| Literature DB >> 34184560 |
Qi Wang1, Lili Yuan1, Xianhui Ding1, Zhiming Zhou1.
Abstract
Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a fatal disease and has become a burden on the global health system. Recent studies have suggested that artificial intelligence (AI) could be used to make a diagnosis and predict venous thrombosis more accurately. Thus, we performed a meta-analysis to better evaluate the performance of AI in the prediction and diagnosis of venous thrombosis. PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE were used to identify relevant studies. Of the 741 studies, 12 met the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. Among them, 5 studies included a training set and test set, and 7 studies included only a training set. In the training set, the pooled sensitivity was 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.92), the pooled specificity was 0.95 (95% CI 0.89-0.97), and the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98). In the test set, the pooled sensitivity was 0.87 (95% CI 0.74-0.93), the pooled specificity was 0.96 (95% CI 0.79-0.99), and the area under the SROC curve was 0.98 (95% CI 0.97-0.99). The combined results remained significant in the subgroup analyzes, which included venous thrombosis type, AI type, model type (diagnosis/prediction), and whether the period was perioperative. In conclusion, AI may aid in the diagnosis and prediction of venous thrombosis, demonstrating high sensitivity, specificity and area under the SROC curve values. Thus, AI has important clinical value.Entities:
Keywords: artificial intelligence; diagnosis; prediction; venous thrombosis
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34184560 PMCID: PMC8246532 DOI: 10.1177/10760296211021162
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Appl Thromb Hemost ISSN: 1076-0296 Impact factor: 2.389
Figure 1.Flow diagram of the study selection for the meta-analysis of venous thromboembolism prediction and diagnosis using artificial intelligence.
Characteristics of the Included Studies.
| Author | Year | Data collection period | Study design | Total patients | Patients in training set | Patients in test set | Models | Types of patients | Types of venous thrombosis | Sensitivity | Specificity | Clinical information |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fei Y | 2017 | 2011.1-2015.12 | Retrospective | 171 | 171 | – | RBF ANN model | Acute pancreatitis | PVT | 0.74 (0.58-0.86) | 0.91 (0.85-0.95) | 11 indicators: age, sex, Hct, PT, FBG, D-dimer, [Ca2+], TG, AMY, APACHE II score, and Ranson score |
| FitzHenry F | 2013 | 1999-2006 | Prospective | 8186 | 4098 | 4088 | NLP | Postoperative complications | DVT and PE | 0.54 (0.43-0.64)** | 0.94 (0.93-0.95)** | Clinical notes of electronic health record |
| Gálvez JA | 2017 | 2015.7-2016.3 | Prospective | 3621 | 250 | 3371 | NLP | Children | DVT: Hospital-acquired | 0.97 (0.93-0.99) | 0.92 (0.86-0.96) | Pediatric diagnostic radiology reports |
| Kline JA | 2005 | 2001.1-2003.6 | Prospective | 4568 | 3145 | 1423 | Bayesian network | Emergency Department (ED) patients with suspected venous thromboembolism | PE/DVT | 0.95 (0.92-0.97) | 0.70(0.68-0.72) | 25 input variables* |
| Liu K | 2019 | 2005.1-2016.6 | Retrospective | 141 | 141 | – | LASSO-SVM 10-fold CV | NR | PVT: acute symptomatic | 0.96 (0.85-0.99) | – | 11 indicators# |
| McPeek Hinz | 2013 | NR | Retrospective | 11779 | 9504 | 2275 | NLP | Cases in a general academic medical center population | PE/DVT | 0.95 (0.93-0.97) | 1.00 (0.99-1.00) | Clinical notes and Problem List (PL): billing codes, laboratory results, radiographic reports, clinical notes and problem lists |
| Murff HJ | 2011 | 1999-2006 | Prospective | 2327 | 2327 | – | NLP | Postoperative complications | PE/DVT | 0.59 (0.44-0.72) | 0.91 (0.90-0.92) | Within a comprehensive electronic medical record |
| Patel MM | 1999 | 1997.10-1998.5 | Prospective | 53 | 53 | – | Neural network | Subjects at risk for PE | PE | – | 0.48 (0.29-0.68) | Volume-based capnogram (VBC) variables |
| Rochefort CM | 2014 | 2008-2012 | NR | 1751 | 1751 | – | Statistical NLP: SVM 10-fold CV | Patients with a suspected DVT/PE | DVT and PE | 0.80 (0.75-0.84)**0.79 (0.72-0.85)## | 0.98 (0.97-0.99)** | Narrative electronic health record data |
