| Literature DB >> 33933527 |
Amoolya Vusirikala1, Heather Whitaker2, Samuel Jones2, Elise Tessier2, Ray Borrow3, Ezra Linley3, Katja Hoschler2, Frances Baawuah2, Shazaad Ahmad4, Nick Andrews2, Mary Ramsay2, Shamez N Ladhani5, Kevin E Brown2, Gayatri Amirthalingam2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In England, the reopening of universities in September 2020 coincided with a rapid increase in SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in university aged young adults. This study aimed to estimate SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence in students attending universities that had experienced a COVID-19 outbreak after reopening for the autumn term in September 2020.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2 infection; Students; Transmission; Universities
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33933527 PMCID: PMC8081745 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2021.04.028
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Infect ISSN: 0163-4453 Impact factor: 6.072
Fig. 1. Flow diagram for study participants. The number of study participants (n) are provided. Reasons for exclusion are given.
Characteristics of study participants – overall and stratified by valid and matched antibody test result.
| 2905 (100) | 518 (17.8) | |
| Male | 1074 (37) | 203 (18.9) |
| Female | 1818 (62.6) | 313 (17.2) |
| Prefer not to say | 13 (0.5) | 2 (15.4) |
| 17–19 | 892 (30.7) | 261 (29.3) |
| 20–22 | 1739 (59.9) | 231 (13.3) |
| 23–25 | 274 (9.4) | 26 (9.5) |
| White | 2565 (88.3) | 462 (18) |
| Black | 36 (1.2) | 6 (16.7) |
| Asian | 157 (5.4) | 23 (14.6) |
| Mixed | 122 (4.2) | 23 (18.9) |
| Other | 25 (0.9) | 4 (16) |
| Yes | 418 (14.4) | 62 (14.8) |
| No | 2459 (84.6) | 453 (18.4) |
| Unknown | 28 (1) | 3 (10.7) |
| Halls of residence | 872 (30.0) | 252 (28.9) |
| Non- Halls of residence | 2033 (70.0) | 266 (13.1) |
| Halls of residence | 872 (30.0) | 252 (28.9) |
| Off-campus housing | 1922 (66.2) | 250 (13) |
| Family Home | 110 (3.8) | 15 (13.6) |
| Other | 1 (0.03) | 1 (100) |
| Symptomatic | 1006 (34.6) | 305 (30.3) |
| No symptoms | 1589 (54.7) | 130 (8.2) |
| Not known | 310 (10.7) | 36 (11.6) |
| Symptomatic after starting university (of those symptomatic) | 553 (55) | 244 (44.1) |
| Previous PCR positive | 241 (8.3) | 199 (82.6) |
| Reported no previous PCR positive | 2664 (91.7) | 319 (12.0) |
| Previous PCR positive Sept – Nov 2020 | 216 (7.4) | 183 (84.7) |
| Confirmed case | 866 (29.8) | 310 (35.8) |
| No confirmed case | 1874 (64.5) | 186 (9.9) |
| Not Known | 165 (5.7) | 22 (13.3) |
| University A | 500 (17.2) | 80 (16) |
| University B | 445 (15.3) | 132 (29.7) |
| University C | 784 (27.1) | 143 (18.2) |
| University D | 546 (18.8) | 115 (21.1) |
| University E | 630 (21.7) | 48 (7.6) |
Fig. 2. University seropositivity by regional community blood donor seroprevalence estimates.
Potential risk factors for antibody positivity for students.
| Variable | Seropositive | Univariable regression | Multivariable regression | Adjusted | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 203/1074 (18.9) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Female | 313/1818 (17.2) | 0.87(0.71–1.06) | 0.16 | 0.83(0.68–1.02) | 0.08 |
| Prefer not to say | 2/13 (15.4) | 0.63(0.14–2.89) | 0.55 | 0.71(0.15–3.36) | 0.67 |
| 23–25 | 26/274 (9.5) | Ref | Ref | ||
| 20–22 | 231/1739 (13.3) | 1.59(1.03–2.45) | 0.04 | 1.67(1.08–2.57) | 0.02 |
| 17–19 | 261/892 (29.3) | 4.11(2.66–6.35) | <0.01 | 3.16(2.02–4.93) | <0.01 |
| White | 462/2565 (18) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Black | 6/36 (16.7) | 1.05(0.42–2.6) | 0.92 | 0.88(0.35–2.24) | 0.79 |
| Asian | 23/157 (14.6) | 0.82(0.51–1.29) | 0.39 | 0.7(0.44–1.12) | 0.14 |
| Mixed | 23/122 (18.9) | 1.09(0.68–1.75) | 0.73 | 1.02(0.63–1.67) | 0.93 |
| Other | 4/25 (16) | 0.93(0.31–2.78) | 0.90 | 0.73(0.24–2.27) | 0.59 |
| Non- Halls of residence | 266/2033 (13.1) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Halls of residence | 252/872 (28.9) | 2.89(2.36–3.54) | <0.01 | 2.14(1.7–2.68) | <0.01 |
