Nan Wang1,2,3, Jiawei Xu1,3, Chenglei Pei4, Rong Tang1,3, Derong Zhou1,3, Yanning Chen4, Mei Li5,6, Xuejiao Deng2, Tao Deng2, Xin Huang1,3, Aijun Ding1,3. 1. Joint International Research Laboratory of Atmospheric and Earth System Sciences, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China. 2. Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology/Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Regional Numerical Weather Prediction, China Meteorological Administration, Guangzhou 510640, China. 3. Jiangsu Provincial Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Change, Nanjing, 210023, China. 4. Guangzhou Environmental Monitoring Center, Guangzhou, 510308, China. 5. Institute of Mass Spectrometer and Atmospheric Environment, Guangdong Provincial Engineering Research Center for On-Line Source Apportionment System of Air Pollution, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China. 6. Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Joint Laboratory of Collaborative Innovation for Environmental Quality, Guangzhou 511443, China.
Abstract
Despite the large reduction in anthropogenic activities due to the outbreak of COVID-19, air quality in China has witnessed little improvement and featured great regional disparities. Here, by combining observational data and simulations, this work aims to understand the diverse air quality response in two city clusters, Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) and Pearl River Delta region (PRD), China. Though there was a noticeable drop in primary pollutants in both the regions, differently, the maximum daily 8 h average ozone (O3) soared by 20.6-76.8% in YRD but decreased by 15.5-28.1% in PRD. In YRD, nitrogen oxide (NOx) reductions enhanced O3 accumulation and hence increased secondary aerosol formation. Such an increment in secondary organic and inorganic aerosols under stationary weather reached up to 36.4 and 10.2%, respectively, which was further intensified by regional transport. PRD was quite the opposite. The emission reductions benefited PRD air quality, while regional transport corresponded to an increase of 17.3 and 9.3% in secondary organic and inorganic aerosols, respectively. Apart from meteorology, the discrepancy in O3-VOCs-NOx relationships determined the different O3 responses, indicating that future emission control shall be regionally specific, instead of one-size-fits-all cut. Overall, the importance of regionally coordinated and balanced control strategy for multiple pollutants is highly emphasized.
Despite the large reduction in anthropogenic activities due to the outbreak of COVID-19, air quality in China has witnessed little improvement and featured great regional disparities. Here, by combining observational data and simulations, this work aims to understand the diverse air quality response in two city clusters, Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) and Pearl River Delta region (PRD), China. Though there was a noticeable drop in primary pollutants in both the regions, differently, the maximum daily 8 h average ozone (O3) soared by 20.6-76.8% in YRD but decreased by 15.5-28.1% in PRD. In YRD, nitrogen oxide (NOx) reductions enhanced O3 accumulation and hence increased secondary aerosol formation. Such an increment in secondary organic and inorganic aerosols under stationary weather reached up to 36.4 and 10.2%, respectively, which was further intensified by regional transport. PRD was quite the opposite. The emission reductions benefited PRD air quality, while regional transport corresponded to an increase of 17.3 and 9.3% in secondary organic and inorganic aerosols, respectively. Apart from meteorology, the discrepancy in O3-VOCs-NOx relationships determined the different O3 responses, indicating that future emission control shall be regionally specific, instead of one-size-fits-all cut. Overall, the importance of regionally coordinated and balanced control strategy for multiple pollutants is highly emphasized.
The outbreak of COVID (The 2019 novel coronavirus) has severely impacted human daily life,
not only by causing mortality but also impeding commercial activities and economical
production.[1−6] China, the first epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic, had enforced
nationwide lockdown measures against the virus incidence and spread.[7,8] A series of strict controlling measures
were undertaken, for example, by issuing stay-at-home orders, shutting down non-essential
factories, restricting public transportation, closing catering and entertainment industries,
postponing the reopening of schools, and so forth. The side effect of such a lockdown is a
noticeable drop of anthropogenic emissions, providing a unique window to explore the
potential of emission control and the consequent air quality response. Such an unprecedented
“experiment” is of great significance, especially in those countries that are
suffering from poor air quality like China.Many studies have examined the impact of this abrupt COVID-19 shutdown on air quality.
