| Literature DB >> 33814763 |
Anirudh Kohli1, Tanya Jha2, Amal Babu Pazhayattil1.
Abstract
CONTEXT: CT scan is a quick and effective method to triage patients in the Covid-19 pandemic to prevent the heathcare facilities from getting overwhelmed. AIMS: To find whether an initial HRCT chest can help triage patient by determining their oxygen requirement, place of treatment, laboratory parameters and risk of mortality and to compare 3 CT scoring systems (0-20, 0-25 and percentage of involved lung models) to find if one is a better predictor of prognosis than the other. SETTINGS ANDEntities:
Keywords: Covid-19; HRCT chest; oxygen requirement
Year: 2021 PMID: 33814763 PMCID: PMC7996689 DOI: 10.4103/ijri.IJRI_965_20
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Indian J Radiol Imaging ISSN: 0970-2016
Group cut-offs
| OS1 (0-20) | OS2 (0-25) | OP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | 0-4 | 0 to 7 | 0-10% |
| Moderate | 5-10 | 8-14 | 10-30% |
| Severe | 10 and above | 15 and above | 30% and above |
Variable Used
| Name | Details |
|---|---|
| Oxygen Requirement | 0 - Room air |
| 1 - Low Oxygen | |
| 2 - High Oxygen | |
| 3 - HVNC/NIV | |
| 4 - Intubated | |
| Place of Admission | 0 - Opd |
| 1 - Ward | |
| 2 - ICU |
Figure 1Flowchart
Baseline Demographics and Comorbidities
| Total | OS1 | OP | OS2 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | ||
| Total number | 740 | 473 | 201 | 66 | 541 | 120 | 79 | 511 | 165 | 64 |
| Age (in years) | 59 | 55 | 61 | 62 | 56 | 61 | 62 | 55 | 63 | 63 |
| Male | 483 (65%) | 292 (62%) | 144 (72%) | 47 (71%) | 338 (62%) | 91 (76%) | 54 (68%) | 312 (61%) | 124 (75%) | 47 (73%) |
| Comorbidities- Diabetes Mellitus | 308 (42%) | 189 (40%) | 86 (43%) | 33 (50%) | 216 (40%) | 54 (45%) | 38 (48%) | 201 (40%) | 76 (46%) | 31 (48%) |
| Hypertension | 331 (45%) | 194 (41%) | 100 (50%) | 37 (56%) | 222 (41%) | 65 (54%) | 44 (55%) | 208 (41%) | 87 (53%) | 36 (56%) |
| Ischemic Heart Disease | 113 (15%) | 66 (14%) | 34 (17%) | 13 (20%) | 75 (14%) | 23 (19%) | 15 (19%) | 69 (13%) | 31 (19%) | 13 (20%) |
| Obstructive airway disease | 32 (4%) | 18 (4%) | 10 (5%) | 4 (6%) | 24 (4%) | 4 (3%) | 4 (5%) | 21 (4%) | 7 (4%) | 4 (6%) |
| Hypothyroid | 48 (6%) | 34 (7%) | 10 (0.5%) | 4 (6%) | 37 (7%) | 6 (5%) | 5 (6%) | 33 (6%) | 12 (7%) | 3 (5%) |
| Chronic kidney disease | 21 (3%) | 7 (1·5%) | 10 (5%) | 4 (6%) | 14 (3%) | 4 (3%) | 3 (4%) | 10 (2%) | 7 (4%) | 4 (6%) |
| Parkinson's disease | 6 (1%) | 6 (1.3%) | 0 | 0 | 4 (1%) | 2 (2%) | 0 | 5 (1%) | 1 | 0 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 2 (0.27%) | 2 (0.4%) | 0 | 0 | 2 (0.4%) | 0 | 0 | 2 (0·4%) | 0 | 0 |
| Others | 7 (9%) | 4 (8%) | 1 (0·5%) | 2 (3%) | 5 (9%) | 0 | 2 (2·5%) | 4 (0.8%) | 0 | 3 (5%) |
| Time between swab and CT (in days) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Treatment- Antiviral (Remdesivir, Favipiravir) | 479 (65%) | 295 (62%) | 120 (60%) | 64 (97%) | 337 (62%) | 70 (59%) | 72 (91%) | 317 (62%) | 102 (62%) | 60 (94%) |
