Stochastic modelling of cellulose hydrolysis with Gauss and Weibull distributed transition probabilities.

Two Markov-type stochastic models were developed to describe the kinetics of acid hydrolysis of cellulose. One of them involved a Gauss (normal) distribution of probabilities of chemical bond breaking, the other a Weibull distribution. It was considered that the random breaking of cellulose was based on the cleavage of a parent macromolecule into two descendants. Model equations and kinetics of acid hydrolysis of cellulose consisting of 10 and 100 units of cellobiose were presented. The effects of acid concentration and temperature on the kinetics of hydrolysis process were taken into account. The results obtained applying both stochastic models were in a reasonable agreement with those obtained using a deterministic kinetic model. These stochastic models can accurately describe the kinetics of acid hydrolysis and cover the drawbacks of some deterministic kinetic models, e.g., large number of model equations and parameters, modification of parameter values by changing the process conditions.