Compared with the period before the lockdown, tropospheric nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions
decreased by 30–60%, based on satellite data.[9−11] Ambient concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and carbon
monoxide (CO) dropped by 52.5 and 36.2%, respectively, in central China, according to Xu et
al.[12] Similarly, the levels of surface PM2.5 (particulate
matter with diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm) also declined by approximately
35%.[13] Wang et al.[14] attributed this decrease of
PM2.5 in Beijing–Tianjing–Hebei to the suspension of
transportation and industry. In contrast, O3 was found to increase in most areas
in China.[15−17] Similar findings were also
found elsewhere in the world, that is in India,[18] Iraq,[19] and Austria.[11] Regarding to the O3 increase in
Northern China and Central China, Huang et al.[7] revealed that the
increment of O3 enhanced the atmospheric oxidizing capacity, and in turn provided
a favorable condition for the formation of the secondary particulate matter. This finding
was corroborated by Le et al.[20] since haze events were still observed
even though the overall PM2.5 concentrations were decreased in northern
China.Most of the above-mentioned studies mainly focused on either one site or one region, and
few highlighted the varied responses between different sites or regions. It is worth noting
that the formation mechanism in a certain site or area may not represent the whole situation
across the country. Exploring and comparing the diverse mechanisms in different regions help
us to improve our knowledge and benefit the regional joint air pollution mitigation process.
Here, focusing on the two largest city clusters in China, YRD (Yangtze River Delta region,
in eastern central China) and PRD (Pearl River Delta region, in eastern southern China),
this study conducts site-to-site and region-to-region comparisons by using comprehensive
field measurements and model simulations. The individual role of meteorological condition
and emission reduction due to the COVID lockdown is comprehensively investigated. Meanwhile,
the relative importance of local emission control and regional transport is also analyzed to
better understand the diverse air quality response to lockdown controls in YRD and PRD
regions.
Materials and Methods
Data Source
Air quality data from two in situ observation stations, one from the Nanjing University
SORPES (Station for Observing Regional Processes of the Earth System) site in YRD and the
other from Guangzhou Environmental Monitoring Center site (GEMC) in PRD, were collected
for analysis (Figure a). SORPES is a regional
background station, since it is located along the downwind of the North China Plain but
upwind of downtown Nanjing (with a distance of ∼20 km),[21−23] whereas GEMC is a typical urban site located right at the center of
PRD. A comprehensive set of data including continuous measurement of O3,
NO2, PM2.5, major components of PM2.5 [organic carbon
(OC), elementary carbon (EC), sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium] and meteorological
parameters (surface winds, temperature, and solar radiation) was collected from January 1
to February 17, 2020. Detailed information on the measurements, that is, monitoring
instruments, data coverage, and access method is summarized in Table S1. Briefly, the ambient concentrations of O3,
NO2, and PM2.5 were routinely measured by Thermo Instruments (TEI
49i, 42i, and model 5030 SHARP). Water-soluble inorganic ions in PM2.5 were
monitored by MARGA (Monitor for Aerosols and Gases in Ambient Air).[23,24] OC and EC were detected by an OC/EC
analyzer (RT-4). All the instruments are routinely calibrated for different durations.
Meteorological data, including wind speed/direction and temperature, were obtained from
China Meteorological Administration. Moreover, air quality monitoring network, founded by
the Ministry of Ecology and Environment of China, was also used to provide spatial
information (i.e., O3, NO2, and PM2.5). There were 225
sites in YRD, and 90 sites in PRD(Figure S1). The averaged results were regarded as the overall condition for
a given region. In addition to in situ measurements, the fifth generation of the European
Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) data were used to
provide meteorological parameters, including sea level pressure, 2 m temperature, 10 m
wind, boundary lay height, UVB (ultraviolet radiation b), and precipitation at 0.25°
× 0.25° grid (https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5, last access
on January 2021).
Figure 1
(a) Locations of observation stations in YRD Nanjing (SORPES station) and PRD
Guangzhou (GEMC station). The contour map indicates land use, and the black lines
highlight the border of YRD and PRD. (b) Time series of PM2.5,
NO2, and O3 during the PRE (1–24 January 2020) and the
LOCK (26 January to 17 February 2020) periods in Nanjing and Guangzhou. Note that the
Spring Festival holiday is fully within the LOCK period.