| Selby LV | 2018 | 2011-2014 | NR | 757 | 757 | – | NLP | Postoperative | DVT and PE | 0.85 (0.72-0.93)** | 0.95 (0.91-0.99)** | Radiology imaging |
| Tian Z | 2017 | 2008-2012 | NR | 4000 | 2788 | 1212 | NLP | NR | DVT and PE | 0.96 (0.94-0.97)** | 0.96 (0.95-0.97)** | Narrative radiology reports |
| Wang M | 2019 | NR | NR | 92 | 92 | – | SVM: RFA-PVST 5-fold CV | Splenectomy and cardia devascularization patients for liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension | PVT | 0.69 (0.79-0.92) | 0.95 (0.89-0.97) | 11 Clinical indexes |
Abbreviations: NR, not reported; NLP, natural language processing; RBF ANN, model, radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural network (ANN) model; PVT, portal vein thrombosis; VTE, venous thromboembolism; CV, cross-validation; RFA-PVST, risk factor analysis for PVST; Hct, red blood cell-specific volume; PT, prothrombin time; FBG, fasting blood glucose; [Ca2+], serum calcium concentration; TG, triglyceride; AMY, serum amylase (Somogyi method); APACHE II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II.
*25 input variables: age, pulse rate, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, pulse oximetry reading, temperature, sex, sudden onset of symptoms, cough, pleuritic chest pain, substernal chest pain, syncope, dyspnea, hemoptysis, unilateral leg swelling, asthma, COPD, active wheezing, current smoking status, recent surgery or trauma, immobility, cardiac disease, previous DVT or PE, malignancy, estrogen use, pregnancy or postpartum status.
#11 indicators: liver cirrhosis, D-dimer, splenomegaly, splenectomy, inherited thrombophilia, ascetic fluid, history of abdominal surgery, bloating, C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and abdominal tenderness.
**: Indicates DVT.
##: Indicates PE.
Figure 2.Summary of the risk of bias and applicability concerns. High, unclear and low risk of bias and applicability concerns are presented in red, yellow, and green colors, respectively.
Analysis Results of Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction and Diagnosis of Venous Thromboembolism in the Training Group and Test Group.
| Parameters | Training set | Test set |
|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity | 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.92) | 0.87 (95% CI 0.74-0.93) |
| Specificity | 0.95 (95% CI 0.89-0.97) | 0.96 (95% CI 0.79-0.99) |
| Positive likelihood ratio | 19.3 (95% CI 8.6-43.1) | 24.9 (95% CI 9.3-66.4) |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.12 (95% CI 0.07-0.20) | 0.08 (95% CI 0.04-0.18) |
| Diagnostic odds ratio | 162 (95% CI 56-473) | 311 (95% CI 78-1245) |
| Area under the SROC curve | 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98) | 0.98 (95% CI 0.97-0.99) |
Abbreviation: SROC, summary receiver operating characteristic.
Figure 3.Forest plots of the pooled sensitivity and specificity for the diagnostic performance of artificial intelligence in the prediction and diagnosis of venous thromboembolism in the training set. The values and horizontal lines indicate pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Weight values are obtained from random effects analysis.
Figure 4.SROC for the diagnostic performance of artificial intelligence in the prediction and diagnosis of venous thromboembolism in the training set. SROC indicates summary receiver operating characteristic.
Figure 5.Venous thromboembolism subgroup forest plots of the pooled sensitivity and specificity for the diagnostic performance of artificial intelligence in the training set. The values and horizontal lines indicate pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Weight values are obtained from random effects analysis.
Figure 6.Artificial intelligence model subgroup forest plots of the pooled sensitivity and specificity for the diagnostic performance for venous thromboembolism in the training set. The values and horizontal lines indicate pooled estimates with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Weight values are obtained from random effects analysis.