| Steroid (Dexamethasone, Methylprednisolone) | 556 (75%) | 320 (68%) | 170 (85%) | 66 (100%) | 387 (71%) | 90 (75%) | 79 (100%) | 373 (73%) | 119 (72%) | 64 (100%) |
| Plasma therapy | 17 (2%) | 0 | 2 (0.1%) | 15 (23%) | 0 | 0 | 17 (26%) | 0 | 2 (1%) | 15 (23%) |
| Hydrochloroquine | 517 (70%) | 392 (83%) | 100 (50%) | 25 (38%) | 447 (82%) | 40 (33%) | 30 (38%) | 395 (77%) | 97 (59%) | 25 (39%) |
| Others (Doxycycline, Azithromycin) | 590 (80%) | 365 (77%) | 176 (87%) | 49 (74%) | 429 (80%) | 103 (86%) | 58 (73%) | 406 (80%) | 139 (84%) | 45 (70%) |
| Tocilizumab/Itolizumab | 84 (11%) | 0 | 50 (25%) | 34 (51%) | 0 | 32 (26%) | 52 (66%) | 0 | 42 (25%) | 42 (65%) |
Relation with Oxygen Requirement
| Oxygen Requirement | OS1 | OP | OS2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | |
| RA | |||||||||
| Total Number | 458 | 132 | 4 | 509 | 76 | 9 | 486 | 104 | 4 |
| % within category | 96·82% | 65·67% | 6·06% | 94·08% | 63·33% | 11·39% | 95·10% | 63·03% | 6·25% |
| % of total | 77·10% | 22·22% | 0·67% | 85·69% | 12·79% | 1·51% | 81·81% | 17·63% | 0·67% |
| Low oxygen | |||||||||
| Total Number | 9 | 49 | 17 | 21 | 32 | 22 | 17 | 42 | 16 |
| % within category | 4·47% | 24·37% | 25·75% | 3·88% | 26·66% | 27·84% | 3·32% | 25·45% | 25% |
| % of total | 12% | 65·33% | 22·66% | 28% | 42·66% | 29·33% | 22·66% | 56% | 21·33% |
| High oxygen | |||||||||
| Total Number | 2 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| % within category | 0·42% | 5·97% | 21·21% | 1·29% | 4·16% | 20·25% | 1·17% | 4·84% | 21·87% |
| % of total | 7.14% | 42.85% | 50% | 25% | 17·85% | 57·14% | 21·42% | 28·57% | 50% |
| HFNC/NIV | |||||||||
| Total Number | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| % within category | 0·42% | 1·49% | 18·18% | 0·18% | 3·33% | 15·18% | 0·19% | 3·03% | 17·18% |
| % of total | 11·76% | 17·64% | 70·58% | 5·88% | 23·52% | 70·58% | 5·88% | 29·41% | 64·70% |
| Intubated | |||||||||
| Total number | 2 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 19 |
| % within category | 0·42% | 2·48% | 28·78% | 0·55% | 2·5% | 25·31% | 0·19% | 3·63% | 29·68% |
| % of total | 7·69% | 19·23% | 73·07% | 11·53% | 11·53% | 76·92% | 3·84% | 23·07% | 73·07% |
Figure 2Prediction of oxygen requirement by OS1
Figure 4Prediction of oxygen requirement by OP
Relation with Place of admission
| Place of treatment | Total | OS1 | OP | OS2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | ||
| OPD | 251 (44%) | 239 (95·21%) | 12 (4·78%) | 0 | 245 (97·62%) | 5 (1·99%) | 1 (0·39%) | 244 (97·21%) | 7 (2·79%) | 0 |
| Hospital ward | 381 (51%) | 217 (56·85%) | 147 (38·58%) | 17 (4·46%) | 270 (70·86%) | 88 (23·09%) | 23 (6·03%) | 246 (64·56%) | 120 (31·49%) | 15 (3·83%) |
| ICU | 108 (15%) | 17 (15·74%) | 42 (38·88%) | 49 (45·37%) | 26 (24·07%) | 27 (25%) | 55 (50·92%) | 21 (19·44%) | 38 (35·18%) | 49 (45·37%) |
Figure 5Prediction of place of admission by OS1
Figure 7Prediction of place of admission by OP
Relation with laboratory parameters
