Literature DB >> 34172572

Evolved attitudes to risk and the demand for equity.

Arthur J Robson1, H Allen Orr2.   

Abstract

The equity premium puzzle refers to the observation that people invest far less in the stock market than is implied by measures of their risk aversion in other contexts. Here, we argue that light on this puzzle can be shed by the hypothesis that human risk attitudes were at least partly shaped by our evolutionary history. In particular, a simple evolutionary model shows that natural selection will, over the long haul, favor a greater aversion to aggregate than to idiosyncratic risk. We apply this model-via both a static model of portfolio choice and a dynamic model that allows for intertemporal tradeoffs-to show that an aversion to aggregate risk that is derived from biology may help explain the equity premium puzzle. The type of investor favored in our model would indeed invest less in equities than other common observations of risk-taking behavior from outside the stock market would imply, while engaging in reasonable tradeoffs over time.

Entities:  

Keywords:  aggregate risk; attitudes toward risk; equity premium puzzle; idiosyncratic risk; risk-free rate puzzle

Mesh:

Year:  2021        PMID: 34172572      PMCID: PMC8256047          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2015569118

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  5 in total

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Authors:  S A Frank
Journal:  J Evol Biol       Date:  2011-09-21       Impact factor: 2.411

3.  The origin of risk aversion.

Authors:  Ruixun Zhang; Thomas J Brennan; Andrew W Lo
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2014-12-01       Impact factor: 11.205

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Authors:  R C Lewontin; D Cohen
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  1969-04       Impact factor: 11.205

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Authors:  W S Cooper; R H Kaplan
Journal:  J Theor Biol       Date:  1982-01-07       Impact factor: 2.691

  5 in total
  1 in total

1.  Introduction to PNAS special issue on evolutionary models of financial markets.

Authors:  Simon A Levin; Andrew W Lo
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2021-06-29       Impact factor: 11.205

  1 in total

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