| Literature DB >> 34183339 |
Nerea Mourino1, Mónica Pérez-Ríos2,3, Maria Isolina Santiago-Pérez3, Bruce Lanphear4, Kimberly Yolton5, Joseph M Braun6.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Cotinine is the gold standard to estimate prevalence of secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS) exposure, and assay limit of detection (LOD) cut-points are typically used regardless of age. Our aim was to compare the concordance between mother-reported SHS exposure and serum cotinine categorising children as exposed with the assay LOD or age-specific cut-points.Entities:
Keywords: child protection; epidemiology; public health
Year: 2021 PMID: 34183339 PMCID: PMC8240561 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044829
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 2.692
Descriptive statistics of serum cotinine concentrations (ng/mL) at birth and at 12, 24, 36 and 48 months: N, range, quartiles and geometric mean with 95% CI
| N | Range | Quartiles | Geometric mean | ||||
| P25 | P50 | P75 | Mean | 95% CI | |||
| Newborn’s cotinine* | 280 | 0.00000–261.0 | 0.003 | 0.017 | 0.088 | 0.022 | 0.015 to 0.032 |
| Child’s cotinine* | |||||||
| 12 months | 270 | 0.00030–35.3 | 0.023 | 0.063 | 0.357 | 0.093 | 0.073 to 0.118 |
| 24 months | 197 | 0.00126–10.5 | 0.020 | 0.046 | 0.212 | 0.070 | 0.053 to 0.092 |
| 36 months | 196 | 0.00032–21.6 | 0.012 | 0.033 | 0.199 | 0.046 | 0.034 to 0.064 |
| 48 months | 150 | 0.00024–14.9 | 0.013 | 0.027 | 0.249 | 0.047 | 0.033 to 0.067 |
*Analysis is restricted to participants with both maternal-reported data and cotinine measures.
N, number of observations; P, percentile.
Figure 1Prevalence of SHS exposure among children is derived from maternal self-report (exposed/unexposed), depicted with a triangle, and also from serum cotinine concentrations, depicted with a square, applying assay LOD derived cut-point of 0.015 ng/mL (upper) and age-specific cut-points of 0.11 ng/mL at 12 months; 0.08 ng/mL at 24 months; 0.05 ng/mL at 36 months; and 0.04 ng/mL at 48 months (bottom). LOD, limit of detection; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; SHS, secondhand tobacco smoke.
Figure 2The box plots depict the distribution of serum cotinine concentrations (ng/mL), as logarithm, from neonatal umbilical cord (upper line=3 ng/mL and bottom line=0.015 ng/mL) and child at 12, 24, 36 and 48 months (line=0.015 ng/mL) depending on children’s SHS exposure reported by mothers (unexposed/exposed/mother smoker). If using the LOD derived cut-point of 0.015 ng/mL to distinguish between SHS exposure/non-exposure, all the children, including those from the non-exposure category, had serum cotinine concentrations comparable with SHS exposure. LOD, limit of detection; SHS, secondhand tobacco smoke.
AUC, new age-specific cut-points for each age (ng/mL) with its sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV
| 12 months | 24 months | 36 months | 48 months | |
| n | 270 | 197 | 196 | 150 |
| Exposed to SHS, n (%) | 72 (26.7) | 54 (27.4) | 51 (26.0) | 47 (31.3) |
| AUC (95% CI) | 0.80 (0.74 to 0.86) | 0.83 (0.76 to 0.90) | 0.84 (0.77 to 0.91) | 0.89 (0.82 to 0.95) |
| Cut-points (ng/mL)* | ||||
| Sensitivity (95% CI) | 72.20 (60.40 to 82.10) | 75.90 (62.40 to 86.50) | 74.50 (60.40 to 85.70) | 83.00 (69.20 to 92.40) |
| Specificity (95% CI) | 72.70 (66.00 to 78.80) | 76.20 (68.40 to 82.90) | 74.50 (66.60 to 81.40) | 82.50 (73.80 to 89.30) |
| PPV (95% CI) | 49.10 (39.20 to 59.00) | 54.70 (42.70 to 66.20) | 50.70 (38.90 to 62.40) | 68.40 (54.80 to 80.10) |
| NPV (95% CI) | 87.80 (81.80 to 92.40) | 89.30 (82.50 to 94.20) | 89.30 (82.30 to 94.20) | 91.40 (83.80 to 96.20) |
Estimations are accompanied by 95% CI.
*Age-specific cut-points (bold values) are those that maximised the AUC, that is to say, those that minimise the difference between sensitivity and specificity. These values were calculated with receiver operating characteristic curves and children’s SHS exposure reported by their mothers was considered the gold standard. Children’s serum cotinine concentrations above these cut-point values will reflect SHS exposure.
AUC, area under receiver operating characteristic curves; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; SHS, secondhand tobacco smoke.
Kappa concordance coefficient between maternal-reported SHS exposure (exposed/unexposed) and child’s serum cotinine concentrations accompanied with the percentage of agreement when using the assay LOD threshold and age-specific cut-points at 12, 24, 36 and 48 months of age
| 12 months | 24 months | 36 months | 48 months | |
| Assay LOD threshold* | ||||
| Agreement (%) | 38.52 | 42.13 | 49.49 | 54.00 |
| Kappa (95% CI) | 0.08 (0.04 to 0.13) | 0.12 (0.07 to 0.17) | 0.18 (0.10 to 0.25) | 0.22 (0.13 to 0.32) |
| Age-specific cut-points† | ||||
| Agreement (%) | 72.59 | 76.14 | 74.49 | 82.67 |
| Kappa (95% CI) | 0.39 (0.28 to 0.50) | 0.47 (0.34 to 0.59) | 0.43 (0.30 to 0.56) | 0.62 (0.49 to 0.75) |
*Assay LOD threshold to discriminate between children exposed and unexposed to SHS: 0.015 ng/mL.
†Age-specific cut-points (ng/mL) to discriminate between children exposed and unexposed to SHS calculated with receiver operating characteristic curves, 12 months: 0.11; 24 months: 0.08; 36 months: 0.05; 48 months: 0.04.
LOD, limit of detection; SHS, secondhand tobacco smoke.