operative time	1.207	0.878–1.659	0.248
Intraoperative blood loss	1.070	0.698–1.641	0.756
Blood transfusion	0.792	0.549–1.140	0.209
Degree of differentiation	1.250	0.938–1.667	0.128
Tumor size	1.273	0.953–1.701	0.102
LN metastasis	2.389	1.753–3.256	0.000
Portal system invasion	1.621	1.214–2.166	0.001
Resection margin	1.053	0.649–1.709	0.834

Abbreviations: CA19-9, carbohydrate antigen 19-9; GGT, γ-glutamyltransferase; LN, lymph node.

Discussion

Early recurrence of PHC after surgical resection is the key reason for its poor long-term prognosis. Indicators including tumor size, degree of differentiation, lymph-node metastasis and vascular invasion have been reported to have a close relationship with postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term prognosis.12,13 However, these factors cannot be measured without postoperative pathology, limiting their clinical application value in predicting patients’ long-term prognosis before surgery. Thus, preoperative indicators, according to which doctors are able to evaluate the long-term prognosis of patients and make optimal treatment decisions, are badly needed in clinical practice.

CA19-9 remains one of the most valuable serum markers in diagnosing pancreatic carcinoma and predicting patients’ prognosis.21 O’Brien et al14 showed that at 95% specificity, CA19-9 (>37 U/mL) had a sensitivity of 68% up to 1 year and 53% up to 2 years before diagnosis, therefore concluding that CA19-9 can be applied to the early detection and diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma. Sugiura et al15 retrospectively analyzed 154 patients with pancreatic carcinoma who underwent PD before, finding that preoperative CA19-9 was an independent risk factor influencing the long-term prognosis of patients with pancreatic carcinoma, and patients with a low level of CA19-9 had a significantly longer median survival time compared to those with a high level of CA19-9 (31 vs 16 months). Through a systematic review of the literature, Boeck et al5 asserted that CA19-9 was an important serum marker in predicting prognosis and monitoring the disease condition among patients with pancreatic carcinoma, and that a decline in the CA19-9 concentration indicated a positive effect of treatment, to some degree.

Some scholars have also pointed out that despite having a sensitivity of more than 80% in the diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma, CA19-9 has a significantly lower accuracy in differentiating benign and malignant disease among patients with obstructive jaundice.16,17 Mann et al18 reviewed 164 patients with abnormally elevated CA19-9 levels. Through comparison, they found that the accuracy of CA19-9 in diagnosing malignant tumors was only 48.4% in patients with jaundice and the level of CA19-9 was proportional to the level of bilirubin. As a result of the particular location of tumor PHC, the tumor may oppress or invade the bile duct gradually as it grows, causing an unmatched increase in the concentration of CA19-9. In our study, up to 79.4% of patients with a CA19-9 level greater than 37 U/mL were diagnosed as having pancreatic carcinoma, and their prognosis was significantly worse than for those whose CA19-9 was less than 37 U/mL (P=0.025). However, multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9 was not an independent risk factor for prognosis. We attributed this phenomenon to the relatively high proportion of patients with biliary obstruction included in our research. Since the bile excretion disorder led to the abnormal increase in the overall concentration of CA19-9, it could not reflect the prognosis of patients authentically.

GGT is a kind of mitochondrial enzyme with sulfhydryl and it has been shown to be a cell-surface glycoprotein, which is widely distributed in substantial organs such as the liver, kidney and pancreas.19 GGT takes part in protein metabolism in the body by being involved in the metabolism of glutathione. It can be clinically applied to the diagnosis and prognosis of malignant tumors, renal diseases, cardiovascular diseases and metabolic syndromes.20,22–24 Serum GGT is mainly derived from the liver, primarily distributed in the liver cytoplasm and intrahepatic bile duct epithelium, and excreted by the biliary tract.25 When biliary obstruction occurs, GGT secreted by biliary epithelial cells and hepatic cells increases; meanwhile, poor bile excretion causes GGT to be absorbed into the bloodstream, leading to the abnormal increase in serum GGT level. Therefore, GGT can clinically be used in the differential diagnosis of biliary obstruction and is able to reflect the degree of biliary obstruction.

