Literature DB >> 33953393

Use of deep learning to develop continuous-risk models for adverse event prediction from electronic health records.

Christopher Nielson1,2, Martin G Seneviratne3, Joseph R Ledsam4,5,6, Shakir Mohamed7, Nenad Tomašev8, Natalie Harris9, Sebastien Baur9, Anne Mottram7, Xavier Glorot7, Jack W Rae7,10, Michal Zielinski7, Harry Askham7, Andre Saraiva7, Valerio Magliulo9, Clemens Meyer7, Suman Ravuri7, Ivan Protsyuk9, Alistair Connell9, Cían O Hughes9, Alan Karthikesalingam9, Julien Cornebise7,11, Hugh Montgomery12, Geraint Rees13, Chris Laing14, Clifton R Baker1, Thomas F Osborne15,16, Ruth Reeves1, Demis Hassabis7, Dominic King9, Mustafa Suleyman7, Trevor Back7.   

Abstract

Early prediction of patient outcomes is important for targeting preventive care. This protocol describes a practical workflow for developing deep-learning risk models that can predict various clinical and operational outcomes from structured electronic health record (EHR) data. The protocol comprises five main stages: formal problem definition, data pre-processing, architecture selection, calibration and uncertainty, and generalizability evaluation. We have applied the workflow to four endpoints (acute kidney injury, mortality, length of stay and 30-day hospital readmission). The workflow can enable continuous (e.g., triggered every 6 h) and static (e.g., triggered at 24 h after admission) predictions. We also provide an open-source codebase that illustrates some key principles in EHR modeling. This protocol can be used by interdisciplinary teams with programming and clinical expertise to build deep-learning prediction models with alternate data sources and prediction tasks.

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Year:  2021        PMID: 33953393     DOI: 10.1038/s41596-021-00513-5

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nat Protoc        ISSN: 1750-2799            Impact factor:   13.491


  56 in total

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2.  Derivation and validation of an index to predict early death or unplanned readmission after discharge from hospital to the community.

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Journal:  CMAJ       Date:  2010-03-01       Impact factor: 8.262

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Journal:  J Am Med Inform Assoc       Date:  2015-08-07       Impact factor: 4.497

4.  A targeted real-time early warning score (TREWScore) for septic shock.

Authors:  Katharine E Henry; David N Hager; Peter J Pronovost; Suchi Saria
Journal:  Sci Transl Med       Date:  2015-08-05       Impact factor: 17.956

5.  Creating an automated trigger for sepsis clinical decision support at emergency department triage using machine learning.

Authors:  Steven Horng; David A Sontag; Yoni Halpern; Yacine Jernite; Nathan I Shapiro; Larry A Nathanson
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2017-04-06       Impact factor: 3.240

6.  LiSep LSTM: A Machine Learning Algorithm for Early Detection of Septic Shock.

Authors:  Josef Fagerström; Magnus Bång; Daniel Wilhelms; Michelle S Chew
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2019-10-22       Impact factor: 4.379

7.  Machine learning for early detection of sepsis: an internal and temporal validation study.

Authors:  Armando D Bedoya; Joseph Futoma; Meredith E Clement; Kristin Corey; Nathan Brajer; Anthony Lin; Morgan G Simons; Michael Gao; Marshall Nichols; Suresh Balu; Katherine Heller; Mark Sendak; Cara O'Brien
Journal:  JAMIA Open       Date:  2020-04-11

8.  Opportunities and challenges in developing deep learning models using electronic health records data: a systematic review.

Authors:  Cao Xiao; Edward Choi; Jimeng Sun
Journal:  J Am Med Inform Assoc       Date:  2018-10-01       Impact factor: 4.497

9.  Development and Validation of an Electronic Health Record-Based Machine Learning Model to Estimate Delirium Risk in Newly Hospitalized Patients Without Known Cognitive Impairment.

Authors:  Andrew Wong; Albert T Young; April S Liang; Ralph Gonzales; Vanja C Douglas; Dexter Hadley
Journal:  JAMA Netw Open       Date:  2018-08-03

Review 10.  An overview of clinical decision support systems: benefits, risks, and strategies for success.

Authors:  Reed T Sutton; David Pincock; Daniel C Baumgart; Daniel C Sadowski; Richard N Fedorak; Karen I Kroeker
Journal:  NPJ Digit Med       Date:  2020-02-06
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4.  Analyzing Patient Trajectories With Artificial Intelligence.

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Journal:  J Med Internet Res       Date:  2021-12-03       Impact factor: 5.428

  4 in total

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