(a) Locations of observation stations in YRD Nanjing (SORPES station) and PRD
Guangzhou (GEMC station). The contour map indicates land use, and the black lines
highlight the border of YRD and PRD. (b) Time series of PM2.5,
NO2, and O3 during the PRE (1–24 January 2020) and the
LOCK (26 January to 17 February 2020) periods in Nanjing and Guangzhou. Note that the
Spring Festival holiday is fully within the LOCK period.In addition, satellite-derived data, including formaldehyde (HCHO) column densities,
NO2 column densities, and nighttime index were also adopted. Daily
formaldehyde (HCHO) and NO2 column densities were employed to distinguish
O3 formation sensitivity; both HCHO and NO2 column densities were
obtained from the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) level-2 retrievals. TROPOMI
is the satellite instrument on board the Copernicus Sentinel-5 Precursor (S5P) satellite
with an overpass time of around 13:30 LST (local standard time) and a spatial resolution
of 3.5 km latitude × 5.5 km longitude. The calibration, quality control, and
processing algorithms were provided on the TROPOMI website (www.tropomi.eu/data-products, last
access on January 21 2021). The nighttime light index data were obtained from the Version
4 DMSP-OSL (Defense Meteorological Satellite Program-Operational Line Scan System) by
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/National Geophysical Data Center
(NGDC). The index ranged from 0 (background) to 63 (saturated), with a grid resolution of
1 km × 1 km. The anthropogenic lights were closely linked to human activities and can
be straightforward to map urban areas. The grid cells with nighttime light index above 50
were regarded as urban, and the rest were taken as suburbs (Figure S1). Similar methods were extensively adopted by existing
studies.[25,26]In this study, all the observational data and simulation results were divided into two
periods to investigate the impact of COVID lockdown, namely, the period before the
lockdown (defined as PRE, from January 1 to January 24) and the period during the lockdown
(defined as LOCK, from January 26 to February 17). In fact, the lockdown period covered
the Chinese Spring Festival (from January 25 to January 31), which also contributed to
emission reduction during the LOCK to some extent. Data on the Lunar New Year’s Day
(January 25) were deducted in order to avoid the influence of intensive fireworks
emissions. Besides, all the data were processed after deducting rainy days, based on the
ERA5-derived precipitations. In general, all the data were well-controlled, and previous
studies have demonstrated the good performance in air quality
analyses.[21−23,27,28]
Lagrangian Dispersion Modeling
Backward Lagrangian particulate dispersion modeling (LPDM) was carried out in order to
identify the potential source region for the air masses measured at the observation
stations.[21] The LPDM was conducted using hybrid single-particulate
Lagrangian-integrated trajectory model (HYSPLITY) driven by the ARL format Global Data
Assimilation System (GDAS) data. With a time resolution of 1 h, 3000 particulates were
released at 100 m a.s.l (above sea level) over the site and traced backward for 48 h. The
position of particulates was calculated both vertically and horizontally after the
consideration of mean wind and a turbulence transport component. The footprint
“retroplume”, namely, the spatial residence time of particulates, which
reflects the distribution of the surface probability or the residence time of the
simulated air mass, was used to diagnose the contribution from potential source regions.
LPDM simulations help us to distinguish whether the observational data is dominantly
influenced by local emissions or regional transport.
WRF-Chem Simulation
A coupled online model, Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem,
version 3.7), was used to quantify the relative impact of emission reductions and
meteorology and also to investigate the responses of atmospheric oxidizing capacities.
Table S2 summarizes the physical/chemical settings for WRF-Chem. Briefly,
the model domain covered East China and its surrounding areas, centered at 35.0°N,
110.0°E with a grid resolution of 20×20 km. National Centers for Environmental
Prediction (NCEP) global final analysis data (FNL) was used as the initial and lateral
boundary conditions of meteorological variables with a 1°×1° spatial
resolution. Four-dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) was used as the grid analysis to
improve the meteorology simulation. The Noah land surface scheme, along with the MM5
Monin–Obukhov scheme was chosen for the land-atmosphere exchange study. The
planetary boundary layer (PBL) was reproduced by the Yonsei University PBL (YSU) scheme.
Carbon Bond Mechanism Version Z (CBMZ) and Model for Simulating Aerosol Interactions and
Chemistry (MOSAIC) were used for gas-phase and aerosol chemical simulations, respectively.
