OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a pretreatment prognostic score in pancreatic cancer (PDAC). BACKGROUND: Pretreatment prognostication in PDAC is important for treatment decisions but remains challenging. Available prognostic tools are derived from selected cohorts of patients who underwent resection, excluding up to 20% of patients with exploration only, and do not adequately reflect the pretreatment scenario. METHODS: Patients undergoing surgery for PDAC in Heidelberg from 07/2006 to 06/2014 were identified from a prospective database. Pretreatment parameters were extracted from the database and the laboratory information system. Parameters independently associated with overall survival by uni- and multivariable analyses were used to build a prognostic score. A contemporary cohort from Verona was used for external validation. RESULTS: In 1197 patients, multiple pretreatment parameters were associated with overall survival by univariable analyses. ASA-classification, CA19-9, CEA, CRP, albumin, and platelet count were independently associated with survival and were used to create the Heidelberg Prognostic Pancreatic Cancer (HELPP)-score. The HELPP-score was closely associated with overall survival (median survival between 31.3 and 4.8 months; 5-year survival rates between 35% and 0%) and was able to stratify survival in subgroups with or without resection as well as in CA19-9 non-secretors. In the resected subgroup the HELPP-score stratified survival independently of pathological prognostic factors. The HELPP-score was externally validated and was superior to CA19-9 in both the development and validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: The HELPP-score is a readily available prognostic tool based on pretreatment routine parameters to stratify survival in PDAC independently of resection status and pathological tumor stage.
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a pretreatment prognostic score in pancreatic cancer (PDAC). BACKGROUND: Pretreatment prognostication in PDAC is important for treatment decisions but remains challenging. Available prognostic tools are derived from selected cohorts of patients who underwent resection, excluding up to 20% of patients with exploration only, and do not adequately reflect the pretreatment scenario. METHODS:Patients undergoing surgery for PDAC in Heidelberg from 07/2006 to 06/2014 were identified from a prospective database. Pretreatment parameters were extracted from the database and the laboratory information system. Parameters independently associated with overall survival by uni- and multivariable analyses were used to build a prognostic score. A contemporary cohort from Verona was used for external validation. RESULTS: In 1197 patients, multiple pretreatment parameters were associated with overall survival by univariable analyses. ASA-classification, CA19-9, CEA, CRP, albumin, and platelet count were independently associated with survival and were used to create the Heidelberg Prognostic Pancreatic Cancer (HELPP)-score. The HELPP-score was closely associated with overall survival (median survival between 31.3 and 4.8 months; 5-year survival rates between 35% and 0%) and was able to stratify survival in subgroups with or without resection as well as in CA19-9 non-secretors. In the resected subgroup the HELPP-score stratified survival independently of pathological prognostic factors. The HELPP-score was externally validated and was superior to CA19-9 in both the development and validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: The HELPP-score is a readily available prognostic tool based on pretreatment routine parameters to stratify survival in PDAC independently of resection status and pathological tumor stage.
Authors: Anna Nießen; Simon Schimmack; Marta Sandini; Dominik Fliegner; Ulf Hinz; Magdalena Lewosinska; Thilo Hackert; Markus W Büchler; Oliver Strobel Journal: Sci Rep Date: 2021-12-09 Impact factor: 4.379