| Off-campus housing | 250/1922 (13) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Halls of residence | 252/872 (28.9) | 2.87(2.33–3.52) | <0.01 | 2.13(1.69–2.68) | <0.01 |
| Family Home | 15/110 (13.6) | 0.83(0.47–1.48) | 0.53 | 0.88(0.49–1.58) | 0.66 |
| Other | 1/1 (100) | – | – | – | – |
| No | 493/2686 (18.4) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 20/195 (10.3) | 0.5(0.31–0.8) | <0.01 | 0.73(0.45–1.19) | <0.01 |
| Unknown | 5/24 (20.8) | – | – | – | – |
| No | 214/747 (28.6) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 304/2158 (14.1) | 0.43(0.35–0.53) | <0.01 | 0.73(0.57–0.95) | <0.01 |
| 119/949 (12.5) | Ref | Ref | |||
| 4–7 | 332/1657 (20) | 1.92(1.53–2.42) | <0.01 | 1.43(1.12–1.82) | 0.03 |
| 8 or more | 65/290 (22.4) | 2.99(2.09–4.27) | <0.01 | 1.53(1.04–2.24) | <0.01 |
| No symptoms | 130/1589 (8.2) | Ref | Ref | <0.01 | |
| Symptomatic | 305/1006 (30.3) | 4.51(3.62–5.61) | <0.01 | 4.3(3.43–5.38) | <0.01 |
| Not known | 36/310 (11.6) | 1.25(0.85–1.84) | 0.26 | 1.05(0.71–1.57) | 0.80 |
| Before | 89/453 (19.6) | Ref | Ref | ||
| After | 244/553 (44.1) | 3.15(2.35–4.21) | <0.01 | 2.57(1.89–3.49) | <0.01 |
| No confirmed case | 186/1874 (9.9) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Confirmed case | 310/866 (35.8) | 4.52(3.67–5.58) | <0.01 | 3.57(2.86–4.44) | <0.01 |
| Not Known | 22/165 (13.3) | 1.22(0.72–2.06) | 0.45 | 0.95(0.58–1.56) | 0.83 |
Adjusted for sex, age, ethnicity, living in halls of residence.
Adjusted for sex, age, ethnicity
OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval
Univariable and Multivariable models included university as a random effect.
Potential risk factors for students living in halls of residence.
| Male | 92/273 (33.7) | ||||
| Female | 128/421 (30.4) | 0.74(0.51–1.08) | 0.12 | 0.63(0.43–0.93) | 0.02 |
| Prefer not to say | 1/3 (33.3) | 1.83(0.12–28.97) | 0.67 | 2.58(0.12–55.72) | 0.54 |
| 23–25 years | 176/443 (39.7) | Ref | Ref | ||
| 20–22 years | 41/218 (18.8) | 2.22(0.68–7.17) | 0.18 | 2.06(0.63–6.72) | 0.23 |
| 17–19 years | 4/36 (11.1) | 3.52(1.13–11.02) | 0.03 | 3.1(0.97–9.91) | 0.06 |
| White | 195/596 (32.7) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Black | 3/10 (30) | 2.24(0.46–11.01) | 0.32 | 2.65(0.53–13.28) | 0.24 |
| Asian | 13/48 (27.1) | 1.29(0.6–2.78) | 0.51 | 1.19(0.54–2.58) | 0.67 |
| Mixed | 9/33 (27.3) | 0.71(0.29–1.72) | 0.45 | 0.79(0.33–1.93) | 0.61 |
| Other | 1/10 (10.0) | 0.17(0.02–1.46) | 0.11 | 0.18(0.02–1.58) | 0.12 |
| Small (<300) | 42/196 (21.4) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Medium (300–699) | 103/331 (31.1) | 1.46(0.76–2.78) | 0.25 | 1.46(0.75–2.86) | 0.27 |
| Large (700+) | 76/170 (44.7) | 2.04(0.97–4.3) | 0.06 | 2.06(0.99–4.29) | 0.05 |
| 0–3 | 26/83 (31.3) | Ref | Ref | ||
| 4 to 7 | 145/413 (35.1) | 1.5(0.82–2.73) | 0.19 | 1.57(0.84–2.93) | 0.16 |
| 8+ | 50/201 (24.9) | 1.9(0.9–4.01) | 0.10 | 2.35(1.1–5.01) | 0.03 |
| No | 163/435 (37.5) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 58/262 (22.1) | 0.55(0.32–0.93) | 0.03 | 0.43(0.24–0.77) | <0.01 |
| No | 214/677 (31.6) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 7/20 (35.0) | 3.84(1.13–13.06) | 0.03 | 7.65(2.15–27.25) | <0.01 |
| <8% | 50/184 (27.2) | Ref | Ref | ||
| 8–20% | 101/206 (49) | 2.28(1.13–4.56) | 0.02 | 2.54(1.53–4.23) | <0.01 |
| 20%+ | 35/71 (49.3) | 2.81(1.1–7.16) | 0.03 | 2.25(1.16–4.35) | 0.02 |
| Unknown | 35/236 (14.8) | – | – | – | – |
| No confirmed case | 52/297 (17.5) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Confirmed case | 156/323 (48.3) | 3.02(1.96–4.65) | <0.01 | 2.75(1.77–4.27) | <0.01 |
| Not known | 13/77 (16.9) | 0.79(0.38–1.62) | 0.51 | 0.74(0.35–1.57) | 0.43 |
All univariable estimates include individual hall of residence nested within University accounted for using a hierarchical mixed effects model
bAll multivariable estimates are adjusted for sex, age group, ethnicity, hall size, kitchen sharing, shared bathroom, shared bedroom, with individual hall of residence nested within University accounted for using a hierarchical mixed effects model
OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval.