| Literature DB >> 33917101 |
Shaul Kimhi1, Yohanan Eshel1,2, Hadas Marciano1,3, Bruria Adini4.
Abstract
The current study measured national resilience (NR) in three different time frames during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Israel (N = 804). We investigated two main issues: first, the direction and extent of NR changes during the crisis, and second, the predictors of NR. The results show the following: (a) the average NR score declined significantly across the three repeated measures, with a medium-size effect. (b) Three of the four identified NR factors declined significantly across the three measurements: belief in the government and the prime minister (large effect size); belief in civil society; and patriotism (medium effect size); while trust in Israeli national institutions was the lowest and did not weaken significantly. (c) Analyzing the prediction of NR factors indicated that the levels of the three NR factors mainly reflected one's political attitudes, sense of political and economic threats, rather than health threats. One conclusion concerns the importance of trust in leadership as the most sensitive component in the decline of national resilience following a crisis.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; economic; health threat; national resilience; political
Year: 2021 PMID: 33917101 PMCID: PMC8067873 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18083876
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Characteristics of the study sample (N = 804).
| Attribute | Group | Participants | % | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (SD) | ||||
| Age | 1. 18–30 | 171 | 21 | 44.65 |
| 2. 31–40 | 191 | 24 | −15.41 | |
| 3. 41–60 | 151 | 19 | ||
| 4. 51–60 | 141 | 17 | ||
| 5. 61 on | 150 | 19 | ||
| Gender | 1. Men | 416 | 52 | |
| 2. Woman | 388 | 48 | ||
| Level of | 1. Non-religious | 398 | 49 | 1.81 |
| 2. Traditional | 231 | 29 | −0.96 | |
| 3. Religious | 107 | 13 | ||
| 4. Highly religious (orthodox) | 68 | 9 | ||
| Political attitudes | 1. Extreme left | 10 | 1 | 3.49 |
| 2. Left | 87 | 11 | −0.86 | |
| 3. Center | 288 | 36 | ||
| 4. Right | 340 | 42 | ||
| 5. Extreme right | 79 | 10 | ||
| Economic difficulties due to the pandemic at T3 | 1. Not at all | 179 | 22 | 2.61 |
| 2. A little | 209 | 26 | −1.22 | |
| 3. Medium | 236 | 29 | ||
| 4. Much | 105 | 13 | ||
| 5. Very much below | 75 | 10 | ||
| Average family income | 1. Very much below | 234 | 29 | 2.47 |
| 2. Much below | 180 | 22 | −1.22 | |
| 3. Average | 216 | 27 | ||
| 4. Much above | 128 | 16 | ||
| 5. Very much above | 46 | 6 |
Factor analysis on national resilience (NR) comprising 16 items across the three repeated measurements.
| Factor Loading/Explained Variance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Factors, Items, and Theoretical Areas (Scale 1–6) | T1 | T2 | T3 |
| Factor 1: Belief in the government and the prime minister | 26% | 25% | 24% |
| 1. The Israeli government and the prime minister present high leadership capacities during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| 2. During a national crisis, such as the current coronavirus crisis, the civil society will support the decisions of the government and the prime minister | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| 3. I have full confidence in the ability of the security forces (military) of my country to protect our population | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| 11. I believe in the capacity of Israel’s healthcare system to provide for the medical needs of the population during the COVID-19 pandemic. | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| 12. I fully believe in the capacity of the Israeli government to provide for all needs and succeed in containing the current COVID-19 crisis | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 14. Belief in the Knesset (parliament) | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| Factor 2: Belief in civil society | 17% | 17% | 16% |
| 7. Cohesiveness between the varied societal sectors is good. | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| 8. A high level of social solidarity characterizes civil society. | 0.70 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| 9. My society is not characterized by ‘toxic relations’ | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| 10. My society is characterized by a reasonable level of social justice. | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| Factor 3: Patriotism | 14% | 14% | 15% |
| 4. Israel is my home, and I do not plan to leave it | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| 5. Israeli society has effectively managed former crises and will manage effectively the current COVID-19 crisis | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| 6. I am hopeful about the future of my State | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| Factor 4: Trust in the national institutes | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| 13. The police | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| 15. The education system | 0.48 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| 16. The media | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| Overall national resilience scale | 69% | 68% | 67% |
Average and standard deviation of NR-16 items, across three repeated measures (arranged from high to low NR T1).
| National Resilience 16 Items (Scale 1–6) | M (SD) | Change: | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | T2 | T3 | ||
| 4. Israel is my home, and I do not plan to leave it | 5.17 (1.29) | 5.02 (1.43) | 4.93 (1.46) | 0.24 |
| 5. Israeli society has effectively managed former crises and will manage effectively the current COVID-19 crisis | 4.71 (1.14) | 4.00 (1.34) | 3.75 (1.38) | 0.96 |
| 3. I have full confidence in the ability of the security forces (military) of my country to protect our population | 4.51 (1.24) | 3.84 (1.46) | 3.58 (1.49) | 0.93 |
| 6. I am hopeful about the future of my State | 4.50 (1.32) | 3.97 (1.47) | 3.77 (1.51) | 0.73 |
| 8. A high level of social solidarity characterizes civil society. | 4.19 (1.22) | 3.78 (1.30) | 3.45 (1.37) | 0.74 |
| 11. I believe in the capacity of Israel’s healthcare system to provide for the medical needs of the population during the COVID-19 pandemic. | 4.04 (1.32) | 3.35 (1.40) | 3.28 (1.41) | 0.76 |
| 1. The Israeli government and the Prime Minister present high leadership capacities during the COVID-19 pandemic | 3.96 (1.41) | 2.98 (1.47) | 2.76 (1.48) | 1.20 |
| 12 I fully believe in the capacity of the Israeli government to provide for all needs and succeed in containing the current COVID-19 crisis | 3.77 (1.49) | 2.89 (1.49) | 2.65 (1.50) | 1.12 |
| 2. During a national crisis, such as the current coronavirus crisis, the civil society will support the decisions of the government and the prime minister | 3.75 (1.27) | 2.79 (1.30) | 2.47 (1.33) | 1.28 |
| 9. My society is not characterized by ‘toxic relations’ | 3.58 (1.34) | 3.40 (1.34) | 3.18 (1.38) | 0.40 |
| 13. Trust the police | 3.47 (1.46) | 2.87 (1.38) | 2.98 (1.48) | 0.49 |
| 10. My society is characterized by a reasonable level of social justice. | 3.37 (1.30) | 3.09 (1.30) | 2.92 (1.29) | 0.45 |
| 7. Cohesiveness between the varied societal sectors are good. | 3.16 (1.36) | 2.81 (1.30) | 2.44 (1.29) | 0.72 |
| 15. Trust the education system | 3.52 (1.26) | 3.27 (1.28) | 3.17 (1.32) | 0.35 |
| 16. Trust the media | 2.90 (1.41) | 2.81 (1.43) | 2.63 (1.44) | 0.27 |
| 14. Trust in the Knesset (parliament) | 2.84 1.35) | 2.52 (1.32) | 2.34 (1.32) | 0.50 |
Distribution and general linear model—three repeated measurements of the average overall national resilience (N = 804).
| National Resilience | T1 (May 7) | T2 (July 10) | T3 (October 12) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participants | % | Participants | % | Participants | % | |
| 1–2 | 25 | 3 | 67 | 8 | 106 | 13 |
| 2.1–3 | 125 | 15 | 229 | 28 | 252 | 31 |
| 3.1–4 | 300 | 37 | 326 | 40 | 306 | 38 |
| 4.1–5 | 300 | 37 | 161 | 20 | 125 | 15 |
| 5.1–6 | 54 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 2 |
| M | 3.84 a | 3.33 b | 3.14 c | |||
| SD | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.91 | |||
| Alpha Cronbach | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.90 | |||
| F(1, 804) = 501.13 ***, ηp2 = 0.38 | ||||||
*** p < 0.001; a,b,c post-hoc Scheffe.
General linear model—three assessments of the national resilience factors (N = 804).
| T1 | T2 | T3 | F(1, 803) | ηp2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factor 1 | M | 3.81 a | 3.06 b | 2.84 c | 882.73 *** | 0.524 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.11 | 1.13 | |||
| Factor 2 | M | 3.57 a | 3.07 b | 2.99 c | 285.16 *** | 0.262 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.06 | 95 | |||
| Factor 3 | M | 4.79 a | 4.33 b | 4.15 c | 378.66 *** | 0.320 |
| SD | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.24 | |||
| Factor 4 | M | 2.96 | 2.98 | 2.92 | 1.40 | 0.004 |
| SD | 0.81 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
*** p < 0.001; a,b,c post-hoc Scheffe; Factor 1 = belief in the government and the prime minister; Factor 2 = belief in civil society; Factor 3 = patriotism; Factor 4 = belief in the national bodies.
Standardized estimates of path analyses of political attitudes and three threats at T3 predicting NR factors at T3 (present from high to low in factor 1).
| Attribute | Factor 1 | Factor 2 | Factor 3 | Factor 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Political attitudes | 0.319 *** | 0.254 *** | 0.329 *** | −0.063 |
| Political threat | −0.230 *** | −0.200 *** | −0.114 *** | −0.002 |
| Health threat | 0.137 *** | 0.021 | 0.033 | 0.109 ** |
| Economic threat | −0.114 *** | −0.083 * | −0.159 *** | −0.133 *** |
| Explained variance (R2) | 21% | 15% | 17% | 0.02% |
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001; Factor 1 = belief in the government and prime minister; Factor 2 = belief in civil society; Factor 3 = patriotism; Factor 4 = belief in national bodies.