| Literature DB >> 33799908 |
Ricardo de Miguel1, Marta Arrieta1, Ana Rodríguez-Largo1, Irache Echeverría2, Raúl Resendiz1, Estela Pérez1, Héctor Ruiz1, Marta Pérez3,4, Damián de Andrés2, Ramsés Reina2, Ignacio de Blas1,4, Lluís Luján1,4.
Abstract
Small Ruminant Lentiviruses (SRLV) are highly prevalent retroviruses with significant genetic diversity and antigenic heterogeneity that cause a progressive wasting disease of sheep called Maedi-visna. This work provides a systematic review and meta-analysis of the last 40 years (1981-2020) of scientific publications on SRLV individual and flock prevalence. Fifty-eight publications and 314 studies were included. Most articles used a single diagnostic test to estimate prevalence (77.6%), whereas articles using three or more tests were scarce (6.9%). Serological tests are more frequently used than direct methods and ELISA has progressively replaced AGID over the last decades. SRLV infection in sheep is widespread across the world, with Europe showing the highest individual prevalence (40.9%) and being the geographical area in which most studies have been performed. Africa, Asia, and North America show values between 16.7% to 21.8% at the individual level. South and Central America show the lowest individual SRLV prevalence (1.7%). There was a strong positive correlation between individual and flock prevalence (ρ = 0.728; p ≤ 0.001). Despite the global importance of small ruminants, the coverage of knowledge on SRLV prevalence is patchy and inconsistent. There is a lack of a gold standard method and a defined sampling strategy among countries and continents.Entities:
Keywords: maedi-visna; meta-analysis; prevalence; seroprevalence; small ruminant lentiviruses
Year: 2021 PMID: 33799908 PMCID: PMC8000744 DOI: 10.3390/ani11030784
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Animals (Basel) ISSN: 2076-2615 Impact factor: 2.752
Definition of the parameters used in the epidemiological meta-analysis.
| Mathematical Equations |
|---|
| Apparent prevalence = (Pos/n)∙100 |
| Positive animals or flocks = (P∙n)/100 |
| Confidence interval = (2nP + Z_(α/2)^2 ± Z_(α/2) √(4nP(1 − P) + Z_(α/2)^2))/(2(n + Z(α/2)^2)) |
| Weighted arithmetic mean of prevalence = (∑ (Pi∙ni))/(∑ni) |
| Heterogeneity statistic I2 = ((Q − df)/Q) × 100 |
Pos, number of positive animals; n, sample size; P, prevalence value; Z value, varies depending on the percent of confidence; α, alpha level or difference between 100% and the confidence interval; Pi, prevalence value of each study to be averaged; ni, sample size of each study to be averaged; Q, Cochran’s homogeneity test statistic; df, degrees of freedom.
Figure 1Analysis of diagnostic tests: (a) number of diagnostic tests performed in each article; and (b) evolution of the diagnostic tests from 1981 to 2020.
Individual SRLV prevalence in each continent. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020.
| Continent | Studies | N 1 | Prevalence (%) | Range (%) | Heterogeneity | Refs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% 2 | Min | Max | I2 3 ( | ||||
| Africa | 5 | 1688 | 16.65 | 14.95–18.50 | 1.37 | 24.80 | 98.09 (<0.001) | [ |
| Asia | 47 | 8309 | 20.38 | 19.52–21.26 | 0.00 | 71.20 | 98.60 (<0.001) | [ |
| Europe | 65 | 407,509 | 40.90 | 40.75–41.05 | 0.00 | 66.43 | 98.98 (<0.001) | [ |
| North America | 46 | 124,542 | 21.76 | 21.53–21.99 | 0.00 | 52.00 | 99.61 (<0.001) | [ |
| South and Central America | 41 | 46,418 | 1.67 | 1.56–1.79 | 0.00 | 30.00 | 91.52 (<0.001) | [ |
| Global | 204 | 588,466 | 33.39 | 33.27–33.51 | 0.00 | 71.20 | 99.95 (<0.001) | |
1 N, number of animals tested; 2 CI 95%, 95% confidence interval; 3 I2, heterogeneity statistic.
Figure 2Individual SRLV prevalence (%) in sheep per country. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020 and detailed in Table 2. Inset: Higher magnification of Europe.
