| Literature DB >> 33807268 |
Kazuki Shimizu1,2, Stuart Gilmour3, Hiromi Mase4, Phuong Mai Le3, Ayaka Teshima5, Haruka Sakamoto6,7, Shuhei Nomura6,7.
Abstract
The 2020 summer Olympic and Paralympic Games in Tokyo were postponed to July-September 2021 due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. While COVID-19 has emerged as a monumental health threat for mass gathering events, heat illness must be acknowledged as a potentially large health threat for maintaining health services. We examined the number of COVID-19 admissions and the Tokyo rule for emergency medical care, in Tokyo, from March to September 2020, and investigated the weekly number of emergency transportations due to heat illness and weekly averages of the daily maximum Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) in Tokyo in the summer (2016-2020). The peak of emergency transportations due to heat illness overlapped the resurgence of COVID-19 in 2020, and an increase of heat illness patients and WBGT has been observed. Respect for robust science is critical for the decision-making process of mass gathering events during the pandemic, and science-based countermeasures and implementations for COVID-19 will be warranted. Without urgent reconsiderations and sufficient countermeasures, the double burden of COVID-19 and heat-related illnesses in Tokyo will overwhelm the healthcare provision system, and maintaining essential health services will be challenging during the 2021 summer Olympic and Paralympic Games.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; health security; health services; health systems; heat illness; mass gathering; pandemic; risk assessment
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33807268 PMCID: PMC8037344 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18073620
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1Number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) admissions and Tokyo rule for emergency medical care in March–September 2020. Yellow bars illustrate the number of COVID-19 admissions, and the blue line presents the trend in the Tokyo rule for emergency medical care. Please note that the number of COVID-19 admissions before 11 May included patients isolated at designated accommodations or home, and the number of hospitalized COVID-19 patients before 5 March was not published on the dashboard [11].
Number of emergency transportations due to heat illness in Tokyo in weeks 29–36 in Tokyo in 2016–2020, by age and severity.
| Year | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | ||
|
| 0–17 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| 18–64 | 38.7% | 42.5% | 43.6% | 38.8% | 36.8% | |
| 65- | 51.0% | 47.6% | 46.7% | 53.9% | 57.8% | |
|
| mild | 61.9% | 61.4% | 61.7% | 58.0% | 57.4% |
| moderate | 36.5% | 36.4% | 35.0% | 36.9% | 37.9% | |
| severe/fatal | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | |
|
| 1789 | 1831 | 6269 * | 5048 * | 4862 | |
* As the severity of 2 heat illness transportations in 2018 and 1 in 2019 was classified as “others” whose severity or diagnosis remained unknown or who were transferred to other places, the total number did not correspond to the sum of the three categories.
Figure 2Number of emergency transportations due to heat illness by disposition and weekly averages of daily maximum Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) in Tokyo in 2016–2020. Yellow indicates the number of heat illness patients requiring admission, or confirmed dead, while green shows mild cases of patients who did not need admissions. The red line shows the trend in the weekly averages of daily maximum WBGT. Gray-shaded areas represent the variation of daily maximum WBGT in each week.