| Literature DB >> 33816254 |
Haoyu Hu1, Shuo Qi1, Silue Zeng1, Peng Zhang1, Linyun He1, Sai Wen1, Ning Zeng1,2, Jian Yang1,2, Weiqi Zhang1, Wen Zhu1,2, Nan Xiang1,2, Chihua Fang1,2.
Abstract
Purpose: To establish a valid prediction model to prognose the occurrence of microvascular invasion (MVI), and to compare the efficacy of anatomic resection (AR) or non-anatomic resection (NAR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).Entities:
Keywords: hepatectomy; hepatocellular carcinoma; microvascular invasion; prediction model; tumor size
Year: 2021 PMID: 33816254 PMCID: PMC8010691 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.621622
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Surgical planning and procedure (A) and flow chart of manuscript design (B), KM, Kaplan-Meier.
Baseline characteristics of study patients.
| Age(Mean ± SD, years) | 50.74 ± 11.58 | 51.25 ± 12.08 | 0.766 |
| M/F ratio | 129/31 | 51/17 | 0.341 |
| History of hepatic virus infection | 0.148 | ||
| Yes/No | 128/32 | 41/17 | |
| Liver cirrhosis | 0.549 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 76/84 | 35/33 | |
| AFP level (median, Q, ng/mL) | 24.50 (4.15, 332.00) | 4.710 (2.388, 54.69) | 0.059 |
| NLR level (median, Q) | 2.46 (1.64, 5.74) | 2.92 (1.93, 4.98) | 0.259 |
| ALT (Mean ± SD, U/L) | 43.42 ± 37.88 | 39.43 ± 38.79 | 0.471 |
| AST (median, Q, U/L) | 35 (24, 45) | 27 (21, 47) | 0.122 |
| TBil (median, Q, μmol/L) | 13.77 ± 3.53 | 16.87 ± 1.98 | 0.911 |
| ALB (Mean ± SD, g/L) | 39.50 ± 5.59 | 38.44 ± 1.91 | 0.141 |
| PT (Mean ± SD,*109) | 13.65 ± 1.51 | 13.78 ± 1.04 | 0.533 |
| Intraoperative blood loss, (median, Q, mL) | 400 (200, 600) | 300 (200, 575) | 0.255 |
| Anatomical resection | >0.999 | ||
| Yes/Not | 86/74 | 36/32 | |
| Anatomical lobectomy | 0.812 | ||
| Segment | 10 | 6 | |
| 1 lobe | 30 | 12 | |
| 2 lobe | 45 | 18 | |
| ≥3 lobe | 1 | 0 | |
| Tumor size (Mean ± SD, cm) | 5.44 ± 3.17 | 4.14 ± 2.26 | 0.076 |
| Satellite nodules | 20 | 11 | 0.6836 |
| Tumor number | 0.603 | ||
| 1/2/3 | 140/18/2 | 57/9/2 | |
| Capsule formation | 0.149 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 70/90 | 37/31 | |
| Pathological grade | 0.611 | ||
| Well differentiated | 26 | 8 | |
| Moderately differentiated | 111 | 48 | |
| Poorly differentiated | 23 | 12 | |
| MVI | 0.446 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 56/104 | 20/48 | |
| Arterial rim enhancement | 0.197 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 76/84 | 37/31 | |
| corona enhancement | 0.317 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 81/79 | 37/31 | |
| Tumor margin(rough) | 0.229 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 95/65 | 31/37 | |
| Radiological capsule | 0.883 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 90/70 | 40/28 | |
| Tumor hypointensity on HBP | >0.999 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 141/19 | 60/8 | |
| Peritumoral hypointensity on HBP | 0.148 | ||
| Presence/Absence | 84/76 | 28/40 |
AFP, alpha fetoprotein; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; PT, prothrombin time; TBil, total bilirubin; ALB, albumin; MVI, microvascular invasion.
Univariable and multivariable analysis of preoperative data for presence of microvascular invasion in the primary cohort.
| History of hepatic virus infection | 0.83 (0.39, 1.75) | 0.625 | ||
| Liver cirrhosis | 0.85 (0.54, 1.35) | 0.494 | ||
| AFP >15 ng/mL | 5.15 (2.40, 11.08) | <0.001 | 4.30 (1.61, 11.48) | 0.002 |
| NLR >3.8 | 7.44 (3.60, 15.39) | <0.001 | 4.21 (1.70, 10.39) | 0.002 |
| Platelet count >100 (109/L) | 1.86 (0.58, 5.99) | 0.300 | ||
| ALT | 1.09 (0.55, 2.13) | 0.809 | ||
| AST | 2.10 (1.07, 4.13) | 0.031 | 1.31 (0.52, 3.32) | 0.567 |
| TBil | 0.75 (0.25, 2.25) | 0.610 | ||
| ALB | 0.90 (0.47, 1.73) | 0.753 | ||
| PT | 0.87 (0.44, 1.73) | 0.70 | ||
| Tumor size | 1.30 (0.68, 2.50) | 0.426 | ||
| Arterial rim enhancement | 0.46 (0.24, 0.90) | 0.02 | 0.62 (0.25, 1.59) | 0.321 |
| Corona enhancement | 6.64 (3.12, 14.11) | 0.001 | 5.40 (2.04, 14.30) | <0.001 |
| Tumor margin | 1.37 (0.70, 2.69) | 0.354 | ||
| Radiological capsule | 1.06 (0.55, 2.04) | 0.870 | ||
| Tumor hypointensity on HBP | 1.40 (0.51, 3.85) | 0.509 | ||
| Peritumoral hypointensity on HBP | 7.99 (3.62, 17.64) | <0.001 | 8.06 (2.96, 21.93) | <0.001 |
HBP, hepatobiliary phase.
Multivariable analysis of risk factors of MVI and measurement of the MVI risk score.
| AFP >15 ng/mL | 4.71 (1.79, 12.39) | 0.002 | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| NLR >3.8 | 4.05 (1.68, 9.75) | 0.002 | 1.40 | 1 |
| corona enhancement | 5.96 (2.34, 15.19) | <0.001 | 1.78 | 2 |
| Peritumoral hypointensity on HBP | 8.37 (3.12, 22.41) | <0.001 | 2.12 | 2 |
Multivariable logistic regression model was carried out by using stepwise backward variable selection. The scaled coefficients were simplified by rounding them to nearest half. The MVI risk score is obtained by adding the total number of points scored in each of the 4 variables.
Figure 2(A) Forest plot of independent predictors of MVI with odds-ratio (OR) multivariate regression model. (B) The model presented with a nomogram scaled by the proportional regression coefficient of each risk variables. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the MVI prediction model: (C) AUROC was 0.884 in the primary cohorts; (D) AUROC was 0.899 in the validation cohorts.
Figure 3Calibration curve of MVI prediction model in primary cohort (A) and validation cohort (B). (C) Presents the decision curve for all patients.
Figure 4Recurrence and survival of the whole cohort; we organize the primary cohort and the validation cohort into one cohort, recurrence-rate (A) and survival-rate (B) comparison between higher risk group and lower risk group; in higher risk group, recurrence-rate (C) survival -rate (D) comparison between AR and NAR; in lower risk group, recurrence-rate (E) and survival -rate (F) comparison between AR and NAR.
Figure 5In the low-risk group, recurrence (A) and survival (B) between AR and NAR when tumor size ≦5 cm; recurrence (C) and survival (D) between AR and NAR when tumor size >5 cm.