| Literature DB >> 33836125 |
Yan Chen1, Zhanghua Yin1, Xiaohui Gong2, Jing Li3, Wenhua Zhong4, Liqin Shan4, Xiaoping Lei5, Qian Zhang6, Qin Zhou7, Youyan Zhao8, Chao Chen9, Yongjun Zhang1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate a predictive algorithm integrating clinical and laboratory parameters to stratify a full-term neonate's risk level of having bacterial meningitis (BM).Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33836125 PMCID: PMC8108426 DOI: 10.1002/acn3.51356
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Clin Transl Neurol ISSN: 2328-9503 Impact factor: 4.511
Figure 1Study subjects’ flow chart.
Clinical and laboratory characteristics in the derivation group (n = 689).
| Characteristics | Without meningitis, ( | With meningitis, ( |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinical variables | ||||
| Birth weight, mean (SD), g | 3389 (453) | 3396 (441) | −0.2 | 0.878 |
| Gestational age, mean (SD), wk | 39.0 (1.1) | 39.0 (1.1) | 0.39 | 0.699 |
| Age on admission, mean (SD), d | 11.7 (8.9) | 12.7 (8.0) | −1.1 | 0.277 |
| Sex, No. (%) | 0.3 | 0.578 | ||
| Male | 351 (59.8) | 58 (56.9) | ||
| Female | 236 (40.2) | 44 (43.1) | ||
| Delivery method, No. (%) | 0.1 | 0.931 | ||
| Vaginal delivery | 343 (59.1) | 59 (59.6) | ||
| Caesarean section | 237 (40.9) | 40 (4.4) | ||
| Fever, No. (%) | 292 (49.7) | 75 (73.5) | 19.7 | <0.001 |
| Neurological manifestations, No. (%) | 76 (13.0) | 37 (36.3) | 34.5 | <0.001 |
| Ill‐appearances, No. (%) | 305 (52.0) | 54 (52.9) | 0.03 | 0.855 |
| Absence of infection source, No. (%) | 235 (40.0) | 69 (67.6) | 26.9 | <0.001 |
| Positive blood culture, No. (%) | 50 (8.5) | 45 (44.1) | 92.6 | <0.001 |
| Laboratory variables | ||||
| WBC, median (IQR), cells per | 12,700 (8700–18,400) | 11,400 (7300–17,400) | −1.8 | 0.068 |
| CRP, median (IQR), mg/L | 8 (5–20) | 11 (5–52) | 3.1 | 0.002 |
| NPC, median (IQR), % | 58.0 (43.2–71.1) | 59.7 (43.9–72.0) | 0.7 | 0.486 |
| ANC, median (IQR), cells per | 6800 (3900–11,100) | 5700 (3300–11,400) | −0.9 | 0.361 |
| PCT, median (IQR), ng/mL | 0.4 (0.2–1.7) | 1.0 (0.2–11.8) | 2.9 | 0.004 |
IQR, interquartile range; NPC, neutrophil percentage; ANC, absolute neutrophil count.
Student’s t‐test.
Chi‐square test.
Wilcoxon rank‐sum test.
Characteristics with p values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
Peak temperature >38°C as measured at home, in the pediatric emergency department or outpatient clinic, or on admission.
Seizure, abnormal muscle tone, irritability, bulging anterior fontanelle, etc.
Hypothermia, poor drink, jaundice, recurrent cyanosis, vomit, apnea, etc.
Neonates did not have any of impetigo, urinary infection, omphalitis, respiratory infection, purulent arthritis, etc.
Risk of meningitis by predictors in the derivation group (n = 689).
| Predictor | Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | Standard |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | 2.8 (1.8–4.5) | 6.3 (3.3–12.0) | 0.51 | <0.001 |
| Absence of infection source | 3.1 (2.0–4.9) | 3.4 (2.0–5.7) | 0.34 | <0.001 |
| Neurological manifestations | 3.8 (2.4–6.1) | 7.1 (3.8–13.1) | 0.40 | <0.001 |
| CRP > 25 mg/L | 2.4 (1.5–3.8) | 2.1 (1.2–3.5) | 0.17 | 0.008 |
| PCT > 2.5 ng/mL | 2.5 (1.6–3.9) | 2.4 (1.4–4.1) | 0.21 | <0.001 |
| Fever without infection source | 5.0 (3.2–7.8) | 7.2 (4.3–11.9) | 0.381 | <0.001 |
Characteristics with p values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.
Adjusted for age on admission and sex, with other predictors.
Peak temperature >38°C as measured at home, in the pediatric emergency department or outpatient clinic, or on admission.
Seizure, abnormal muscle tone, irritability, bulging anterior fontanelle, etc.
Neonates did not have any of impetigo, urinary infection, omphalitis, respiratory infection, purulent arthritis, etc.
Figure 2Prevalence of neonatal bacterial meningitis in different risk subgroups in the derivation set (0–28 days). –LR, Negative likelihood ratio; NPV, Negative predictive value. Neurological manifestation: Including seizure, abnormal muscle tone, irritability, bulging anterior fontanelle, etc. Fever with definite source of infection or without fever? No*: With fever but absence of infection source; Yes*: With fever and definite source of infection, or without fever.
Figure 3Prevalence of neonatal bacterial meningitis in different risk subgroups in the validation set (0–28 days). NPV: Negative predictive value; −LR: Negative likelihood ratio. Fever with definite source of infection or without fever? No*: With fever but absence of infection source; Yes*: With fever and definite source of infection, or without fever.
Figure 4Web tool calculator.