Flock SRLV prevalence in each continent. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020.
| Continent | Studies | N 1 | Prevalence (%) | Range (%) | Heterogeneity | Refs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% 2 | Min | Max | I2 3 ( | ||||
| Africa | 1 | 13 | 7.69 | 1.37–33.31 | 7.69 | 7.69 | N/A 4 | [ |
| Asia | 8 | 197 | 65.99 | 59.12–72.24 | 21.43 | 100.00 | 95.58 (<0.001) | 5 |
| Europe | 35 | 4590 | 44.38 | 42.95–45.82 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 99.98 (<0.001) | 6 |
| North America | 32 | 1933 | 48.58 | 46.35–50.81 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 95.26 (<0.001) | 7 |
| South and Central America | 34 | 2358 | 18.87 | 17.34–20.50 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 83.15 (<0.001) | 8 |
| Global | 110 | 9091 | 39.07 | 38.07. 40.08 | 0 | 100 | 99.94 (<0.001) | |
1 N, number of animals tested; 2 CI 95%, 95% confidence interval; 3 I2, heterogeneity statistic; 4 N/A, not applicable; 5 [25,26,28,29,31,33,35]; 6 [11,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,45,47,48,49,51,54,55]; 7 [57,58,59,61,62,63,64,65,66]; 8 [67,69,71,72,73,74,75].
Figure 3Flock prevalence (%) of SRLV in sheep by country. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020 and detailed in Table 3. Inset: Higher magnification of Europe.
Figure 4Correlation between individual and flock SRLV prevalence: dots are the data of each individual study (n = 118); the red line is the linear regression; and the blue area is the 95% confidence interval of the linear regression [11,21,25,26,28,29,31,33,35,36,37,38,41,42,45,47,48,49,51,52,54,57,58,59,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,69,71,72,73,74,75].
Animal SLRV prevalence in each continent from 1981 to 1990.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 1 | 72 | 2.78 | 0.77–9.57 | 2.78 | 2.78 |
| Asia | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Europe | 5 | 24,969 | 16.34 | 15.88–16.80 | 1.70 | 26.67 |
| North America | 19 | 57,593 | 19.13 | 18.81–19.45 | 0.00 | 39.92 |
| South and Central America | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Global | 25 | 82,634 | 18.27 | 18.01–18.54 | 0.00 | 39.92 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Animal SLRV prevalence in each continent from 1991 to 2000.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 2 | 1267 | 20.99 | 18.84–23.32 | 6.74 | 24.80 |
| Asia | 13 | 2890 | 6.02 | 5.21–6.95 | 0.00 | 12.20 |
| Europe | 11 | 26,232 | 9.10 | 8.76–9.45 | 0.00 | 24.00 |
| North America | 21 | 39,444 | 26.49 | 26.05–26.92 | 2.19 | 52.00 |
| South and Central America | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Global | 47 | 69,833 | 19.01 | 18.72–19.30 | 0.00 | 52.00 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Animal SLRV prevalence in each continent from 2001 to 2010.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 2 | 349 | 3.72 | 2.19–6.27 | 1.37 | 5.42 |
| Asia | 17 | 3889 | 28.57 | 27.17–30.01 | 0.00 | 68.97 |
| Europe | 5 | 296,695 | 51.25 | 51.07–51.43 | 24.80 | 66.43 |
| North America | 3 | 23,923 | 22.21 | 21.69–22.74 | 1.95 | 28.82 |
| South and Central America | 18 | 26,529 | 1.09 | 0.97–1.22 | 0.00 | 4.42 |
| Global | 45 | 351,385 | 45.19 | 45.02–45.35 | 0.00 | 68.97 |
Animal SLRV prevalence in each continent from 2011 to 2020.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Asia | 17 | 1530 | 26.67 | 24.51–28.94 | 4.29 | 71.20 |
| Europe | 44 | 59,613 | 13.65 | 13.38–13.93 | 0.00 | 54.73 |
| North America | 3 | 3582 | 8.93 | 8.04–9.91 | 4.63 | 15.19 |
| South and Central America | 23 | 19,889 | 2.45 | 2.24–2.67 | 0.00 | 30.00 |
| Global | 87 | 84,614 | 11.05 | 10.84–11.27 | 0.00 | 71.20 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Individual SRLV prevalence in each country. Mean, 95% confidence interval, and range are provided. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020.
