| Literature DB >> 34117598 |
Rachel E Stein1, Katie E Corcoran2, Corey J Colyer2, Annette M Mackay2, Sara K Guthrie2.
Abstract
"Excess deaths" is a means to estimate the lethality of COVID-19 (directly and indirectly). Assessing "excess death" in closed religious communities provides information on how COVID-19 impacted these communities. We use obituary information published in an Amish/Mennonite newspaper to examine excess death among the Amish/Mennonites in 2020. Our results indicate the Amish/Mennonite excess death rates are similar to the national trends in the USA. The excess death rate for Amish/Mennonites spiked with a 125% increase in November 2020. The impact of COVID-19 on this closed religious community highlights the need to consider religion to stop the spread of COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: Amish; COVID-19; Closed religious groups; Excess death
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34117598 PMCID: PMC8195242 DOI: 10.1007/s10943-021-01307-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Relig Health ISSN: 0022-4197
Excess death and average age of death by month and year
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Baseline average 2015–2019 | Excess death (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 43 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 41 | 34.8 | 17.82 |
| February | 33 | 33 | 33 | 41 | 46 | 38 | 37.2 | 2.15 |
| March | 45 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 38 | 44 | 34.6 | 27.17 |
| April | 46 | 27 | 26 | 17 | 39 | 47 | 31.0 | 51.61 |
| May | 33 | 35 | 31 | 32 | 25 | 45 | 31.2 | 44.23 |
| June | 33 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 29 | 52 | 31.4 | 65.61 |
| July | 38 | 31 | 27 | 26 | 22 | 42 | 28.8 | 45.83 |
| August | 30 | 29 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27.6 | 5.07 |
| September | 16 | 24 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 42 | 24.8 | 69.35 |
| October | 29 | 30 | 27 | 43 | 30 | 60 | 31.8 | 88.68 |
| November | 32 | 38 | 39 | 34 | 26 | 76 | 33.8 | 124.85 |
| December | 28 | 24 | 30 | 27 | 39 | 39 | 29.6 | 31.76 |
Fig. 1Number of deaths by month and year
Overall and Ohio mortality sex ratio by month and year
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Baseline average 2015–2019 | % Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.05 | 1.62 | 1.06 | 0.72 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 1.02 | − 30.52 |
| February | 1.75 | 0.83 | 1.06 | 1.41 | 1.09 | 1.71 | 1.23 | 39.41 |
| March | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1.33 | 0.81 | 0.63 | 0.96 | − 34.07 |
| April | 1.00 | 1.08 | 0.63 | 1.13 | 0.70 | 1.14 | 0.90 | 25.63 |
| May | 0.94 | 0.84 | 1.38 | 0.60 | 0.79 | 1.50 | 0.91 | 64.70 |
| June | 0.83 | 1.14 | 1.54 | 0.68 | 1.07 | 2.25 | 1.05 | 113.46 |
| July | 1.24 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.90 | 47.78 |
| August | 0.36 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.64 | 1.42 | 1.05 | 35.42 |
| September | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 1.42 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 0.89 | − 30.54 |
| October | 1.90 | 1.14 | 0.93 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 1.61 | 1.28 | 26.12 |
| November | 1.67 | 1.38 | 0.95 | 1.43 | 0.63 | 1.45 | 1.21 | 20.06 |
| December | 1.55 | 1.18 | 1.50 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 0.77 | 1.24 | − 37.77 |
| January | 1.25 | 4.33 | 1.38 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.82 | 1.61 | − 49.33 |
| February | 2.40 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 1.63 | 0.92 | 1.57 | 1.27 | 23.32 |
| March | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.44 | 2.17 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.95 | − 10.56 |
| April | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 2.50 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 1.09 | − 7.90 |
| May | 0.80 | 0.73 | 2.00 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 1.70 | 0.92 | 84.59 |
| June | 0.54 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 1.11 | 89.58 |
| July | 1.00 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 15.98 |
| August | 0.13 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.14 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.26 | 19.50 |
| September | 0.50 | 1.14 | 0.85 | 1.67 | 0.60 | 1.09 | 0.95 | 14.70 |
| October | 1.14 | 1.57 | 0.73 | 0.80 | 0.89 | 1.56 | 1.03 | 52.28 |
| November | 1.63 | 1.29 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 0.75 | 1.58 | 1.18 | 34.20 |
| December | 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 1.06 | − 29.29 |
Ohio excess death and average age of death by month and year
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Baseline average 2015–2019 | Excess death (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 27 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 19.6 | 2.04 |
| February | 17 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 20.8 | − 13.46 |
| March | 22 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 17.6 | 36.36 |
| April | 27 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 16.4 | 34.15 |
| May | 18 | 26 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 27 | 18.6 | 45.16 |
| June | 20 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 31 | 16.8 | 84.52 |
| July | 24 | 23 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 24 | 17.8 | 34.83 |
| August | 17 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 13.6 | 10.29 |
| September | 6 | 15 | 24 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 15.4 | 49.35 |
| October | 15 | 18 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 41 | 19.2 | 113.54 |
| November | 21 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 49 | 17.8 | 175.28 |
| December | 19 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 25 | 21 | 17.4 | 20.69 |