The simulations were conducted based on two sets of emission inventories, including an
up-to-date emissions inventory, and a business-as-usual emission inventory.[7] Detailed information of the emission scenario settings are provided in
Section 1 of the Supporting Information. After a spin-up of 7 days, the simulation started
from January 1, 2020 to February 17, 2020, whereas January 1–24 was before the
lockdown (PRE) and January 26 to February 17 was during the lockdown (LOCK). Our previous
work has validated the performance of the WRF-Chem model.[7]Table S3 summarizes the statistical results between the simulated and the
observed O3, NO2, and O3 in YRD and PRD. The good
agreement between the observations and the simulations demonstrate that the WRF-Chem model
simulation in this work is capable of well reproducing the spatial and temporal variations
of the main air pollutants.
Results and Discussion
Opposite Response of Secondary Pollution in Two Regions
Figure b shows temporal variations of
NO2, PM2.5, and O3 during the PRE and the LOCK periods
at SOPRES and GEMC. Both sites showed a significant drop of NO2 and
PM2.5 in the LOCK period as compared to those in the PRE period.
Observational data showed that NO2 and PM2.5 declined by 55.1 and
41.6% in SORPES, and 64.7 and 33.8% in GEMC, respectively. However, the average maximum
daily average 8 h O3 (MDA8h O3) rose by 35.6% in SORPRS, whereas it
decreased by 21.3% in GEMC. Not confined to these two stations, such a phenomenon also
held true regionally in YRD (MDA8h O3 increased by 20.6–76.8%) and PRD
(MDA8h O3 decreased by 15.5–28.1%) according to the air quality
monitoring network (Figure S2). These results are indicative of the diverse response of
O3 among the two regions.We further investigated the variations in meteorological conditions. In spatial, a cold
high-pressure dominated northern/central China during the PRE, and the cold invasion
extended to southern China affecting PRD during the LOCK (Figure S3). Generally, the temperature and boundary height in YRD increased
during the LOCK as the cold front passed by, and the opposite was witnessed by PRD due to
the cold invasion. The diurnal characteristics of typical meteorological parameters are
presented in Figure . In Guangzhou, north winds
prevailed during both PRE and LOCK periods (Figures and S3), and the average wind speed in the LOCK was 2.5 m/s, higher than that of
PRE (1.2 m/s). The temperature in the LOCK was much lower than that in PRE, while the
diurnal pattern of UVB was comparable in both the periods, with the peak value of LOCK
slightly lower than that of PRE. In Nanjing, different meteorological variations were
found. Though north winds dominated during PRE and LOCK periods, the wind speed in the
LOCK period was rather small, 0.6 m/s, when compared to 1.1 m/s in PRE, indicating a
stagnant condition during the lockdown period. The temperature was increased (by 1.3
°C on an average) with the maxima reaching 3 °C. Similar to that in Guangzhou,
UVB was comparable during the two periods in Nanjing. Previous studies indicated that
meteorological conditions played important roles in the secondary aerosol and
O3 formation.[29,30] For example, relatively low wind speed, high temperature, high solar
radiation, and low planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) were the favorable
meteorological conditions for the formation of secondary pollutants. Our analysis implied
that meteorological conditions were more conducive to photochemical formation during the
LOCK than during the PRE in Nanjing, but were more unfavorable in Guangzhou. The diurnal
cycle of NO2 and PM2.5 agreed with the short-term decline of
anthropogenic activities, with the concentrations reduced by 19.2 ppb and 11.3
μg/m3 in Guangzhou and 25.7 ppb and 27.8 μg/m3 in
Nanjing, respectively. The noticeable drop of NO2 and PM2.5 at both
sites indicated the positive effect of emission reductions. However, different responses
of O3 were found at the two sites. In Guangzhou, daytime O3
decreased, while nighttime O3 increased in the LOCK period. The O3
reduction in daytime, on the one hand, might be attributed to the reduction of precursors,
as Huang et al.,[7] reported that NOx emissions were reduced by 50% and
VOC emissions were reduced by 46% during the LOCK period in PRD. And on the other hand,
the unfavorable meteorological conditions were likely to be another reason for the daytime
O3 decrease. The increment of nighttime O3 was possibly due to the
weakened effect of NOx titration since NOx emissions were significantly
reduced.[31,32] In
Nanjing, the magnitude of the overall O3 concentration was increased throughout
the day during the LOCK period. This increment was consistent with previous observations,
as reducing NOx emissions in NOx-saturated regions would lead to O3
increment.[7,15,16,33] It should be pointed out that, in spite of the
response of O3 to its precursors, our analysis showed that meteorological
conditions in Nanjing seemed to be more conducive for O3 formation during the
LOCK period with lower wind speeds and higher temperatures than those of the PRE. Thus,
the relative impact of meteorology and emissions need to be further quantified. In
addition, the different responses of O3 in Guangzhou and Nanjing indicated
again the diverse mechanisms in O3 formation at different regions, and hence,
we need to be careful while implementing emission reduction strategies.
