Literature DB >> 34006886

Economic damages from Hurricane Sandy attributable to sea level rise caused by anthropogenic climate change.

Benjamin H Strauss1, Philip M Orton2, Klaus Bittermann3,4, Maya K Buchanan5, Daniel M Gilford5,6, Robert E Kopp6, Scott Kulp5, Chris Massey7, Hans de Moel8, Sergey Vinogradov2,9.   

Abstract

In 2012, Hurricane Sandy hit the East Coast of the United States, creating widespread coastal flooding and over $60 billion in reported economic damage. The potential influence of climate change on the storm itself has been debated, but sea level rise driven by anthropogenic climate change more clearly contributed to damages. To quantify this effect, here we simulate water levels and damage both as they occurred and as they would have occurred across a range of lower sea levels corresponding to different estimates of attributable sea level rise. We find that approximately $8.1B ($4.7B-$14.0B, 5th-95th percentiles) of Sandy's damages are attributable to climate-mediated anthropogenic sea level rise, as is extension of the flood area to affect 71 (40-131) thousand additional people. The same general approach demonstrated here may be applied to impact assessments for other past and future coastal storms.

Entities:  

Year:  2021        PMID: 34006886     DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22838-1

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nat Commun        ISSN: 2041-1723            Impact factor:   14.919


  9 in total

1.  Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly.

Authors:  Michael E Mann; Zhihua Zhang; Scott Rutherford; Raymond S Bradley; Malcolm K Hughes; Drew Shindell; Caspar Ammann; Greg Faluvegi; Fenbiao Ni
Journal:  Science       Date:  2009-11-27       Impact factor: 47.728

2.  Integrated Direct and Indirect Flood Risk Modeling: Development and Sensitivity Analysis.

Authors:  E E Koks; M Bočkarjova; H de Moel; J C J H Aerts
Journal:  Risk Anal       Date:  2014-12-16       Impact factor: 4.000

3.  New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 Report. Chapter 4: Dynamic coastal flood modeling.

Authors:  Philip Orton; Sergey Vinogradov; Nickitas Georgas; Alan Blumberg; Ning Lin; Vivien Gornitz; Christopher Little; Klaus Jacob; Radley Horton
Journal:  Ann N Y Acad Sci       Date:  2015-01       Impact factor: 5.691

4.  New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 4: Coastal Flooding.

Authors:  Philip Orton; Ning Lin; Vivien Gornitz; Brian Colle; James Booth; Kairui Feng; Maya Buchanan; Michael Oppenheimer; Lesley Patrick
Journal:  Ann N Y Acad Sci       Date:  2019-03       Impact factor: 5.691

5.  Hurricane Sandy's flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100.

Authors:  Ning Lin; Robert E Kopp; Benjamin P Horton; Jeffrey P Donnelly
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2016-10-10       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  A reconstruction of regional and global temperature for the past 11,300 years.

Authors:  Shaun A Marcott; Jeremy D Shakun; Peter U Clark; Alan C Mix
Journal:  Science       Date:  2013-03-08       Impact factor: 47.728

7.  Climate adaptation. Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities.

Authors:  Jeroen C J H Aerts; W J Wouter Botzen; Kerry Emanuel; Ning Lin; Hans de Moel; Erwann O Michel-Kerjan
Journal:  Science       Date:  2014-05-02       Impact factor: 47.728

8.  Sea-level rise induced amplification of coastal protection design heights.

Authors:  Arne Arns; Sönke Dangendorf; Jürgen Jensen; Stefan Talke; Jens Bender; Charitha Pattiaratchi
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2017-01-06       Impact factor: 4.379

9.  Impact of climate change on New York City's coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE.

Authors:  Andra J Garner; Michael E Mann; Kerry A Emanuel; Robert E Kopp; Ning Lin; Richard B Alley; Benjamin P Horton; Robert M DeConto; Jeffrey P Donnelly; David Pollard
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-10-23       Impact factor: 11.205

  9 in total
  3 in total

1.  Increasing typhoon impact and economic losses due to anthropogenic warming in Southeast China.

Authors:  Mingfeng Huang; Qing Wang; Maofeng Liu; Ning Lin; Yifan Wang; Renzhi Jing; Jianping Sun; Hiroyuki Murakami; Wenjuan Lou
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2022-09-08       Impact factor: 4.996

2.  Correlation Between Sea-Level Rise and Aspects of Future Tropical Cyclone Activity in CMIP6 Models.

Authors:  Joseph W Lockwood; Michael Oppenheimer; Ning Lin; Robert E Kopp; Gabriel A Vecchi; Avantika Gori
Journal:  Earths Future       Date:  2022-04-11       Impact factor: 8.852

3.  Social inequalities in climate change-attributed impacts of Hurricane Harvey.

Authors:  Kevin T Smiley; Ilan Noy; Michael F Wehner; Dave Frame; Christopher C Sampson; Oliver E J Wing
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2022-08-25       Impact factor: 17.694

  3 in total

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