Juan C Pedemonte1, Haoqi Sun2, Esteban Franco-Garcia3, Carmen Zhou4, Marilyn Heng5, Sadeq A Quraishi6, Brandon Westover7, Oluwaseun Akeju8. 1. Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Boston, MA, USA; División de Anestesiología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. Electronic address: jcpedemo@gmail.com. 2. Department of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. 3. Department of Geriatric Medicine, Boston, MA, USA. 4. Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA. 5. Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Boston, MA, USA. 6. Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA. 7. Department of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Henry and Allison McCance Center for Brain Health, Boston, MA, USA; Clinical Data Animation Center (CDAC), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. 8. Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Boston, MA, USA; Henry and Allison McCance Center for Brain Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Frailty has been associated with increased incidence of postoperative delirium and mortality. We hypothesised that postoperative delirium mediates a clinically significant (≥1%) percentage of the effect of frailty on mortality in older orthopaedic trauma patients. METHODS: This was a single-centre, retrospective observational study including 558 adults 65 yr and older, who presented with an extremity fracture requiring hospitalisation without initial ICU admission. We used causal statistical inference methods to estimate the relationships between frailty, postoperative delirium, and mortality. RESULTS: In the cohort, 180-day mortality rate was 6.5% (36/558). Frail and prefrail patients comprised 23% and 39%, respectively, of the study cohort. Frailty was associated with increased 180 day mortality from 1.4% to 12.2% (11% difference; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.4-13.6), which translated statistically into an 88.7% (79.9-94.3%) direct effect and an 11.3% (5.7-20.1%) postoperative delirium mediated effect. Prefrailty was also associated with increased 180 day mortality from 1.4% to 4.4% (2.9% difference; 2.4-3.4), which was translated into a 92.5% (83.8-99.9%) direct effect and a 7.5% (0.1-16.2%) postoperative delirium mediated effect. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is associated with increased postoperative mortality, and delirium might mediate a clinically significant, but small percentage of this effect. Studies should assess whether, in patients with frailty, attempts to mitigate delirium might decrease postoperative mortality.
BACKGROUND: Frailty has been associated with increased incidence of postoperative delirium and mortality. We hypothesised that postoperative delirium mediates a clinically significant (≥1%) percentage of the effect of frailty on mortality in older orthopaedic trauma patients. METHODS: This was a single-centre, retrospective observational study including 558 adults 65 yr and older, who presented with an extremity fracture requiring hospitalisation without initial ICU admission. We used causal statistical inference methods to estimate the relationships between frailty, postoperative delirium, and mortality. RESULTS: In the cohort, 180-day mortality rate was 6.5% (36/558). Frail and prefrail patients comprised 23% and 39%, respectively, of the study cohort. Frailty was associated with increased 180 day mortality from 1.4% to 12.2% (11% difference; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.4-13.6), which translated statistically into an 88.7% (79.9-94.3%) direct effect and an 11.3% (5.7-20.1%) postoperative delirium mediated effect. Prefrailty was also associated with increased 180 day mortality from 1.4% to 4.4% (2.9% difference; 2.4-3.4), which was translated into a 92.5% (83.8-99.9%) direct effect and a 7.5% (0.1-16.2%) postoperative delirium mediated effect. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is associated with increased postoperative mortality, and delirium might mediate a clinically significant, but small percentage of this effect. Studies should assess whether, in patients with frailty, attempts to mitigate delirium might decrease postoperative mortality.
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