Rohit Saha1, Benjamin Assouline1, Georgina Mason1, Abdel Douiri2, Charlotte Summers3, Manu Shankar-Hari4. 1. Critical Care, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK. 2. School of Population Health & Environmental Sciences, King's College London, London, UK; National Institute for Health Research Comprehensive Biomedical Research Centre, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK. 3. Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. 4. Critical Care, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King's College London, London, UK. Electronic address: manu.shankar-hari@kcl.ac.uk.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Control-arm mortality varies between acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) RCTs. METHODS: We systematically reviewed ARDS RCTs that commenced recruitment after publication of the American-European Consensus (AECC) definition (MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane central register of controlled trials; January 1994 to October 2020). We assessed concordance of RCT inclusion criteria to ARDS consensus definitions and whether exclusion criteria are strongly or poorly justified. We estimated the proportion of between-trial difference in control-arm 28-day mortality explained by the inclusion criteria and RCT design characteristics using meta-regression. RESULTS: A literature search identified 43 709 records. One hundred and fifty ARDS RCTs were included; 146/150 (97.3%) RCTs defined ARDS inclusion criteria using AECC/Berlin definitions. Deviations from consensus definitions, primarily aimed at improving ARDS diagnostic certainty, frequently related to duration of hypoxaemia (117/146; 80.1%). Exclusion criteria could be grouped by rationale for selection into strongly or poorly justified criteria. Common poorly justified exclusions included pregnancy related, age, and comorbidities (infectious/immunosuppression, hepatic, renal, and human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome). Control-arm 28-day mortality varied between ARDS RCTs (mean: 29.8% [95% confidence interval: 27.0-32.7%; I2=88.8%; τ2=0.02; P<0.01]), and differed significantly between RCTs with different Pao2:FiO2 ratio inclusion thresholds (26.6-39.9 kPa vs <26.6 kPa; P<0.01). In a meta-regression model, inclusion criteria and RCT design characteristics accounted for 30.6% of between-trial difference (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In most ARDS RCTs, consensus definitions are modified to use as inclusion criteria. Between-RCT mortality differences are mostly explained by the Pao2:FiO2 ratio threshold within the consensus definitions. An exclusion criteria framework can be applied when designing and reporting exclusion criteria in future ARDS RCTs.
BACKGROUND: Control-arm mortality varies between acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) RCTs. METHODS: We systematically reviewed ARDS RCTs that commenced recruitment after publication of the American-European Consensus (AECC) definition (MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane central register of controlled trials; January 1994 to October 2020). We assessed concordance of RCT inclusion criteria to ARDS consensus definitions and whether exclusion criteria are strongly or poorly justified. We estimated the proportion of between-trial difference in control-arm 28-day mortality explained by the inclusion criteria and RCT design characteristics using meta-regression. RESULTS: A literature search identified 43 709 records. One hundred and fifty ARDS RCTs were included; 146/150 (97.3%) RCTs defined ARDS inclusion criteria using AECC/Berlin definitions. Deviations from consensus definitions, primarily aimed at improving ARDS diagnostic certainty, frequently related to duration of hypoxaemia (117/146; 80.1%). Exclusion criteria could be grouped by rationale for selection into strongly or poorly justified criteria. Common poorly justified exclusions included pregnancy related, age, and comorbidities (infectious/immunosuppression, hepatic, renal, and human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome). Control-arm 28-day mortality varied between ARDS RCTs (mean: 29.8% [95% confidence interval: 27.0-32.7%; I2=88.8%; τ2=0.02; P<0.01]), and differed significantly between RCTs with different Pao2:FiO2 ratio inclusion thresholds (26.6-39.9 kPa vs <26.6 kPa; P<0.01). In a meta-regression model, inclusion criteria and RCT design characteristics accounted for 30.6% of between-trial difference (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In most ARDS RCTs, consensus definitions are modified to use as inclusion criteria. Between-RCT mortality differences are mostly explained by the Pao2:FiO2 ratio threshold within the consensus definitions. An exclusion criteria framework can be applied when designing and reporting exclusion criteria in future ARDS RCTs.
Authors: Ellen Gorman; Manu Shankar-Hari; Phil Hopkins; William S Tunnicliffe; Gavin D Perkins; Jonathan Silversides; Peter McGuigan; Anna Krasnodembskaya; Colette Jackson; Roisin Boyle; Jamie McFerran; Cliona McDowell; Christina Campbell; Margaret McFarland; Jon Smythe; Jacqui Thompson; Barry Williams; Gerard Curley; John G Laffey; Mike Clarke; Daniel F McAuley; Cecilia M O'Kane Journal: EClinicalMedicine Date: 2021-10-24