| Literature DB >> 34029207 |
Sarah Anne J Guagliardo1,2, Ernesto Ruiz-Tiben2, Donald R Hopkins2, Adam J Weiss2, Philippe Tchindebet Ouakou3, Hubert Zirimwabagabo2, Karmen Unterwegner2, Dillon Tindall2, Vitaliano A Cama1, Henry Bishop1, Sarah G H Sapp1, Sharon L Roy1.
Abstract
The total number of Guinea worm cases has been reduced by 99.9% since the mid-1980s when the eradication campaign began. Today, the greatest number of cases is reported from Chad. In this report, we use surveillance data collected by the Chad Guinea Worm Eradication Program to describe trends in human epidemiology. In total, 114 human cases were reported during the years 2010-2018, with highest rates of containment (i.e., water contamination prevented) in the years 2013, 2014, 2016, and 2017 (P < 0.0001). Approximately half of case-patients were female, and 65.8% of case-patients were aged 30 years or younger (mean: 26.4 years). About 34.2% of case-patients were farmers. Cases were distributed across many ethnicities, with a plurality of individuals being of the Sara Kaba ethnicity (21.3%). Most cases occurred between the end of June and the end of August and were clustered in the Chari Baguirmi (35.9%) and Moyen Chari regions (30.1%). Cases in the northern Chari River area peaked in April and in August, with no clear temporal pattern in the southern Chari River area. History of travel within Chad was reported in 7.0% of cases, and male case-patients (12.5%) were more likely than female case-patients (1.7%) to have reported a history of travel (P = 0.03). Our findings confirm that human Guinea worm is geographically disperse and rare. Although the proportion of case-patients with travel history is relatively small, this finding highlights the challenge of surveillance in mobile populations in the final stages of the global eradication campaign.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34029207 PMCID: PMC8274751 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1525
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Trop Med Hyg ISSN: 0002-9637 Impact factor: 2.345
Figure 1.(A) Number of Guinea worm cases by year and (B) number of Guinea worm cases by village (B), Chad, 2010–2018. Most human cases detected during the period of interest are distributed along the Chari River, which spans from Lake Chad to the southeastern border. The dark red line distinguishes the northern Chari area and the southern Chari area. This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.
Proportion of cases contained by year, 2010–2018
| Year | n (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 10 | 0 (0) | |
| 2011 | 10 | 0 (0) | |
| 2012 | 10 | 4 (40) | |
| 2013 | 14 | 8 (57.1) | |
| 2014 | 13 | 8 (61.5) | |
| 2015 | 9 | 0 (0) | |
| 2016 | 16 | 9 (56.3) | |
| 2017 | 15 | 9 (60) | |
| 2018 | 17 | 7 (41.2) | |
| All years | 114 | 45 (39.5) |
Fisher’s exact test.
Bold indicates statistical significance (P < 0.05).
Reasons for unsuccessful worm containment
| Reason for unsuccessful containment | Total observations | |
|---|---|---|
| Case possibly contaminated water | 134 | 40 (29.9) |
| Late reporting of lesion | 107 | 30 (28.0) |
| Late or irregular bandaging of a lesion | 107 | 12 (11.2) |
| Worm not confirmed by a supervisor | 107 | 9 (8.4) |
Variable collected 2010–2018.
More than 24 hours after emergence.
Variable collected 2014–2018.
Worm was not confirmed by a supervisor within the required timeframe. All worms were later laboratory confirmed to be Dracunculus medinensis.
Characteristics of case-patients, 2012–2018
| Characteristic | |
|---|---|
| Sex | |
| Female | 58 (50.9) |
| Male | 56 (49.1) |
| Age (years) | |
| ≤ 15 | 46 (40.4) |
| 16–30 | 29 (25.4) |
| 31–45 | 21 (18.4) |
| 45–60 | 12 (10.5) |
| > 60 | 6 (5.3) |
| Ethnicity | |
| Sara group | 38 (40.4) |
| Massa/Mousseye/Mousgoume | 15 (16.0) |
| Arab/Rachid | 13 (13.8) |
| Baguirmi/Barma | 4 (4.3) |
| Gabri/Kabalalye/Nangtchere/Soumraye | 4 (4.3) |
| Other | 20 (21.3) |
| Missing | 20 |
| Travel history | |
| Yes | 8 (7.0) |
| No | 106 (93.0) |
Ethnic categories adopted from the most recent Demographic Health Survey (2014).
The Sara group encompasses many sub-ethnicities, including Sara Kaba, Sara Madjigay, Sara Mousgoum, Sara Kaba Rodjo, Goulaye, Mbaye, Mberi, Mouroum, Ngambaye, and Ngor.
Other ethnicities reported included Rounga (N = 3), Kibet (N = 2), Loua (N = 2), Boa (N = 1), Briguite (Abdeya) (N = 1), Foulata (N = 1), Laka (N = 1), Mboulou (N = 1), Ndam (N = 1), Rouga (N = 1), Boulala (N = 2), Dadjo (N = 1), Hemat (N = 1), Mongo (N = 2).
Occupations of Patients Infected with Dracunculus medinensis in Chad, 2010–2018
| Occupation | |
|---|---|
| Farmer only | 25 (21.9) |
| Housewife only | 24 (21.1) |
| Child | 21 (18.4) |
| Student only | 17 (14.9) |
| Farmer + fisherman | 9 (7.9) |
| Fisherman only | 6 (5.3) |
| Farmer + another profession | 5 (4.4) |
| Merchant only | 3 (3.5) |
| Other occupation | 4 (2.6) |
| Total patients | 114 (100) |
Questioning related to occupations is collected in an open-ended manner, and the categories below directly correspond with answers provided by Guinea worm case-patients. If a Guinea worm case-patient indicated that they were a farmer, then that person was counted in the “Farmer only” category. If a case-patient listed “Farmer and fisherman” as their occupation, then that individual was counted in the “Farmer + fisherman” category.
One person included in the farmer + fisherman group also listed herding as an occupation.
Includes farmer/trader (1), farmer/housewife (1), farmer/student (3).
Other occupations include a nomadic herder (1), mason (1), butcher (1), and potter (1).
Guinea worm case-patients with a history of travel
| Case-patient | Year | Age (years) | Sex | Ethnicity | Occupation | No. of worms | Containment status | Village of detection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2010 | 4 | Female | Unknown | Child | 1 | Unknown | Moulkou |
| 2 | 2011 | 38 | Male | Unknown | Nomadic herder | 1 | Unknown | Moto |
| 3 | 2012 | 24 | Male | Gabri | Farmer | 2 | Unknown | Bouram Foulbé |
| 4 | 2012 | 57 | Male | Boulala | Fisherman | 1 | Unknown | Hilélé |
| 5 | 2014 | 20 | Male | Rouga | Butcher | 1 | Not contained | Am-Bissirigne |
| 6 | 2014 | 11 | Male | Massa | Child/ student | 1 | Contained | Bongor |
| 7 | 2014 | 40 | Male | Mongo | Mason | 2 | Not contained | Kalam Kalam |
| 8 | 2015 | 18 | Male | Arabe | Farmer | 1 | Not contained | Ferick Tchaguine |
Figure 3.Numbers of Guinea worms and human cases detected by month and year, Chad, 2010–2018. Human Guinea worm cases (and worms) occurred during all months throughout 2010–2018, with most cases occurring between the end of June and the end of August. This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.
Figure 2.(A) Ethnicities and (B) occupations of Guinea worm case-patients, Chad, 2010–2018. The Sara ethnic group was distributed along the Chari River and concentrated in the south. Expectedly, fishermen were located near rivers. This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.