| Literature DB >> 33807004 |
Jacob M Miller1, Jeremy T Beales1, Matthew D Montierth1, Farren B Briggs2, Scott F Frodsham3, Mary Feller Davis1,4.
Abstract
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an immune-mediated, demyelinating disease of the central nervous system. In this study, an MS cohort and healthy controls were stratified into Caucasian and African American groups. Patient hematological profiles-composed of complete blood count (CBC) and complete metabolic panel (CMP) test values-were analyzed to identify differences between MS cases and controls and between patients with different MS subtypes. Additionally, random forest models were used to determine the aggregate utility of common hematological tests in determining MS disease status and subtype. The most significant and relevant results were increased bilirubin and creatinine in MS cases. The random forest models achieved some success in differentiating between MS cases and controls (AUC values: 0.725 and 0.710, respectively) but were not successful in differentiating between subtypes. However, larger samples that adjust for possible confounding variables, such as treatment status, may reveal the value of these tests in differentiating between MS subtypes.Entities:
Keywords: electronic health records; multiple sclerosis; random forest
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33807004 PMCID: PMC8004915 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18063318
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Demographic and clinical data of the study populations.
| RRMS/SPMS | PPMS | All MS Cases | Controls | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucasian Cohort | Number of patients | 1643 | 259 | 4306 | 38,592 |
| Average Age (years) | 47.1 | 53.6 | 56.3 | 58.2 | |
| % Female | 76.9% | 68.0% | 76.4% | 51.9% | |
| African American Cohort | Number of patients | 227 | 47 | 596 | 3425 |
| Average Age (years) | 44.0 | 52.4 | 52.5 | 51.1 | |
| % Female | 84.1% | 68.1% | 79.8% | 61.6% |
Age is calculated for the year 2018 using patient birth year.
Comparison of hematological profiles of MS cases and controls.
| Caucasian | African American | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||
|
| ||||
| Hemoglobin (Hgb) |
|
|
|
|
| Immature platelet fraction (IPF) | 0.99 (0.95–1.03) | 0.714 | 0.99 (0.88–1.08) | 0.763 |
| Immature reticulocyte fraction (IRF) | 1.01 (0.99–1.03) | 0.212 | 1.02 (0.98–1.07) | 0.306 |
| Mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH) | 1.03 (1.01–1.04) | 0.002 | 1.00 (0.97–1.03) | 0.981 |
| MHC concentration (MCHC) | 1.04 (1.01–1.06) | 0.011 | 0.91 (0.84–0.98) | 0.010 |
| Mean corpuscular volume (MCV) | 1.01 (1.00–1.01) | 0.041 | 1.01 (0.99–1.02) | 0.396 |
| Mean platelet volume (MPV) |
|
|
|
|
| Packed cell volume (PCV) |
|
|
|
|
| Platelet count (PltCt) |
|
| 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.099 |
| Red blood cell count (RBC) |
|
|
| |
| Red cell distribution width (RDW) |
|
| 0.92 (0.88–0.97) | 0.003 |
| RDW standard deviation (RDWSD) | 1.01 (1.00–1.01) | 0.191 | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | 0.880 |
| Reticulocytes absolute value (RetAbs) | 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | 0.003 | 1.01 (0.99–1.03) | 0.192 |
| Reticulocyte Hgb equivalent (RETHE) | 0.97 (0.94–1.01) | 0.118 | 0.98 (0.91–1.04) | 0.552 |
| Reticulocyte count (RetiCt) | 1.00 (0.92–1.08) | 0.924 | 0.98 (0.71–1.23) | 0.863 |
| White blood cell count (WBC) |
|
|
|
|
| Neutrophil absolute count (NeutAbs) |
|
| ‡ | |
| Lymphocyte absolute count (LymAbs) | 0.98 (0.95–1.00) | 0.071 | ‡ | |
| Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) |
|
| 0.97 (0.93–1.00) | 0.042 |
|
| ||||
| Albumin (Alb) |
|
|
|
|
| Alkaline phosphatase (AlkP) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.875 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.091 |
| Anion gap (ANGAP) |
|
|
|
|
| Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) | 1.01 (1.00–1.01) | 0.010 | 1.00 (0.99–1.02) | 0.555 |
| Calcium (Ca) | 1.05 (0.98–1.13) | 0.148 | 1.17 (0.96–1.42) | 0.115 |
| Chloride (Cl) |
|
| 0.98 (0.95–1.01) | 0.255 |
| Carbon dioxide (CO2) | 1.01 (0.99–1.02) | 0.375 | 1.00 (0.97–1.05) | 0.826 |
| Creatinine (Creat) |
|
| 0.79 (0.64–0.92) | 0.012 |
| Glucose (Gluc) |
|
|
|
|
| Icterus index (IctIdx) | 0.76 (0.34–1.39) | 0.447 | ‡ | |
| Potassium (K) | 1.14 (1.04–1.26) | 0.007 | 1.42 (1.10–1.83) | 0.008 |
| Lipid index (LipIdx) | 1.01 (0.99–1.02) | 0.465 | 1.02 (1.00–1.05) | 0.079 |
| Sodium (Na) | 1.02 (1.01–1.04) | 0.005 | 1.07 (1.03–1.12) | 0.002 |
| Aspartate amino transferase (SGOT) | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 1.03 × 10−5 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.471 |
| Alanine amino transferase (SGPT) | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.444 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.947 |
| Bilirubin (TBil) | 0.19 (0.16–0.22) | 3.7 × 10−104 |
|
|
| Total protein (TProt) | 1.11 (1.04–1.19) | 0.002 | 0.99 (0.84–1.17) | 0.920 |
After Bonferroni correction, the adjusted p-value for both groups was 0.0014. Significant tests are bolded above. Odds ratios represent risk of having MS. ‡ It was not possible to calculate the upper limit of the confidence interval.