Figure 2
Averaged diurnal variations of meteorological parameters, that is, wind, temperature
(TEMP) and UVB, and air quality data, that is, NO2, PM2.5, and
O3, during the PRE and the LOCK in Guangzhou and Nanjing,
respectively.
Averaged diurnal variations of meteorological parameters, that is, wind, temperature
(TEMP) and UVB, and air quality data, that is, NO2, PM2.5, and
O3, during the PRE and the LOCK in Guangzhou and Nanjing,
respectively.Since NOx emissions are mainly emitted by transportation, industrial production, and
power plants, and are usually concentrated in downtown,[34,35] the effects of reductions might be different
between urban and suburban areas. Therefore, we examined the daytime (12:00–17:00)
and nighttime (0:00–5:00) responses of O3 in urban and suburban areas
within YRD and PRD (Figure a,b). In YRD, both
urban and suburban areas witnessed O3 increase throughout the day. However, in
PRD, daytime O3 decreased in both urban and suburban areas, while nighttime
O3 increased (by 1.4 ppb) in the urban areas, but decreased (by 1.5 ppb) in
the suburban areas. To illustrate the diverse responses in the daytime, we introduced the
ratio of column HCHO/NO2 as an indicator to distinguish different O3
formation sensitivity regimes (Figure c). In
this study, the HCHO/NO2 ratio below 1 was considered as NOx-saturated
(VOC-limited) regime; the HCHO/NO2 ratio above 2 reflected the NOx-limited
regime; and the HCHO/NO2 ratio between 1 and 2 indicated the mixed-limited
regime.[36,37] The
diagnosis of O3 formation sensitivity regimes from satellite retrievals, and
the WRF-Chem simulations agreed well with each other (Figure S4). It was found that the YRD-urban areas were NOx-saturated, while
the YRD-suburbs were mixed-limited, and therefore, O3 would be enhanced with
the reduction of NOx, due to the lack of hydrogen oxide (HOx) radicals.[36] In contrast, the PRD-urban areas were within the mixed-limited regime, and the
PRD-suburbs were characterized by the NOx-limited regime, which meant that the decrease of
precursor emissions inhibited O3 formation during daytime. With regards to the
nighttime increase in PRD-urban areas, it was likely due to the weakened effect of NO
titration (NO + O3 → NO2 + O2), whereas the
nighttime O3 drop in PRD-suburbs was due to the dominant roles of emission
reduction in NOx-limited regimes.
Figure 3
(a) Ozone changes between the LOCK and the PRE at nighttime (0:00–5:00) and
daytime (12:00–17:00) in urban areas in YRD and PRD. O3 data were
averaged from the monitoring network in YRD and PRD, respectively. (b) Same as (a) but
in suburb areas. (c) Ratios of HCHO to NO2 based on TROPOMI satellite data
during daytime. The top and bottom of the vertical line for each box correspond to the
maximum and minimum values, respectively. The dots represent the averages, and the
top, middle, and bottom lines of the box mark the 75th, 50th, and 25th percentiles,
respectively.
