| Literature DB >> 33919625 |
Viktor Gkotzamanis1, Giorgos Koliopanos1, Albert Sanchez-Niubo2,3, Beatriz Olaya2,4, Francisco Félix Caballero3,5, José Luis Ayuso-Mateos6,7,8, Somnath Chatterji9, Josep Maria Haro2,4, Demosthenes Panagiotakos1.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to identify latent groups of similar trajectories in processing speed through aging, as well as factors that are associated with these trajectories. In the context of the Ageing Trajectories of Health: Longitudinal Opportunities and Synergies (ATHLOS) project, data from the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA) (n = 12099) were analyzed. Latent groups of similar trajectories in the processing scores as well as their predictors and covariates were investigated, using group-based trajectory models (GBTM). The coefficient estimates for potential group predictors correspond to parameters of multinomial logit functions that are integrated in the model. Potential predictors included sex, level of education, marital status, level of household wealth, level of physical activity, and history of smoking, while time-varying covariates included incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes mellitus, depressive symptoms, and sleep disturbances. Four trajectories were identified and named after their baseline scores and shapes: High (4.4%), Middle/Stable (31.5%), Low/Stable (44.5%), and Low Decline (19.6%). Female sex, higher levels of education, mild level of physical activity, having been married, and higher level of wealth were associated with a higher probability of belonging to any of the higher groups compared to the Low/Decline that was set as reference, while presence of CVD, diabetes mellitus, and depressive symptoms were associated with lower processing speed scores within most trajectories. All the aforementioned factors might be valid targets for interventions to reduce the burden of age-related cognitive impairment.Entities:
Keywords: ELSA; aging; longitudinal analysis; processing speed
Year: 2021 PMID: 33919625 PMCID: PMC8072694 DOI: 10.3390/life11040357
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Life (Basel) ISSN: 2075-1729
Baseline characteristics of the ELSA study participants that included in the present analyses.
| Characteristic | Overall |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Single | 575 (4.75%) |
| Married | 8539 (70.58%) |
| Separated, Divorced | 1034 (8.55%) |
| Widowed | 1951 (16.13%) |
|
| 5335 (44.1%) |
|
| |
| Low | 5008 (41.39%) |
| Medium | 4653 (38.46%) |
| High | 1388 (11.47%) |
| NA values | 1040 (8.5%) |
|
| |
| No Physical Activity | 1835 (16.9%) |
| Mild | 4909 (45.22%) |
| Moderate | 2483 (22.87%) |
| Vigorous | 654 (6.02%) |
| NA values | 975 (9%) |
|
| 7623 (63%) |
|
| 1804 (15.9%) |
|
| 866 (7.16%) |
|
| 1923 (15.9%) |
|
| 6942 (57.38%) |
Figure 1Trajectories of Processing Speed among the ELSA study participants. Model BIC value: −117,683.39.
Results from logistic regression models that evaluated factors associated with processing speed in the ELSA study participants.
| Group | Parameter | OR | Lower 95%CL | Upper 95%CL | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Male vs Female | 0.425 | 0.357 | 0.505 | <0.001 |
| Education Level | |||||
| High vs Low | 2.672 | 1.846 | 3.868 | <0.001 | |
| Medium vs Low | 1.879 | 1.577 | 2.239 | <0.001 | |
| Marrital Status | |||||
| Widowed vs Never Married | 0.816 | 0.588 | 1.134 | 0.226 | |
| Separated or Divorced vs Never Married | 2.113 | 1.430 | 3.124 | <0.001 | |
| Married vs Never Married | 1.848 | 1.364 | 2.504 | <0.001 | |
| Level of Physical Activity (PA) | |||||
| Vigorous vs No PA | 0.333 | 0.247 | 0.449 | <0.001 | |
| Moderate vs No PA | 0.805 | 0.651 | 0.995 | 0.045 | |
| Mild vs No PA | 1.569 | 1.287 | 1.913 | <0.001 | |
| High Wealth | 1.716 | 1.463 | 2.013 | <0.001 | |
| Ever Smoked | 1.038 | 0.881 | 1.224 | 0.655 | |
|
| Male vs Female | 0.171 | 0.143 | 0.204 | <0.001 |
| Education Level | |||||
| High vs Low | 8.869 | 6.283 | 12.519 | <0.001 | |
| Medium vs Low | 3.485 | 2.923 | 4.155 | <0.001 | |
| Marrital Status | |||||
| Widowed vs Never Married | 0.771 | 0.528 | 1.127 | 0.180 | |
| Separated or Divorced vs Never Married | 3.747 | 2.456 | 5.717 | <0.001 | |
| Married vs Never Married | 3.097 | 2.189 | 4.382 | <0.001 | |
| Level of Physical Activity (PA) | |||||
| Vigorous vs No PA | 0.158 | 0.106 | 0.236 | <0.001 | |
| Moderate vs No PA | 0.733 | 0.595 | 0.902 | <0.003 | |
| Mild vs No PA | 1.527 | 1.260 | 1.850 | <0.001 | |
| High Wealth | 2.381 | 2.018 | 2.808 | <0.001 | |
| Ever Smoked | 0.938 | 0.798 | 1.104 | 0.442 | |
|
| Male vs Female | 0.100 | 0.075 | 0.134 | <0.001 |
| Education Level | |||||
| High vs Low | 12.389 | 7.923 | 19.373 | <0.001 | |
| Medium vs Low | 4.049 | 3.064 | 5.351 | <0.001 | |
| Marrital Status | |||||
| Widowed vs Never Married | 0.430 | 0.248 | 0.744 | 0.003 | |
| Separated or Divorced vs Never Married | 1.802 | 0.988 | 3.286 | 0.055 | |
| Married vs Never Married | 1.540 | 0.958 | 2.477 | 0.075 | |
| Level of Physical Activity (PA) | |||||
| Vigorous vs No PA | 0.119 | 0.046 | 0.308 | <0.001 | |
| Moderate vs No PA | 0.783 | 0.554 | 1.107 | 0.167 | |
| Mild vs No PA | 1.710 | 1.277 | 2.290 | <0.001 | |
| High Wealth | 1.963 | 1.496 | 2.577 | <0.001 | |
| Ever Smoked | 1.062 | 0.826 | 1.366 | 0.639 |
Time-varying covariates of processing speed categories, regarding various health outcomes.
