Qifeng Wang1,2, Bangrong Cao1, Lin Peng3, Wei Dai3, Yinchun Jiang3, Tianpeng Xie3, Qiang Fang3, Yi Wang2, Lei Wu2, Yongtao Han3, Jinyi Lang1,2, Kun Mi4. 1. Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. 2. Department of Radiation Oncology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institution, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. 3. Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institution, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. 4. Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. mikun@uestc.edu.cn.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to establish an effective and practical prognostic index for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) based on the coagulation factors. METHODS: The training cohort of 965 patients with ESCC was retrospectively collected at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from 2012 to 2014, along with clinical characteristics and follow-up information. Risk factors of coagulation status, including 11 blood parameters (platelet [PLT], mean platelet volume [MPV], platelet distribution width [PDW], plateletocrit [PCT], thrombin time [TT], prothrombin time [PT], international normalized ratio [INR], activated partial thromboplastin time [APTT], fibrinogen, D-dimer, and fibrinogen degradation product [FDP]), were studied by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and the Coagulation Index was established. The index was validated in a cohort of 848 patients with ESCC at the same institution, from 2015 to 2016. RESULTS: Three variables of PLT, MPV, and fibrinogen were identified by selecting features with coefficients in the LASSO algorithm, and a Coagulation Index was established as follows: Coagulation Index = 0.0005 × PLT (109/L) - 0.0384 × MPV (fL) + 0.1148 × fibrinogen (g/L). A higher Coagulation Index score was significantly associated with higher pT stage and pN stage (p < 0.05). With this prognostic index, patients could be stratified into three risk groups. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rates of the low-, middle- and high-risk groups in the training cohort were 63.5%, 55.5% and 43.1%, respectively (log-rank p < 0.001). Similarly, in the validation set, the respective 3-year OS for each risk group was significantly different across the three risk groups. Multivariate analysis indicated that the Coagulation Index remained a significant factor for predicting OS, independently of pathological TNM stage. CONCLUSIONS: The Coagulation Index is an independent predictor of survival for patients with ESCC.
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to establish an effective and practical prognostic index for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) based on the coagulation factors. METHODS: The training cohort of 965 patients with ESCC was retrospectively collected at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from 2012 to 2014, along with clinical characteristics and follow-up information. Risk factors of coagulation status, including 11 blood parameters (platelet [PLT], mean platelet volume [MPV], platelet distribution width [PDW], plateletocrit [PCT], thrombin time [TT], prothrombin time [PT], international normalized ratio [INR], activated partial thromboplastin time [APTT], fibrinogen, D-dimer, and fibrinogen degradation product [FDP]), were studied by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and the Coagulation Index was established. The index was validated in a cohort of 848 patients with ESCC at the same institution, from 2015 to 2016. RESULTS: Three variables of PLT, MPV, and fibrinogen were identified by selecting features with coefficients in the LASSO algorithm, and a Coagulation Index was established as follows: Coagulation Index = 0.0005 × PLT (109/L) - 0.0384 × MPV (fL) + 0.1148 × fibrinogen (g/L). A higher Coagulation Index score was significantly associated with higher pT stage and pN stage (p < 0.05). With this prognostic index, patients could be stratified into three risk groups. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rates of the low-, middle- and high-risk groups in the training cohort were 63.5%, 55.5% and 43.1%, respectively (log-rank p < 0.001). Similarly, in the validation set, the respective 3-year OS for each risk group was significantly different across the three risk groups. Multivariate analysis indicated that the Coagulation Index remained a significant factor for predicting OS, independently of pathological TNM stage. CONCLUSIONS: The Coagulation Index is an independent predictor of survival for patients with ESCC.