(a) Ozone changes between the LOCK and the PRE at nighttime (0:00–5:00) and
daytime (12:00–17:00) in urban areas in YRD and PRD. O3 data were
averaged from the monitoring network in YRD and PRD, respectively. (b) Same as (a) but
in suburb areas. (c) Ratios of HCHO to NO2 based on TROPOMI satellite data
during daytime. The top and bottom of the vertical line for each box correspond to the
maximum and minimum values, respectively. The dots represent the averages, and the
top, middle, and bottom lines of the box mark the 75th, 50th, and 25th percentiles,
respectively.Figure compares the major components of
PM2.5 at both sites. In this study, we split OC to POC (primary organic
carbons) and SOC (secondary organic carbons) based on an EC (elemental carbon)-tracer
method,[38,39] and
their quantity were calculated using the following
equations.where OCpri and ECpri are the
primary OC and EC, respectively, acquired from the pairs of OC and EC with their ratios
within the 10% lowest, and OCnon-comb represented the OC not affected by
combustion activities. The corresponding values were calculated from the slope and
intercept of the linear regression between OCpri and ECpri,
respectively. In Figure , the proportion of SNA
(sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium) accounted for 78.7 and 86.3% during the PRE in Guangzhou
and Nanjing, respectively, and the corresponding proportion reduced to 61.1 and 80.3%
during the LOCK, respectively. Indeed, the mass concentrations of sulfate, nitrate, and
ammonium were reduced by 59.8, 80.7, and 60.0% in Guangzhou and 30.1, 56.6, and 48.3% in
Nanjing, respectively (Figure S2). As the major components of PM2.5, SNA decreased
substantially, which could explain the reductions of PM2.5. For carbonaceous
aerosols, although the changes in the percentage of POC and EC in PM2.5 were
negligible in both Guangzhou and Nanjing, decrease (p < 0.05) in the
mass concentrations were significant in both the cities (Figure S5). In contrast, the proportion of SOC increased from 10.1 to 25.3%
in Guangzhou and from 5.0 to 12.1% in Nanjing. Like O3, SOC are also secondary
products and reflected the degree of atmospheric oxidizing capacity to some extent. In
Nanjing, the rise of SOC agreed with the pattern of O3, which might be
attributed to the increase of atmospheric oxidizing capacity due to NOx reduction.
Contrarily, in Guangzhou, the variation of SOC was opposite with that of O3.
Considering that the wind speed was higher during the LOCK (p < 0.05),
regional transport might play an important role. Thus, it is very important to distinguish
between the impacts of meteorology and emission reductions, which is further investigated
in following sections.
Figure 4
Comparison of proportions of different PM2.5 components during the PRE and
LOCK periods in Guangzhou and Nanjing. The outer and inner rings present the PRE and
the LOCK periods, respectively.
Comparison of proportions of different PM2.5 components during the PRE and
LOCK periods in Guangzhou and Nanjing. The outer and inner rings present the PRE and
the LOCK periods, respectively.
Spatial Disparity Caused by Meteorology and Emission Reduction
Here, the relative impact of emission and meteorology was quantified by WRF-Chem
simulation (Figure ). The impact of meteorology
was an integrated result of all meteorological parameters, including the temperature,
wind, PBLH, solar radiation, and so on. The detailed method to distinguish the individual
impact of meteorology and emission reductions is elaborated in Section 1 of Supporting Information. As illustrated in Figure , in YRD and central China, meteorology variation promoted
O3 formation with the maxima reaching ∼10 ppb, whereas its role in PRD
was mostly negative (approximately-5 ppb). On the other hand, emission reduction due to
the lockdown increased O3 concentrations in YRD and central China, while it led
to O3 decrease in most parts of PRD (Figure b). This could be explained by the regional disparities of the
O3–NOx–VOC regime as presented in Figures c and S4. The diagnosis from both model results and satellite observations showed
that most areas of YRD and central China were NOx-saturated, where cutting NOx emissions
would increase O3. In PRD, most rural areas were NOx-limited, and most
developed city clusters were mix-limited, with only a few being VOC-limited. The
discrepancies of O3 formation sensitivity between YRD and PRD highlighted the
diverse chemical sensitivities in O3 formation. Overall, by using a simple
weighting method (introduced in Section 1 of Supporting Information), we found that most central areas of YRD (i.e.,
Nanjing, Suzhou, and Shanghai) were more affected by emission reductions (E > M, Figure c), whereas the northern and the southern
parts were more affected by meteorology (M > E). Both the impact of emission reduction
and meteorology led to the increment of O3 in YRD (C > 0). Differently in
PRD, both emission reduction and meteorology resulted in the decrease of O3 (C
< 0), and the effects of emission reduction were more than those of meteorology in most
areas of Guangdong (E > M), with the exception of a few areas in the northeast (M >
E).