| Group | Outcome | Beta Estimate | Standard Error | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Cardiovascular disease | −0.354 | 0.211 | 0.094 |
| Depressive Symptoms | −0.967 | 0.161 | <0.001 | |
| Sleeping Disturbances | −0.461 | 0.132 | <0.001 | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | −0.433 | 0.205 | 0.035 | |
|
| Cardiovascular disease | −0.871 | 0.154 | <0.001 |
| Depressive Symptoms | −0.542 | 0.112 | <0.001 | |
| Sleeping Disturbances | −0.121 | 0.082 | 0.139 | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | −0.636 | 0.142 | <0.001 | |
|
| Cardiovascular disease | −0.819 | 0.175 | <0.001 |
| Depressive Symptoms | −0.150 | 0.137 | 0.276 | |
| Sleeping Disturbances | −0.070 | 0.090 | 0.435 | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | −0.672 | 0.174 | <0.001 | |
|
| Cardiovascular disease | −5.214 | 0.998 | <0.001 |
| Depressive Symptoms | 0.507 | 0.404 | 0.209 | |
| Sleeping Disturbances | 0.577 | 0.272 | 0.034 | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | −0.939 | 0.504 | 0.062 |
Models.
| Groups | Polynomial Orders | BIC Value |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1311 | −117683 |
| 4 | 1312 | −117686 |
| 4 | 1111 | −117686 |
| 4 | 1411 | −117688 |
| 4 | 1112 | −117688 |
| 4 | 2311 | −117688 |
| .. | .. | .. |
| .. | .. | .. |
| 3 | 111 | −118358 |
Average Posterior Probability.
| Group | APP |
|---|---|
Participants Per Wave.
| Wave | Number of Participants |
|---|---|
| 12,099 | |
| 9432 | |
| 9741 | |
| 11,050 | |
| 10,317 |
Distribution of Determinants Across Trajectories.
| Characteristic | Trajectory | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marital Status | Low Decline | Middle Decline | Middle Stable | High |
| Single | 219 (2%) | 268 (2.43%) | 51 (0.46%) | 21 (0.19%) |
| Married | 1762 (16%) | 4508 (40.91%) | 1100 (9.98%) | 164 (1.49%) |
| Separated, Divorced | 272 (2.47%) | 561 (5.1%) | 176 (1.6%) | 19 (0.17%) |
| Widowed | 516 (4.68%) | 1030 (9.35%) | 309 (2.8%) | 44 (0.4%) |
|
| 1749 (15.87%) | 2791 (25.33%) | 436 (3.96%) | 54 (0.5%) |
|
| ||||
| Low | 1635 (16/27%) | 2497 (24.85%) | 486 (4.84%) | 83 (0.83%) |
| Medium | 800 (7.26%) | 2541 (23.06%) | 678 (6.15%) | 107 (0.97%) |
| High | 116 (1.05%) | 762 (6.91%) | 302 (2.74%) | 41 (0.37%) |
|
| ||||
| No Physical Activity | ||||
| Mild | 903 (8.19%) | 2676 (24.28%) | 810 (7.35%) | 119 (1.08%) |
| Moderate | 671 (6.09%) | 1210 (10.1%) | 387 (3.51%) | 54 (0.5%) |
| Vigorous | 339 (3.08%) | 222 (2.01%) | 52 (0.47%) | 3 (0.03%) |
| NA values | ||||
|
| 1915 (17.38%) | 4103 (37.23%) | 946 (8.58%) | 149 (1.35%) |
|
| 562 (5.1%) | 926 (8.4%) | 192 (1.72%) | 25 (0.23%) |
|
| 265 (2.41%) | 452 (4.1%) | 88 (0.8%) | 13 (0.12%) |
|
| 601 (5.54%) | 949 (8.75%) | 227 (2.09%) | 22 (0.2%) |
|
| 1554 (14.3%) | 3728 (34.31%) | 967 (8.9%) | 161 (1.48%) |