| Literature DB >> 34056876 |
Patrick N Bisimwa1,2, Michel Dione3,4, Bisimwa Basengere1, Ciza Arsène Mushagalusa1, Lucilla Steinaa3,4, Juliette Ongus5,6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: African swine fever (ASF) is an infectious viral disease of domestic pigs that presents as a hemorrhagic fever, and for which no effective vaccine is available. The disease has a serious negative social and economic impact on pig keepers. There is limited information on the potential risk factors responsible for the spread of ASF in South Kivu.Entities:
Keywords: African swine fever; diagnosis; domestic pigs; epidemiology; transmission
Year: 2021 PMID: 34056876 PMCID: PMC8170224 DOI: 10.4142/jvs.2021.22.e35
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Vet Sci ISSN: 1229-845X Impact factor: 1.672
Fig. 1Map of South Kivu province showing sampling districts and sites (blue dots) where African swine fever was identified (Drawn with ArcMap).
Pigs tested and found to be ASFV PCR-positive during farm surveillance in the selected districts of South Kivu province, DRC
| Pig origin district | PCR-positive | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Number tested | % | 95% CI | |
| Fizi | 7 | 11.5 | 4.06–20.8 |
| Kabare | 11 | 17 | 9.1–28.7 |
| Kalehe | 7 | 11 | 4.9–21.9 |
| Mwenga | 5 | 7.7 | 2.9–17.8 |
| Uvira | 22 | 31.9 | 21.5–44.3 |
| Walungu | 20 | 29.9 | 19.6–42.4 |
| Total | 72 | 18.4 | 14.5–22.4 |
ASFV, African swine fever virus; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; DCR, Democratic Republic of Congo; CI, confidence interval.
Univariable logistic regression analysis of potential risk factors associated with ASFV PCR positivity in sampled pig farms
| Variables | Category | OR (95% CI) | SE | Z-value | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Fizi | |||||
| Kabare | 1.87 (0.64–5.41) | 0.62 | 0.54 | 1.15 | 0.25 | |
| Kalehe | 1.13 (0.36–3.65) | 0.12 | 0.59 | 0.2 | 0.84 | |
| Mwenga | 0.7 (0.22–2.64) | −0.27 | 0.63 | −0.43 | 0.671 | |
| Uvira | 4.2 (1.61–11.47) | 1.46 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.004b | |
| Walungu | 3.9 (1.45–10.52) | 1.36 | 0.51 | 2.69 | 0.007b | |
| Age | Adult | |||||
| Young | 0.5 (0.18–1.52) | −0.66 | 0.55 | −1.12 | 0.23 | |
| Breed | Exotic (European) | |||||
| Local | 0.8 (0.46–1.55) | −0.17 | 0.31 | −0.56 | 0.57 | |
| Sex | Female | |||||
| Male | 0.4 (0.28–0.87) | −0.70 | 0.29 | −2.42 | 0.016c | |
| Breeding system | Free-range | |||||
| In pen | 0.4 (0.25–0.72) | −0.85 | 0.27 | −3.17 | 0.002b | |
| Origin of feed | Forages | |||||
| Market | 0.7 (0.21–2.64) | −0.30 | 0.65 | −0.46 | 0.64 | |
| Swill in pen | 3.8 (2.12–6.77) | 1.33 | 0.30 | 4.5 | < 0.001a | |
| Farm near pig slaughter slabs | No | |||||
| Yes | 1.3 (0.78–2.23) | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1.04 | 0.3 | |
| Shared working utensils with other pig farmers | No | |||||
| Yes | 3 (1.32–6.81) | 1.1 | 0.42 | 2.62 | 0.009b | |
| Restricted access for visitors | No | |||||
| Yes | 0.6 (0.23–2.00) | −0.39 | 0.55 | −0.71 | 0.47 | |
| Foot bath in farm | No | |||||
| Yes | 0.7 (0.16–3.40) | −0.30 | 0.78 | −0.38 | 0.70 | |
| Daily cleaning of working utensils | No | |||||
| Yes | 0.3 (0.04–2.41) | −1.16 | 1.04 | −1.12 | 0.26 | |
| Mixed pigs of different ages | No | |||||
| Yes | 3.3 (1.99–5.57) | 1.22 | 0.27 | 4.48 | < 0.001a | |
| Daily cleaning of pen floor | No | |||||
| Yes | 1.03 (0.33–3.06) | −0.00 | 0.57 | −0.00 | 0.99 | |
| Introduction of new animal to herd | No | |||||
| Yes | 5.4 (1.91–15.28) | 1.69 | 0.53 | 3.18 | 0.001b | |
| Farm near park | No | |||||
| Yes | 0.4 (0.22–1.13) | −0.71 | 0.42 | −1.66 | 0.09 |
ASFV, African swine fever virus; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; β, standardized regression coefficient; SE, standard error; OR, odds ratio.
aHighly significant; bVery significant; cSignificant.
Multivariable logistic regression of variables associated with ASFV infection on pig farms
| Variables | OR (95% CI) | SE | Z-value | Pr (>|z|) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District Kabare | 4.7 (1.26–18.25) | 1.57 | 0.68 | 2.3 | 0.022a |
| District Kalehe | 3.3 (0.79–14.38) | 1.21 | 0.74 | 1.64 | 0.101 |
| District Mwenga | 2.9 (0.63–14) | 1.08 | 0.79 | 1.37 | 0.171 |
| District Uvira | 6.1 (1.92–19.8) | 1.82 | 0.59 | 3.06 | 0.002b |
| District Walungu | 6.6 (1.91–22.89) | 1.89 | 0.63 | 2.98 | 0.003b |
| Sex male | 0.4 (0.22–0.83) | −0.85 | 0.34 | −2.5 | 0.013a |
| In-pen breeding system | 0.4 (0.2–1.07) | −0.77 | 0.43 | −1.8 | 0.071 |
| Food from market | 0.9 (0.23–3.88) | −0.05 | 0.72 | −0.07 | 0.946 |
| Food from swill in pen | 4.4 (2.58–8.67) | 1.49 | 0.34 | 4.38 | < 0.001a |
| Shared working utensils with other pigs | 2.1 (0.88–5.39) | 0.78 | 0.46 | 1.69 | 0.092 |
| Mixed pigs of different ages | 5.1 (2.67–10) | 1.64 | 0.34 | 4.87 | < 0.001a |
| Introduction of new animal | 4.8 (1.53–15.47) | 1.58 | 0.59 | 2.68 | 0.007b |
| (Intercept) | −5.82 | 0.96 | −6.06 | < 0.001a |
ASFV, African swine fever virus; β, standardized regression coefficient; SE, standard error; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
aHighly significant; bVery significant; cSignificant.