| Literature DB >> 33850736 |
Jiaochen Luan1, Qijie Zhang1, Lebin Song2, Yichun Wang1, Chengjian Ji1, Rong Cong1, Qitong Zheng3, Zhenggang Xu3, Jiadong Xia1, Ninghong Song1,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second lethal heterogeneous cancer among males worldwide, and approximately 20% of PCa patients following radical prostatectomy (RP) will undergo biochemical recurrence (BCR). This study is aimed to identify the immune-related gene signature that can predict BCR in localized PCa following RP.Entities:
Keywords: Localized prostate cancer; biochemical recurrence (BCR); immune-related gene signature; prognosis
Year: 2021 PMID: 33850736 PMCID: PMC8039594 DOI: 10.21037/tau-20-1231
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Transl Androl Urol ISSN: 2223-4683
Figure 1Workflow chart of data generation and analysis.
Associations between Risk score and clinicopathologic features in the discovery and validation datasets
| Variable | Risk score | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery set (TCGA) | Validation set (GSE70770) | ||||||
| Low | High | P | Low | High | P | ||
| Age (years) | NA | NA | 0.079 | NA | NA | NA | |
| ≤65 | 110 (41.0%) | 98 (36.6%) | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| >65 | 24 (9.0%) | 36 (13.4%) | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| PSA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 0.255 | |
| <10 | NA | NA | NA | 28 (36.4%) | 24 (31.1%) | NA | |
| 10–20 | NA | NA | NA | 10 (13.0%) | 15 (19.5%) | NA | |
| GS | NA | NA | <0.001 | NA | NA | 0.011 | |
| ≤6 | 28 (10.4%) | 5 (1.9%) | NA | 15 (19.5%) | 4 (5.2%) | NA | |
| 7 | 83 (31.0%) | 60 (22.4%) | NA | 20 (26.0%) | 29 (37.6%) | NA | |
| ≥8 | 23 (8.6%) | 69 (25.7%) | NA | 3 (3.9%) | 6 (7.8%) | NA | |
| Clinical stage (T) | NA | NA | 0.603 | NA | NA | 0.175 | |
| < T2b | 92 (34.3%) | 88 (32.8%) | NA | 37 (48.0%) | 35 (45.5%) | NA | |
| ≥ T2b | 42 (15.7%) | 46 (17.2%) | NA | 1 (1.3%) | 4 (5.2%) | NA | |
PSA, prostate-specific antigen; GS, Gleason score; NA, not available.
Figure 2Kaplan‐Meier survival curves of RFS among localized PCa patients following RP from high- and low-risk groups stratified by the six immune-related gene signature from (A) the discovery database (TCGA), and (B) the validation database (GSE70770). RFS, recurrence free survival; PCa, prostate cancer; RP, radical prostatectomy.
Figure 3The distribution of risk scores for samples, patients’ survival status and the expression heatmap of six different immune‐related prognostic genes in both cohorts. (A) The discovery database (TCGA); (B) the validation database (GSE70770).
Univariate Cox regression analysis of clinicopathologic factors and Risk score for RFS in the discovery and validation databases
| Variable | Recurrence-free survival | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery set (TCGA) | Validation set (GSE70770) | ||||
| HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | ||
| Age (years) | |||||
| ≤65 | 1.000 (reference) | NA | NA | NA | |
| >65 | 0.230 (0.055–0.961) | 0.044 | NA | NA | |
| PSA | |||||
| <10 | NA | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| 10–20 | NA | NA | 1.558 (0.796–3.048) | 0.195 | |
| GS | |||||
| ≤6 | 1.000 (reference) | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| 7 | 1.855 (0.235–14.665) | 0.558 | 13.933 (1.893–102.549) |
| |
| ≥8 | 9.661 (1.297–71.969) |
| 26.333 (3.198–216.853) |
| |
| Clinical stage (T) | |||||
| < T2b | 1.000 (reference) | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| ≥ T2b | 2.382 (1.184–4.790) |
| 1.712 (0.521–5.622) | 0.375 | |
| Risk score | |||||
| Low | 1.000 (reference) | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| High | 7.453 (2.613–21.261) |
| 2.973 (1.458–6.064) |
| |
Italic P values indicate that the variables were statistically significant. RFS, recurrence free survival; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; GS, Gleason score; NA, not available.
Multivariate Cox regression analysis of clinicopathologic factors and Risk score for RFS in the discovery and validation databases
| Variable | Recurrence-free survival | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery set (TCGA) | Validation set (GSE70770) | ||||
| HR (95% CI) | P | HR (95% CI) | P | ||
| Age (years) | |||||
| ≤65 | 1.000 (reference) | NA | NA | NA | |
| >65 | 0.159 (0.038–0.669) |
| NA | NA | |
| PSA | |||||
| <10 | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| 10–20 | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| GS | |||||
| ≤6 | 1.000 (reference) | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| 7 | 1.014 (0.124–8.274) | 0.990 | 11.335 (1.525–84.271) |
| |
| ≥8 | 4.150 (0.527–32.655) | 0.176 | 19.794 (2.363–165.828) |
| |
| Clinical stage (T) | |||||
| < T2b | 1.000 (reference) | NA | NA | NA | |
| ≥ T2b | 1.912 (0.948–3.856) | 0.070 | NA | NA | |
| Risk score | |||||
| Low | 1.000 (reference) | NA | 1.000 (reference) | NA | |
| High | 5.232 (1.762–15.538) |
| 2.158 (1.051–4.432) |
| |
Italic P values indicate that the variables were statistically significant. RFS, recurrence free survival; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; GS, Gleason score; NA, not available.
Figure 4Time-dependent ROC curve analysis of the risk score and clinicopathological characteristics based on the discovery and validation databases. (A) The discovery database (TCGA); (B) the validation database (GSE70770). ROC, receiver operating characteristic; AUC, area under curve.
Comparison of the prognostic accuracies of risk score and original risk factors [PSA, clinical stage (T) and GS]
| Model | C-index |
|---|---|
| Discovery set (TCGA) | |
| Risk score | 0.692 |
| GS + clinical stage (T) | 0.748 |
| GS + clinical stage (T) + risk score | 0.784 |
| Validation set (GSE70770) | |
| Risk score | 0.645 |
| PSA + GS + clinical stage (T) | 0.718 |
| PSA + GS + clinical stage (T) + risk score | 0.748 |
C-index, Harrell’s Concordance index; GS, Gleason score; PSA, prostate-specific antigen.
Figure 5Nomogram based on our established six prognostic immune-related gene signature.
Figure 6Verification of the nomogram. (A) The calibration curves of the novel nomogram between the predicted survival and actual observed survival; (B) the time-dependent ROC curves of the novel nomogram. ROC, receiver operating characteristic.