Comparison of Hematological Profiles of RRMS/SPMS and PPMS Patients.
| Caucasian | African American | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |||
|
| ||||
| Hemoglobin (Hgb) | 1.03 (0.93–1.14) | 0.579 | 1.08 (0.85–1.38) | 0.520 |
| Immature platelet fraction (IPF) | 1.03 (0.90–1.38) | 0.769 | † | |
| Immature reticulocyte fraction (IRF) | 1.05 (0.95–1.20) | 0.433 | † | |
| Mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH) | 1.05 (0.97–1.12) | 0.224 | 1.05 (0.92–1.20) | 0.463 |
| MHC concentration (MCHC) | 1.14 (0.99–1.32) | 0.070 | 0.99 (0.71–1.37) | 0.947 |
| Mean corpuscular volume (MCV) | 1.01 (0.98–1.04) | 0.547 | 1.03 (0.97–1.08) | 0.344 |
| Mean platelet volume (MPV) |
|
| 1.20 (0.76–1.94) | 0.442 |
| Packed cell volume (PCV) | 1.00 (0.97–1.04) | 0.837 | 1.03 (0.95–1.13) | 0.454 |
| Platelet count (PltCt) |
|
| 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 0.435 |
| Red blood cell count (RBC) | 1.02 (0.74–1.39) | 0.926 | 0.92 (0.47–1.83) | 0.808 |
| Red cell distribution width (RDW) | 0.91 (0.82–1.03) | 0.129 | 0.99 (0.80–1.27) | 0.959 |
| RDW standard deviation (RDWSD) | 0.99 (0.95–1.03) | 0.456 | 1.00 (0.91–1.10) | 0.930 |
| Reticulocytes absolute value (RetAbs) | ‡ | † | ||
| Reticulocyte Hgb equivalent (RETHE) | 0.98 (0.78–1.18) | 0.825 | † | |
| Reticulocyte count (RetiCt) | 0.80 (0.51–1.33) | 0.358 | 0.98 (0.19–5.29) | 0.983 |
| White blood cell count (WBC) |
|
| 0.92 (0.81–1.06) | 0.254 |
| Neutrophil absolute count (NeutAbs) |
|
| 0.86 (0.72–1.03) | 0.092 |
| Lymphocyte absolute count (LymAbs) | 0.99 (0.83–1.19) | 0.945 | 0.69 (0.45–1.07) | 0.090 |
| Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) | 1.00 (0.96–1.06) | 0.984 | 0.93 (0.77–1.17) | 0.497 |
|
| ||||
| Albumin (Alb) | 1.02 (0.68–1.50) | 0.927 | 1.88 (0.84–4.17) | 0.112 |
| Alkaline phosphatase (AlkP) | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 0.738 | 0.99 (0.98–1.00) | 0.122 |
| Anion gap (ANGAP) | 1.05 (0.97–1.14) | 0.220 |
|
|
| Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) | 1.01 (0.98–1.04) | 0.683 | 1.03 (0.96–1.11) | 0.487 |
| Calcium (Ca) | 1.09 (0.81–1.45) | 0.553 |
|
|
| Chloride (Cl) | 1.03 (0.98–1.08) | 0.249 |
|
|
| Carbon dioxide (CO2) | 0.95 (0.90–1.01) | 0.123 | 1.08 (0.90–1.30) | 0.396 |
| Creatinine (Creat) | 2.23 (1.05–5.13) | 0.051 | 4.78 (1.04–29.11) | 0.066 |
| Glucose (Gluc) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 0.714 | 1.01 (1.00–1.03) | 0.110 |
| Icterus index (IctIdx) | 0.75 (0.19–2.63) | 0.656 | † | |
| Potassium (K) | 1.21 (0.80–1.83) | 0.376 | 1.03 (0.31–3.50) | 0.965 |
| Lipid index (LipIdx) | 1.07 (0.99–1.22) | 0.226 | † | |
| Sodium (Na) | 1.02 (0.96–1.09) | 0.461 | 0.96 (0.79–1.16) | 0.692 |
| Aspartate amino transferase (SGOT) | 1.01 (1.00–1.02) | 0.309 | 1.02 (1.00–1.08) | 0.422 |
| Alanine amino transferase (SGPT) | 1.00 (1.00–1.01) | 0.353 | 1.03 (0.99–1.07) | 0.191 |
| Bilirubin (TBil) | 0.88 (0.67–1.41) | 0.443 |
|
|
| Total protein (TProt) | 1.06 (0.76–1.46) | 0.730 | 1.79 (0.93–3.44) | 0.076 |
After Bonferroni correction, the adjusted p-value was 0.0014 for the Caucasian group and 0.0017 for the African American group. No tests were significant with these p-values. Nominally significant tests are bolded above. Odds ratios represent risk of having PPMS compared to RRMS/SPMS. † Too few patients had data available to perform the analysis. ‡ It was not possible to calculate the upper limit of the confidence interval.
Figure 1ROC curves showing performance of each random forest model.