Antoine Wackenthaler1, Sébastien Molière2,3, Thierry Artzner4,5, Baptiste Michard4, Maleka Schenck5, Pietro Addeo4, Camille Besch4, Philippe Bachellier4, Francis Schneider5,6, Francis Veillon1, François Faitot4,7. 1. Radiology Department, Hôpital de Hautepierre, Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. 2. Radiology Department, Hôpital de Hautepierre, Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. sebastien.moliere@chru-strasbourg.fr. 3. Institut de Génétique et de Biologie Moléculaire et Cellulaire, Illkirch, France. sebastien.moliere@chru-strasbourg.fr. 4. Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Endocrine and Liver Transplantation Department, Hôpital de Hautepierre, Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. 5. Medical Intensive Care Department, Hôpital de Hautepierre, Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. 6. Fédération de Médecine Translationnelle Strasbourg, Université de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. 7. Laboratoire ICube, INSERM UMR7357, Université de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify the prognostic value of pre-operative imaging to predict post-transplantation survival in critically ill cirrhotic patients with severe acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: Patients with grade 3 ACLF who underwent liver transplantation between January 2010 and January 2020 and with available contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomography (CT) performed less than 3 months before LT were retrospectively included (n = 82). Primary endpoint was 1-year mortality. Imaging parameters (sarcopenia, liver morphology and volumetry, and signs of portal hypertension) were screened and tested to build a prognostic score. RESULTS: In the multivariate analysis, three independent CT-derived prognostic factors were found: splenomegaly (p = 0.021; HR = 5.6 (1.29-24.1)), liver atrophy (p = 0.05; HR = 2.93 (1.01-10.64)), and vena cava diameter ratio (p < 0.0001; HR = 12.7 (3.4-92)). A simple prognostic score was proposed, based on the presence of splenomegaly (5 points), liver atrophy (5 points), and vena cava diameter ratio < 0.2 (12 points). A cutoff at 10 points distinguished a high-risk group (score > 10) from a low-risk group (score ≤ 10) with 1-year survival of 27% vs. 67% respectively (p < 0.001). It was found to be an independent predictive factor in association with the Transplantation for ACLF3 Model (TAM) score. CONCLUSION: Pre-transplantation contrast-enhanced abdominal CT has a significant impact on selection of patients in ACLF3 in order to predict 1-year survival after LT. KEY POINTS: • Splenomegaly, liver atrophy, and vena cava diameter ratio are independent CT-derived prognostic factors after transplantation for severe acute-on-chronic liver failure. • A simple CT-based prognostic score is an independent predictive factor, complementary to clinical and biological parameters. • The use of the CT-derived score allows stratification based on 1-year mortality for patients with otherwise uncertain prognosis with clinical and biological parameters alone.
OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to identify the prognostic value of pre-operative imaging to predict post-transplantation survival in critically ill cirrhotic patients with severe acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: Patients with grade 3 ACLF who underwent liver transplantation between January 2010 and January 2020 and with available contrast-enhanced abdominal computed tomography (CT) performed less than 3 months before LT were retrospectively included (n = 82). Primary endpoint was 1-year mortality. Imaging parameters (sarcopenia, liver morphology and volumetry, and signs of portal hypertension) were screened and tested to build a prognostic score. RESULTS: In the multivariate analysis, three independent CT-derived prognostic factors were found: splenomegaly (p = 0.021; HR = 5.6 (1.29-24.1)), liver atrophy (p = 0.05; HR = 2.93 (1.01-10.64)), and vena cava diameter ratio (p < 0.0001; HR = 12.7 (3.4-92)). A simple prognostic score was proposed, based on the presence of splenomegaly (5 points), liver atrophy (5 points), and vena cava diameter ratio < 0.2 (12 points). A cutoff at 10 points distinguished a high-risk group (score > 10) from a low-risk group (score ≤ 10) with 1-year survival of 27% vs. 67% respectively (p < 0.001). It was found to be an independent predictive factor in association with the Transplantation for ACLF3 Model (TAM) score. CONCLUSION: Pre-transplantation contrast-enhanced abdominal CT has a significant impact on selection of patients in ACLF3 in order to predict 1-year survival after LT. KEY POINTS: • Splenomegaly, liver atrophy, and vena cava diameter ratio are independent CT-derived prognostic factors after transplantation for severe acute-on-chronic liver failure. • A simple CT-based prognostic score is an independent predictive factor, complementary to clinical and biological parameters. • The use of the CT-derived score allows stratification based on 1-year mortality for patients with otherwise uncertain prognosis with clinical and biological parameters alone.