| Literature DB >> 33976854 |
Roman J Dial1, Bethany Schulz2, Eric Lewis-Clark1, Kaili Martin1, Hans-Erik Andersen3.
Abstract
We show that aerial tips are self-similar fractals of whole shrubs and present a field method that applies this fact to improves accuracy and precision of biomass estimates of tall-shrubs, defined here as those with diameter at root collar (DRC) ≥ 2.5 cm. Power function allometry of biomass to stem diameter generates a disproportionate prediction error that increases rapidly with diameter. Thus, biomass should be modeled as a single measure of stem diameter only if stem diameter is less than a threshold Dmax . When stem diameter exceeds Dmax , then the stem internode should be treated as a conic frustrum requiring two additional measures: a second, node-adjacent diameter and a length. If the second diameter is less than Dmax , then the power function allometry can be applied to the aerial tip; otherwise an additional internode is measured. This "two-component" allometry-internodes as frustra and aerial tips as shrubs-can reduce estimated biomass error propagated to the plot-level by as much as 50% or more where very large shrubs are present Dmax is any diameter such that the ratio of single-component to two-component uncertainty exceeds the ratio of two-component to single-component measurement time. Guidelines for estimating Dmax based on pilot field data are provided. Tall shrubs are increasing in abundance and distribution across Arctic, alpine, boreal, and dryland ecosystems. Estimating their biomass is important for both ecological studies and carbon accounting. Reducing field-sample prediction error increases precision in multi-stage modeling because additional measures efficiently improve plot-level biomass precision, reducing uncertainty for shrub biomass estimates.Entities:
Keywords: allometry; biomass; error propagation; fractals; self‐similarity; shrubs
Year: 2021 PMID: 33976854 PMCID: PMC8093737 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.7393
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Evol ISSN: 2045-7758 Impact factor: 2.912
FIGURE 1Two‐component sampling scheme that increases precision and accuracy in shrub biomass allometry. (a) Shrubs sampled as internodes and aerial tips. (b) Aerial tips are defined as those with supra‐nodal diameter less than a threshold (D), determined as a breakpoint for uncertainty in power function allometry. Illustration by Julia Ditto
FIGURE 2Uncertainty propagated from individual to the sample‐plot using whole‐shrub (single‐component) DRC‐based allometry. (a) Log‐log based allometry of shrub wet field‐mass (M) on DRC (D) as linear model ln(M) = b ln(D) + ln(a) + εi. Dashed lines give 95% prediction interval (95%PI). (b) Unlogged data with allometry and 95%PI, highlighting expanding uncertainty (dashed lines). (c) Uncertainty of individual shrubs propagated to sample‐plot uncertainty for 17 circular 169 m2 plots (identified as three letter codes, where first two letters signify study site) in southcentral Alaska. “Plot‐level uncertainty” defined as range of 95%PI. Horizontal line segments connect upper (0.975) and lower (0.025) PI calculated as quantiles from Monte Carlo sampling; they are asymmetric about point estimates (vertical lines) due to power function allometry. (d) Plot‐level uncertainty plotted against the per sample‐plot count of large shrubs (DRC > 14 cm). Large shrubs increase uncertainty in plot‐level estimates of biomass
FIGURE 3Allometry of two‐component model of shrub biomass. (a) Log of wet field‐mass plotted against diameter for 37 whole shrubs and 95 aerial tips from three taxa (2.5 ≤ D ≤ 7.5 cm). Dashed lines indicate 95%PI for aerial tips (blue) and whole plants (red). Solid lines give least squares regression in log‐log space (aerial tips in blue and whole plants in red). (b) Same data and allometry as in (a) but untransformed. (c) Wet field‐mass of alder shrub internodes regressed against internode volume as a frustrum for 40 internodes from eight individual shrubs of two species. The solid lines give best least squares fit for each species (blue: A. viridus; red: A. incana) with dashed lines the 95%PI
FIGURE 4Plot‐level uncertainty using single (DRC only) and two‐component (tip + internode) allometry propagated through shrub individuals to the sample‐plot level. (a) Comparison of the two methods' plot‐level estimates including single‐component estimates shown in Figure 2 (c). Orange vertical ticks give point estimates of summed tall shrub wet field‐mass from single‐component allometry. Vertical black ticks give sum from two‐component allometry (frustra + aerial tips). Horizontal lines give 95%PI. (b) Plot‐level uncertainty in shrub wet field‐mass as difference between upper and lower 95%PI boundaries. Each bullet represents a plot with two wet field‐mass estimates: single‐ and two‐component. Single‐component uncertainties are generally greater than or equal to two‐component allometry uncertainties. Dotted line has slope of one and passes through origin