| Literature DB >> 34109127 |
Yan Li1, Zhi-Qi Wu1, Qin Xu2, Hemant Goyal3, Hua-Guo Xu1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To develop and validate nomogram models for the preoperatively prediction of the histologic grade of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) to provide appropriate treatments.Entities:
Keywords: GEP-NETs; Serum NSE; diagnosis; grade; nomograms
Year: 2021 PMID: 34109127 PMCID: PMC8181758 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.681149
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Characteristics of participants in four groups.
| HC | Benign | Cancer | GEP-NETs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n=211) | (n=293) | (n=299) | (n=211) | ||
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 106(50.24%) | 165(56.31%) | 190(63.55%) | 106(50.24%) | |
| Female | 105(49.76%) | 128(43.69%) | 109(36.45%) | 105(49.76%) | |
| Age, y | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 54.43(12.53) | 55.72(15.58) | 62.7(10.92) | 54.36(12.64) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 55.00[20,81] | 56.00[17,97] | 64.00[30,84] | 56.00[17,81] | |
| AFP, ng/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 3.50(2.03) | 3.42(9.17) | 7.25(61.81) | 12.01(95.43) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 3.06[1.09,15.49] | 2.43[0.6,154.90] | 2.70[0.64,1056.00] | 2.40[0.71,1210.00] | |
| CEA, ng/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.32(1.49) | 2.26(2.69) | 11.01(30.47) | 8.53(69.20) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 2.05[0.37,13.28] | 1.79[0.2,37.53] | 3.15[0.62,340.8] | 2[0.41,1000] | |
| CA199, U/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 13.61(7.96) | 27.49(92.28) | 135.22(255.15) | 40.39(130.11) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 12.43[0.60,36.41] | 11.12[0.60,1000.00] | 24.38[0.60,1000.00] | 10.86[0.60,1000.00] | |
| CA724, U/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 3.14(3.54) | 3.39(17.70) | 6.59(21.33) | 4.52(20.97) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 2.00[0.31,30.40] | 1.21[0.26,300.00] | 2.02[0.30,300.00] | 1.56[0.20,300.00] | |
| Cyfra211, ng/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.29(1.01) | 1.7(0.95) | 2.88(2.05) | 2.77(5.38) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 2.03[0.79 6.30] | 1.54[0.41,6.78] | 2.46[0.67,23.67] | 1.90[0.40,58.89] | |
| NSE, ng/ml | |||||
| Mean (SD) | 12.22(1.82) | 14.25(4.36) | 16.17(5.98) | 29.89(55.25) | |
| Median [Min, Max] | 12.15[7.56,16.83] | 13.76[4.64,31.14] | 14.71[7.26,44.11] | 16.14[8.57,467.50] | |
Figure 1The distribution of serum NSE in different grades of GEP-NETs. (A) The serum NSE levels in G1, G2 and G3. (B) The serum NSE levels in G1 and G2/3. (C) The serum NSE levels in G1/2 and G3. (*p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01; ****p < 0.0001).
Characteristics of patients with GEP-NETs in the G1 group and G2/3 group.
| Characteristics | Training Dataset | Validation Dataset | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n=133) | (n=78) | |||||
| Grade1 | Grade2/3 | p | Grade1 | Grade2/3 | p | |
| (n=48) | (n=85) | (n=34) | (n=44) | |||
| Sex | 0.348 | 0.198 | ||||
| Female | 28 (58.33%) | 41(48.24%) | 19 (55.88%) | 17 (38.64%) | ||
| Male | 20 (41.67%) | 44(51.76%) | 15 (44.12%) | 27 (61.36%) | ||
| Age, y | 0.003 | 0.013 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 50. 27(11.43) | 55.93 (12.48) | 51.59 (13.20) | 57.93 (12.54) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 50.50 [24, 81] | 58.00 [21, 75] | 52.00[25, 79] | 61.50 [17, 75] | ||
| AFP, ng/ml | 0.046 | 0.484 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.55 (1.69) | 25.64 (149.83) | 2.78 (1.44) | 3.12 (2.12) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 2.20 [0.71,10.90] | 2.64 [0.88, 1210.00] | 2.50 [1.10, 8.40] | 2.70 [0.85, 13.16] | ||
| CEA, ng/ml | 0.195 | 0.122 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.07 (1.20) | 15.80 (108.29) | 2.15 (1.43) | 7.88 (17.64) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 1.85 [0.60, 6.41] | 2.00 [0.41, 1000.00] | 1.74 [0.61,6.09] | 2.24 [0.70, 89.42] | ||
