| Literature DB >> 33873783 |
Wilfred Otten1, Douglas J Bailey2, Christopher A Gilligan1.
Abstract
• The ability to forecast invasion of harmful and beneficial organisms is becoming increasingly important in agricultural and horticultural production systems as well as in natural plant communities. • In this paper we examine the spread of a fungus through a population of discrete sites on a lattice, using replicable, yet stochastically variable experimental microcosms. • We combine epidemiological concepts to summarise fungal growth dynamics with percolation theory to derive and test the following hypotheses: first fungal invasion into a population of susceptible sites on a lattice can be stopped by a threshold proportion of randomly removed sites; second random removal of susceptible sites from a population introduces a shield which can prevent invasion of unprotected sites; and third the rate at which a susceptible population is invaded reduces with increasing number of randomly protected sites. • The broader consequences of thresholds for fungal invasion in natural and agricultural systems are discussed briefly.Keywords: Rhizoctonia solani; biological control; epidemiology; invasion thresholds; percolation
Year: 2004 PMID: 33873783 DOI: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2004.01086.x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: New Phytol ISSN: 0028-646X Impact factor: 10.151