| Country | Studies | N 1 | Prevalence (%) | Range (%) | Refs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% 2 | Min | Max | ||||
| AFRICA | |||||||
| Ethiopia | 2 | 349 | 3.72 | 2.19–6.27 | 1.37 | 5.42 | [ |
| Morocco | 2 | 1072 | 23.32 | 20.89–25.94 | 2.78 | 24.80 | [ |
| Nigeria | 1 | 267 | 6.74 | 4.31–10.40 | 6.74 | 6.74 | [ |
| ASIA | |||||||
| China | 12 | 672 | 22.77 | 19.76–26.09 | 5.36 | 50.00 | [ |
| India | 1 | 140 | 4.29 | 1.98–9.03 | 4.29 | 4.29 | [ |
| Iraq | 1 | 210 | 12.86 | 8.99–18.06 | 12.86 | 12.86 | [ |
| Iran | 1 | 220 | 34.55 | 28.58–41.05 | 34.55 | 34.55 | [ |
| Japan | 4 | 771 | 0.78 | 0.36–1.69 | 0.00 | 1.24 | [ |
| Jordan | 1 | 231 | 36.36 | 30.43–42.74 | 36.36 | 36.36 | [ |
| Lebanon | 1 | 184 | 71.20 | 64.27–77.25 | 71.20 | 71.20 | [ |
| Pakistan | 1 | 93 | 7.53 | 3.69–14.73 | 7.53 | 7.53 | [ |
| Syria | 13 | 2890 | 6.02 | 5.21–6.95 | 0.00 | 12.20 | [ |
| Turkey | 12 | 2898 | 35.51 | 33.79–37.27 | 0.00 | 68.97 | [ |
| EUROPE | |||||||
| Austria | 1 | 883 | 9.40 | 7.65–11.50 | 9.40 | 9.40 | [ |
| Belgium | 1 | 555 | 9.37 | 7.22–12.08 | 9.37 | 9.37 | [ |
| Czech Republic | 1 | 2801 | 19.85 | 18.41–21.37 | 19.85 | 19.85 | [ |
| Finland | 1 | 10,802 | 0.00 | 0.00–0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | [ |
| France | 3 | 23,404 | 16.68 | 16.20–17.16 | 1.70 | 26.67 | [ |
| Germany | 2 | 2252 | 28.51 | 26.68–30.41 | 0.00 | 28.80 | [ |
| Greece | 1 | 143 | 66.43 | 58.35–73.65 | 66.43 | 66.43 | [ |
| Italy | 1 | 682 | 13.64 | 11.26–16.42 | 13.64 | 13.64 | [ |
| Kosovo | 6 | 10,544 | 35.19 | 34.28–36.10 | 12.92 | 45.93 | [ |
| Poland | 16 | 19,253 | 14.33 | 13.84–14.83 | 0.16 | 54.73 | [ |
| Serbia | 14 | 11,709 | 3.38 | 3.07–3.73 | 0.00 | 9.96 | [ |
| Spain | 16 | 308,858 | 49.84 | 49.67–50.02 | 1.23 | 54.41 | [ |
| Switzerland | 1 | 3866 | 9.00 | 8.14–9.94 | 9.00 | 9.00 | [ |
| United Kingdom | 1 | 11,757 | 0.74 | 0.60–0.91 | 0.74 | 0.74 | [ |
| NORTH AMERICA | |||||||
| Canada | 29 | 68,019 | 19.21 | 18.92–19.51 | 0.00 | 50.00 | [ |
| Mexico | 1 | 157 | 7.64 | 4.43–12.88 | 7.64 | 7.64 | [ |
| United States | 16 | 56,366 | 24.87 | 24.51–25.23 | 2.19 | 52.00 | [ |
| SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA | |||||||
| Argentina | 29 | 42,597 | 1.69 | 1.57–1.82 | 0.00 | 30.00 | [ |
| Brazil | 6 | 3103 | 1.32 | 0.98–1.79 | 0.11 | 8.20 | [ |
| Cosa Rica | 6 | 718 | 1.95 | 1.16–3.25 | 0.00 | 4.26 | [ |
1 N, number of animals tested. 2 CI 95%, 95% confidence interval.
Flock SLRV prevalence in each continent from 1981 to 1990.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 1 | 13 | 7.69 | 1.37–33.31 | 7.69 | 7.69 |
| Asia | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Europe | 4 | 477 | 58.49 | 54.02–62.83 | 12.50 | 98.94 |
| North America | 12 | 675 | 62.96 | 59.26–66.52 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
| South and Central America | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Global | 17 | 1165 | 60.52 | 57.68–63.28 | 0 | 100 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Flock SLRV prevalence in each continent from 1991 to 2000.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Asia | 1 | 73 | 32.88 | 23.19–44.27 | 32.88 | 32.88 |
| Europe | 8 | 445 | 11.01 | 8.43–14.26 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
| North America | 15 | 357 | 53.22 | 48.04–58.34 | 20.00 | 100.00 |
| South and Central America | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Global | 24 | 875 | 30.06 | 27.11–33.18 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Flock SLRV prevalence in each continent from 2001 to 2010.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Asia | 3 | 67 | 76.12 | 64.67–84.73 | 21.43 | 95.65 |
| Europe | 4 | 912 | 92.65 | 90.78–94.17 | 51.22 | 100.00 |
| North America | 2 | 759 | 34.91 | 31.61–38.37 | 22.08 | 36.36 |
| South and Central America | 17 | 1234 | 12.97 | 11.21–14.96 | 0.00 | 25.00 |
| Global | 26 | 2972 | 44.82 | 42.67–46.24 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Flock SLRV prevalence in each continent from 2011 to 2020.