Figure 5
(a) Relative contribution of meteorology (METE) to absolute changes in O3
between the LOCK and the PRE periods. (b) Same as (a) but for emission reduction
(EMISS); (c) dominant factor between meteorology and emission reduction. The label C
is the averaged difference in O3 concentrations between the LOCK and the
PRE periods; M > E indicates meteorology dominated, and E > M refers to emission
reduction dominated.
(a) Relative contribution of meteorology (METE) to absolute changes in O3
between the LOCK and the PRE periods. (b) Same as (a) but for emission reduction
(EMISS); (c) dominant factor between meteorology and emission reduction. The label C
is the averaged difference in O3 concentrations between the LOCK and the
PRE periods; M > E indicates meteorology dominated, and E > M refers to emission
reduction dominated.
Importance of Regional-Specific and Coordinated Emission Control
In addition to O3, WRF-Chem simulated oxidants, that is, NO3
radical and gas-phase H2SO4, were also induced to characterize
atmospheric oxidizing capacity. Figure a,b
compares spatial changes of NO3 and H2SO4 between the PRE
and the LOCK, respectively. Enhancements of both NO3 and
H2SO4 were witnessed in most areas of YRD, whereas substantial
decrease took place in PRD (except in several urban areas). The different responses of
NO3 and H2SO4 implied different relationships between
oxidation products and their precursors in YRD and PRD. Therefore, a further study was to
explore the sensitivity to different NOx reduction rates (from 10 to 90%); the non-linear
responses of O3, NO3, and H2SO4 to NOx
emissions are revealed in Figure c,d. In YRD, a
continuous increase in O3, NO3, and H2SO4 was
found by cutting NOx emission before reaching the tipping point, namely,
∼60–70% NOx reductions. In fact, NOx emissions were reduced by approximately
49% during the LOCK period. With regard to PRD, the tipping point was closer (∼40%
NOx reductions). There was around 50% NOx emission reduction during the lockdown,
according to the emission estimation,[7] which could explain the
reduction of the oxidants in PRD. Notably, even though the regional average response of
H2SO4 in PRD was reduced, an increase of
H2SO4 over some urban areas was still found. This was because
these urban areas were still under VOC-limited (shown in Figure S4), and the sulfate increment was a result of the higher atmospheric
oxidizing capacity due to NOx reduction.
Figure 6
(a,b) Changes in the NO3 radical and gaseous H2SO4
between the PRE and LOCK periods in YRD and PRD. (c,d) Responses of major atmospheric
oxidants and oxidation products to different NOx reduction in YRD and PRD.
(a,b) Changes in the NO3 radical and gaseous H2SO4
between the PRE and LOCK periods in YRD and PRD. (c,d) Responses of major atmospheric
oxidants and oxidation products to different NOx reduction in YRD and PRD.Responses of O3 to its precursors, NOx and VOCs, in both YRD and PRD are
presented in Figure . The O3 isopleth
was derived from hundreds of simulations with various NOx and VOCs emissions. The
NOx-saturated, mixed-limited, and NOx-limited regimes corresponded to the maximum 1 h
O3 concentration for corresponding precursors and were separated by ridge
lines.[37] It is worth noting that the relatively high O3
levels were associated with the mixed-limited regimes in both YRD and PRD, and the
mixed-limited area was characterized by relatively high O3 levels on the left
(with less VOCs reductions) and relatively low O3 levels on the right (with
more VOCs reductions). In YRD, the situation of the PRE was a typical NOx-saturated
regime, and cutting NOx emissions would inevitably enter it into the high-O3
area, that is, the mixed-limited regime. Indeed, the situation during the LOCK was close
to the mixed-limited areas with higher O3 mixing ratios. In PRD, the situation
of the PRE was at the border between NOx-saturated regime and mixed-limited regime, and
nearly 50% reductions in both NOx and VOCs emissions led the LOCK in the
“right” area of the mixed-limited regime with lower O3 mixing
ratios.
Figure 7
O3 isopleth plots in YRD and PRD.
