| Literature DB >> 34013062 |
Anuchit Suksamai1, Amnart Chaiprasert2, Sakkarin Chirapongsathorn1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Cystatin C (Cys) is not affected by age, sex, and muscle mass. We evaluated to compare the predictive performance of serum Cys level and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and developed a new model to predict 90-day mortality among patients admitted with cirrhosis complications.Entities:
Keywords: 90‐day mortality; biomarker; chronic liver disease; cirrhosis; creatinine; cystatin C; liver failure; model; model for end‐stage liver disease score; survival
Year: 2021 PMID: 34013062 PMCID: PMC8114990 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12543
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JGH Open ISSN: 2397-9070
Figure 1Protocol of study.
Characteristic demographic data
| Variables | Alive ( | Death ( |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 58 ± 12.73 | 63 ± 12.56 | 0.094 |
| Male | 27 (71) | 21 (77) | 0.582 |
| Etiology | |||
| Alcohol | 25 (65.7) | 17 (63) | 0.510 |
| Hepatitis B virus | 8 (21) | 9 (33.3) | 0.391 |
| Hepatitis C virus | 3 (7.9) | 2 (7.4) | 0.661 |
| Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis | 2 (5.2) | 2 (7.4) | 0.555 |
| Autoimmune hepatitis | 1 (2.6) | 0 | 0.585 |
| Child‐Pugh score | 9 (7, 10) | 10 (8, 12) | 0.841 |
| CTP A | 2 (3.1) | 1 (1.5) | 0.333 |
| CTP B | 18 (27.7) | 11 (16.9) | 0.379 |
| CTP C | 18 (27.7) | 15 (23.1) | 0.454 |
| MELD score | 17.5 (13, 23.25) | 20 (15, 27) | 0.133 |
| MELD‐Na score | 21.5 (17–26.25) | 22 (17, 32) | 0.349 |
| Underlying disease | |||
| Diabetes | 20 (52.6%) | 9 (33.3%) | 0.123 |
| Hypertension | 16 (42.1%) | 9 (33.3%) | 0.474 |
| Dyslipidemia | 11 (28.9%) | 5 (18.5%) | 0.336 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 4 (10.5%) | 3 (11.1%) | 0.940 |
| Pulmonary disease | 2 (5.2%) | 1 (3.7%) | 0.768 |
| Coronary artery disease | 0 (0%) | 1 (3.7%) | 0.199 |
| Cause of admission | |||
| GI bleeding | 7 (18.4%) | 8 (29.6%) | 0.291 |
| Hepatic encephalopathy | 6 (15.7%) | 4 (14.8%) | 0.915 |
| Refractory ascites | 1 (12.5) | 0 | 0.396 |
| Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis | 7 (18.4) | 6 (22.2) | 0.706 |
| Primary bacteremia | 18 (47.3) | 12 (44.4) | 0.816 |
| Acute kidney injury | 3 (7.9) | 5 (18.5) | 0.199 |
| Biochemical value | |||
| Interquartile change | 1.51 (1.3–1.8) | 1.45 (1.3–2) | 0.671 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 2.46 (2.1–3) | 2.62 (2.3–2.8) | 0.731 |
| Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 2.6 (1.5–9.9) | 2.7 (1.8–9.7) | 0.227 |
| Aspartate aminotransferase (IU/L) | 63.5 (44.2–98.7) | 124 (56–212) | 0.022 |
| Alanine aminotransferase (IU/L) | 29.5 (20.3–41.2) | 38 (22–86) | 0.022 |
| Sodium (mEq/L) | 134 (130–137) | 135 (130–137) | 0.800 |
| BUN (mg/dL) | 19.7 (10.5–28.3) | 28.4 (17.7–37.8) | 0.066 |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.04 (0.7–1.7) | 1.5 (0.9–2.2) | 0.078 |
| Procalcitonin (ng/mL) | 1.29 (0.2–2.5) | 0.54 (0.2–2.6) | 0.510 |
| C‐reactive protein (ng/L) | 23.5 (14.3–44.6) | 26 (15.6–65) | 0.560 |
| Lactate (mmol/L) | 2.33 (1.7–2.8) | 2.8 (1.8–5.3) | 0.050 |
| 25(OH)‐vitamin D (mg/dL) | 22.07 (17–29.2) | 20 (12–32) | 0.860 |
| Cortisol (μg/dL) | 17.15 (10.1–22) | 18 (13.6–24) | 0.110 |
CTP, Child‐Turcotte‐Pugh; MELD, model for end‐stage liver disease.
Factors associated with 90‐day mortality
| Variables | Univariate HR (95% CI) |
| Multivariate HR (95% CI) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cystatin C | 2.056 (1.02–4.12) | 0.043 | 2.042 (1.01–4.14) | 0.048 |
| Age (years) | 1.092 (1.01–1.18) | 0.048 | 1.034 (0.99–1.08) | 0.097 |
| Gender, Male | 0.400 (0.05–3.05) | 0.377 | ||
| MELD score | 1.013 (0.51–2.01) | 0.970 | ||
| MELD‐Na score | 0.958 (0.54–1.68) | 0.883 | ||
| CTP score | 1.926 (0.84–4.44) | 0.124 | ||
| Biochemical value | ||||
| Albumin(g/dL) | 0.790 (0.18–3.43) | 0.753 | ||
| Bilirubin(mg/dL) | 1.067 (0.84–1.36) | 0.595 | ||
| Aspartate aminotransferase (IU/L) | 1.003 (0.99–1.01) | 0.586 | ||
| Alanine aminotransferase (IU/L) | 1.013 (0.99–1.04) | 0.336 | ||
| Interquartile change | 0.277 (0.01–14.57) | 0.526 | ||
| Sodium (mEq/L) | 1.078 (0.88–1.31) | 0.459 | ||
| BUN (mg/dL) | 1.033 (0.92–1.15) | 0.571 | ||
| Creatinine(mg/dL) | 0.786 (0.05–12.68) | 0.865 | ||
| Procalcitonin (ng/mL) | 0.996 (0.77–1.28) | 0.977 | ||
| C‐reactive protein (ng/L) | 1.009 (0.99–1.03) | 0.427 | ||
| Lactate (mmol/L) | 0.953 (0.72–1.26) | 0.742 | ||
| 25(OH)‐vitamin D (mg/dL) | 0.980 (0.9–1.06) | 0.606 | ||
| Cortisol (μg/dL) | 1.046 (0.94–1.16) | 0.413 |
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; MELD, model for end‐stage liver disease.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting the 90‐day mortality. Source of the curve: , Cystatin C; , combine cys. MELD‐cys; , MELD; , MELD‐Cys; , reference line. MELD, model for end‐stage liver disease.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier survival in cirrhosis by selected Cystatin C level at cut‐off value >1.45 mg/L. Cystatin C (mg/L): , <1.45; , ≥1.45.