| CA199,U/ml | 0.032 | 0.566 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 22.11 (62.17) | 30.91 (91.18) | 17.54 (23.78) | 92.30 (240.04) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 7.81 [0.60, 424.2] | 11.5[0.60,688.1] | 11.66 [0.60, 135.7] | 11.42 [0.600, 1000.00] | ||
| CA724,U/ml | 0.262 | 0.936 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.33 (2.72) | 3.49 (5.39) | 2.56 (2.66) | 10.39 (45.07) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 1.45 [0.20, 14.45] | 1.54 [0.45, 37.24] | 1.67 [0.60, 11.86] | 1.68 [0.25, 300.00] | ||
| Cyfra21.1, ng/ml | 0.049 | 0.386 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.38(2.60) | 2.41 (1.34) | 1.90 (0.75) | 4.55 (11.22) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 1.70 [0.75, 15.90] | 2.08 [0.51, 7.26] | 1.66 [0.70, 3.90] | 1.77 [0.40, 58.89] | ||
| NSE, ng/ml | <0.001 | 0.079 | ||||
| Normal | 15.27 (5.21) | 32.80 (53.75) | 16.98 (6.39) | 52.15 (91.22) | ||
| Abnormal | 13.97[9.20, 35.92] | 19.00 [8.57, 467.5] | 15.21 [11.4, 45.49] | 17.52 [9.20, 370.00] | ||
Figure 2Nomogram for preoperatively predicting of G2/3 risk and its predictive performance. (A) Nomogram to estimate the risk of G2/3 preoperatively in patients with GEP-NETs. The area under the ROC curve [training datset: (B) validation dataset: (C), the calibration curve (training datset: (D) validation dataset: (E)] and decision curve [trainingdata set: (F) validation dataset: (G)] of the nomogram.
Characteristics of patients with GEP-NETs in the G1/2 group and G3 group.
| Characteristics | Training Dataset | Validation Dataset | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n=141) | (n=70) | |||||
| Grade1/2 | Grade3 | p value | Grade1/2 | Grade3 | p value | |
| (n=48) | (n=85) | (n=34) | (n=44) | |||
| Sex | 0.212 | 0.180 | ||||
| Female | 58 (57.43%) | 15(37.50%) | 26 (48.15%) | 6 (37.50%) | ||
| Male | 43 (42.57%) | 25(62.50%) | 28 (51.85%) | 10 (62.50%) | ||
| Age, y | <0.001 | 0.002 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 53.34(13.03) | 62.08 (7.69) | 48.89 (11.08) | 60.00 (14.56) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 54.00 [21, 81] | 62.00 [46, 75] | 50.00 [23, 74] | 65.00 [17, 75] | ||
| AFP, ng/ml | 0.318 | 0.575 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 9.94 (68.37) | 32.97 (190.89) | 2.84 (2.04) | 3.61 (2.31) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 2.30 [0.71,689.7] | 2.32 [0.85, 1210] | 2.40 [0.75, 14.16] | 2.95 [1.3, 9.8] | ||
| CEA, ng/ml | 0.071 | 0.002 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.41 (1.77) | 34.93 (157.77) | 1.87 (1.16) | 3.74 (3.33) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 2 [0.41, 12.88] | 2.45 [0.41, 1000] | 1.46 [0.56,6.12] | 2.41 [1.2, 12.06] | ||
| CA199,U/ml | 0.312 | 0.144 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 25.91 (65.15) | 103.53 (255.2) | 10.72 (8.38) | 74.09 (150.71) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 11.83 [0.60, 492.30] | 10.97[0.60, 1000.] | 7.83 [0.60, 39.65] | 18.69 [0.90, 470.30] | ||
| CA724,U/ml | 0.788 | 0.505 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.51 (2.64) | 11.2 (47.12) | 3.43 (5.41) | 4.15(9.09) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 1.50 [0.20, 14.45] | 1.80 [0.45, 300.00] | 1.71 [0.20, 37.19] | 1.08 [0.5, 37.24] | ||
| Cyfra21.1, ng/ml | 0.077 | 0.055 | ||||
| Mean (SD) | 2.28(1.88) | 4.08 (7.80) | 1.86 (0.91) | 5.65(14.24) | ||
| Median [Min, Max] | 1.88 [0.76, 15.9] | 2.27 [0.51, 50.99] | 1.75 [0.40, 5.06] | 1.76 [0.72, 58.89] | ||
| NSE, ng/ml | <0.001 | 0.003 | ||||
| Normal | 17.67 (7.40) | 65.18 (108.36) | 16.75 (6.63) | 63.99 (74.58) | ||
| Abnormal | 15.63[8.57, 45.49] | 21.95 [9.40, 467.5] | 14.96 [8.82, 38.00] | 29.89 [10.6, 255.90] | ||
Figure 3Nomogram for preoperatively predicting of G3 risk and its predictive performance. (A), Nomogram to estimate the risk of G3 preoperatively in patients with GEP-NETs. The area under the ROC curve (training datset: (B); validation dataset: (C), the calibration curve (training datset: (D); validation dataset: (E) and decision curve [trainingdata set: (F); validation dataset: (G)] of the nomogram.