| Continent | Studies | N | Prevalence | Range | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% | Min | Max | |||
| Africa | 0 | 0 | N/A 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Asia | 4 | 57 | 96.49 | 88.08–99.03 | 83.33 | 100.00 |
| Europe | 19 | 2756 | 31.35 | 29.64–33.11 | 2.75 | 100.00 |
| North America | 3 | 142 | 41.55 | 33.77–49.77 | 35.00 | 51.85 |
| South and Central America | 17 | 1124 | 25.36 | 22.90–27.98 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
| Global | 43 | 4079 | 30.96 | 29.56–32.40 | 0.00 | 100.00 |
1 N/A, not applicable.
Flock SRLV prevalence in each country. Mean, 95% confidence interval, and range are provided. Data extracted from scientific literature published from 1981 to 2020.
| Country | Studies | N 1 | Prevalence (%) | Range (%) | Refs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | CI 95% 2 | Min | Max | ||||
| AFRICA | |||||||
| Ethiopia | 0 | 0 | N/A 3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Morocco | 1 | 13 | 7.69 | 1.37–33.31 | 7.69 | 7.69 | [ |
| Nigeria | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| ASIA | |||||||
| China | 1 | 24 | 100.00 | 86.20–100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | [ |
| India | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Iraq | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Iran | 1 | 30 | 86.67 | 70.32–94.69 | 86.67 | 86.67 | [ |
| Japan | 1 | 14 | 21.43 | 7.57–47.59 | 21.43 | 21.43 | [ |
| Jordan | 2 | 17 | 88.24 | 65.66–96.71 | 83.33 | 100.00 | [ |
| Lebanon | 1 | 16 | 100.00 | 80.64–100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | [ |
| Pakistan | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Syria | 1 | 73 | 32.88 | 23.19–44.27 | 32.88 | 32.88 | [ |
| Turkey | 1 | 23 | 95.65 | 79.01–99.23 | 95.65 | 95.65 | [ |
| EUROPE | |||||||
| Austria | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Belgium | 1 | 87 | 17.24 | 10.74–26.52 | 17.24 | 17.24 | [ |
| Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Finland | 1 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00–1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | [ |
| France | 3 | 383 | 48.56 | 43.60–53.56 | 12.50 | 86.67 | [ |
| Germany | 1 | 41 | 51.22 | 36.48–65.75 | 51.22 | 51.22 | [ |
| Greece | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Italy | 1 | 94 | 98.94 | 94.22–99.81 | 98.94 | 98.94 | [ |
| Kosovo | 1 | 318 | 84.91 | 80.56–88.42 | 84.91 | 84.91 | [ |
| Poland | 15 | 1621 | 34.24 | 31.97–36.58 | 3.77 | 71.43 | [ |
| Serbia | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Spain | 11 | 980 | 89.49 | 87.41–91.26 | 6.67 | 100.00 | [ |
| Switzerland | 0 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| United Kingdom | 1 | 726 | 2.75 | 1.79–4.22 | 2.75 | 2.75 | [ |
| NORTH AMERICA | |||||||
| Canada | 15 | 849 | 58.30 | 54.96–61.58 | 0.00 | 100.00 | [ |
| Mexico | 1 | 20 | 35.00 | 18.12–56.71 | 35.00 | 35.00 | [ |
| United States | 16 | 1064 | 41.07 | 38.15–44.05 | 20.00 | 87.50 | [ |
| SOUTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA | |||||||
| Argentina | 29 | 2239 | 18.94 | 17.37–20.61 | 0.00 | 100.00 | [ |
| Brazil | 4 | 104 | 14.42 | 8.94–22.44 | 1.85 | 80.00 | [ |
| Cosa Rica | 1 | 15 | 40.00 | 19.82–64.25 | 40.00 | 40.00 | [ |
1 N, number of animals tested. 2 CI 95%, 95% confidence interval. 3 N/A, not applicable.