| LAB parameters | OS1 | OP | OS2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | Mild | Moderate | Severe | |
| D-dimer | 344 | 499 | 1135 | 360 | 547·5 | 1092 | 344 | 539 | 1185 |
| CRP | 11 | 43 | 53 | 18 | 57 | 57·85 | 12·8 | 57 | 53 |
| Ferritin | 124 | 316 | 670 | 156 | 408 | 512 | 151 | 337 | 700 |
| Procalcitonin | 0·08 | 0·09 | 0·545 | 0·08 | 0·09 | 0·52 | 0·073 | 0·09 | 0·54 |
| IL6 | 32 | 46 | 81 | 32·28 | 50 | 76 | 29 | 49 | 84 |
Figure 8Scatterplot matrix of laboratory parameters and scores
Figure 9Deaths by group
Figure 10Probability of death & OS1
Figure 12Probability of death & OP
Literature review
| Author | No of patients | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lanza | Percentage of compromised lung | 222 | Compromised lung volume was the most accurate outcome predictor (logistic regression, |
| Colombi | Percentage of well aerated lung | 236 | A percentage of well aerated lung less than 73% was a predictor of ICU admission or death |
| Leonardi | Percentage of compromised lung | 189 | A cut-off of 23% of lung involvement showed distinguished critically ill patients from patients with less severe disease. |
| Sandoval | AI based software- percentage involvement of lung | 166 | Threshold for 51% for mortality and 25% for mechanical ventilation |
| Jiayi Liu | 0-20 | 24 | As the severity increased, the number of lobe involved and CT severity score increased from 4 to 5 and 6 to 12 respectively. A cut off of 5 helped to identify cases with severe pneumonia (i.e. SpO2 less than 93% on room air and |
| Tabatabei | 0-20 | 90 non-elderly patients. 30 who expired were in case group and 60 who were discharged were in control group | CT severity score is the only statistically significant CT predictor of mortality. A score of 7.5 was cut-off point of CT severity score with the highest sensitivity (0·83) and specificity for predicting mortality. |
| Lyu | 0-20. used both qualitative and quantitative indicators | 51 | Cut off >10 to differentiate severe cases from mild and moderate. |
| Li | 0-20 | 78 | Cut off of 7.5 to diagnose severe- critical cases (SpO2 less than 93% on room air) |
| Fancone | 0-25 | 130 | CT score was significantly higher in critical and severe than in mild stage. A CT score of ≥18 was associated with an increased mortality risk and was found to be predictive of death. |
| Saeed | 0-25 | 902 | The 25-point CT severity score correlates well with the Covid-19 clinical severity. |
| Mahdjoub | 0-25 | 142 | CT score ≥13 was related to poor 5-day outcome |
| Zhou | 0-25 | 134 | The cut-off value of total CT scores was determined to be 16·5 for predicting poor prognosis in patients with Covid-19. |
| Feng | 0-25 | 298 | CT severity score is an independent predictor for progression to severe Covid-19 pneumonia |
| Abbasi | 0-24 | 262 | Optimal CT severity score threshold for identifying deceased patients was 10. The mean score of survivors was 7 and deceased patients was 14. |