We introduced CA19-9/GGT as a novel indicator, which has not been reported before, so as to reduce the influence of biliary obstruction on CA19-9 levels. Although there is a significant correlation between CA19-9 and the diagnosis, prognosis and recurrence of pancreatic cancer, the synthesis of CA19-9 is not unique to pancreatic cancer cells; it may also be synthesized in the normal human pancreas, bile duct, stomach, colon and other epithelial cells. Therefore, an abnormal increase in CA19-9 level can also occur in patients with biliary obstruction, and this increase in CA19-9 can reach more than 20% in benign biliary obstructive diseases. Pancreatic head cancer often causes biliary obstruction owing to its anatomic location. In our study, the number of patients with biliary obstruction caused by pancreatic head cancer resulting in abnormally elevated bilirubin was 52.8%. In clinical practice, it is often observed that after dredging the biliary tract during treatment to reduce jaundice, the CA19-9 level of patients is greatly reduced even without surgery. Therefore, it is impossible to accurately judge the prognosis of patients based on CA19-9 alone, and our data also showed that CA19-9 was not an independent risk factor affecting the long-term prognosis of patients with PHC.

At present, there are no better preoperative indicators than CA19-9 to judge the long-term prognosis of patients with pancreatic head cancer. Therefore, we hope to correct CA19-9 through a new indicator, so that it can better guide and judge prognosis. In addition, the abnormal increase in CA19-9 is mainly related to biliary obstruction, and at present, the most sensitive indicator of biliary obstruction is GGT. Therefore, we have tried to eliminate the effect of biliary obstruction on CA19-9 by using a mathematical model, and the simplest one is the ratio between the two. The effect of biliary obstruction on CA19-9 can be eliminated by abnormally high GGT in the case of biliary obstruction, which can improve the ability of CA19-9 to judge the prognosis. Our study also confirmed that CA19-9/GGT was an independent risk factor for postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival: the lower the CA19-9/GGT level, the better the long-term prognosis. In addition, our research indicated that there was a correlation between CA19-9/GGT and lymph-node metastasis: the higher CA19-9/GGT level, the higher the rate of lymph-node metastasis. However, there was no correlation between CA19-9/GGT and tumor size or vessel invasion. Given that lymph-node metastasis had been proven to be an independent risk factor for postoperative long-term survival in patients with PHC, we assumed that CA19-9/GGT, similarly to lymph-node metastasis, reflected the aggressiveness and metastasis of the tumor to some degree, but had no association with the local enlargement or direct invasion.

Moreover, our study also indicated that portal system invasion was an independent risk factor for the long-term prognosis of PHC, which corresponded with the results of relevant studies worldwide.26,27 Ramacciato et al28 reviewed the data of 406 patients who underwent pancreatic carcinoma surgery in eight pancreatic surgery centers in Italy. Multivariate analysis confirmed that portal system invasion was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic carcinoma. The median survival time and 5-year survival rate among patients with portal system invasion were significantly worse than those without it (20 vs 33 months, 15.5% vs 31.7%). We attributed this to the higher tendency for hematogenous metastasis among tumors with portal vein invasion.

In terms of the limitations of our study, first, it was a single-center retrospective study. Second, we cannot ascertain the proportional relationship between the elevated CA19-9 and GGT, nor can we confirm whether CA19-9 will decrease with GGT proportionately after the biliary obstruction has been cleared. But, according to the current research, CA19-9/GGT may function better than CA19-9 in predicting postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival in patients with PHC. An exact proportional relationship between CA19-9 and GGT calculated by a mathematical model may be accessible in correcting CA19-9 in the near future, enabling clinicians to make better treatment decisions and to detect postoperative tumor recurrence.

Conclusion

In summary, CA19-9/GGT, which can be acquired easily before an operation, is more valuable in predicting the postoperative recurrence of PHC and evaluating the long-term prognosis of patients compared to CA19-9 alone, so that clinicians can make better treatment decisions and optimize the postoperative treatment plan based on the preoperative CA19-9/GGT.