O3 isopleth plots in YRD and PRD.As aforementioned, the O3–VOCs–NOx sensitive regime is
characterized by great regional disparities. The calculations of potential source region
based on LPDM analysis in Figure S6 show that YRD and PRD were affected by both local and northerly
air flows. To better understand the roles of local emission reduction and regional
transport, we further analyze the air quality responses under locally- and
regionally-dominant conditions. Specifically, for every hour, observational data recorded
at the two stations were diagnosed as “local” when the 72 h retroplumes were
within the administrative border of Guangdong province and the YRD region of Guangzhou and
Nanjing (Figure a).It was identified as
“regional” air masses when the 72 h retroplumes overstepped the border of
the “local”. Secondary pollutants, that is, O3, SOC, and SNA,
were recollected according to the classification of air flows. The spatial distribution of
“local” and “regional” air masses is provided in Figure S6.In Guangzhou, the concentrations of O3, SOC, and SNA were higher in the PRE
than those during the LOCK when the air flow was local, indicating that the significant
reduction of anthropogenic emissions benefit local air quality in PRD (Figure ). On the contrary, opposite results were found when
PRD was affected by regional transport (mainly from central China). The concentrations of
O3, SOC, and SNA increased by 166, 17.3, and 9.3%, respectively, during the
LOCK, since the upwind central China featured O3 increase due to NOx reduction.
Thus, the regional transport partly offset the impact of PRD emission reductions and
contributed to the increase of the secondary pollution. In Nanjing, concentrations of
O3, SOC, and SNA increased by 94.5, 36.4, and 10.2%, respectively, under
locally dominant conditions. What is worse, the increment became more noticeable
(increased by 56.4, 87.2, and 15.1%, respectively) when YRD was affected by regional
transport (mainly from the North China Plain). This finding highlighted that regional
transport could intensify the secondary pollution in the areas of downwind
O3-rebounded regions, which raise the alarm for the abrupt emission cut in
those NOx-saturated areas.
Figure 8
(a,b) Concentrations of secondary pollutants (O3, SOC, and SNA) influenced
by local air mass and regional air mass during the PRE and the LOCK in PRD,
respectively. (c,d) Same as (a,b) but in YRD.
(a,b) Concentrations of secondary pollutants (O3, SOC, and SNA) influenced
by local air mass and regional air mass during the PRE and the LOCK in PRD,
respectively. (c,d) Same as (a,b) but in YRD.
Implication
Air pollution have drawn a lot of public attention in China over the last few years. Due to
great efforts devoted to emission control, the haze pollution has been alleviated with
declining PM2.5 concentrations. However, O3 kept rising in recent
years.[22,37,40−42] Facing the complex air pollution, characterized by O3 and
secondary PM2.5 pollution, a large number of studies have been carried out, and
among which, some proposed emission reduction scenarios by studying the responses of air
pollutants to the hypothetical amount of primary emission reduction, and then provide
scientific controlling suggestion for policy makers.[21,42−45] Uniquely, the
COVID-19 lockdown provided a real-world experiment with a nationwide anthropogenic emissions
reduction, for studying the impact of transportation-dominant emission control on air
quality.Our data shows that PM2.5 and NO2 decreased in both YRD and PRD due
to the emission reduction, while O3 rose in YRD but dropped in PRD. By addressing
the importance of meteorology, we found that the short-term cut of anthropogenic emissions
benefited PRD air quality, while the regional transport contributed to the increase of
secondary pollution, that is, O3 and secondary PM2.5. In YRD, NOx
emission reductions enhanced atmospheric oxidizing capacity and led to the rise in
O3, SOC, and SNA. Moreover, the regional transport from the north (mainly from
the North China Plain) further worsened the secondary pollution. Our modeling results
revealed that YRD was typically NOx-saturated, and PRD was closer to the mixed-limited. The
disparities in the O3 sensitivity regimes partly explained the different
responses of O3 to the lockdown in PRD and YRD during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Given the fact that the current O3–VOCs–NOx relationships in the
urban areas were mostly NOx-saturated or close to mixed-limited regimes, reducing NOx
emissions would inevitably bring the chemical state closer to a mixed-limited situation with
relatively high O3 mixing ratios. Our suggestion is to take VOC emission as a
joint effort in addition to NOx control, and more particular emphasis on VOC emission
reductions would result in less O3 within the mixed-limited regime (Figure ). Consequently, emission control strategies
should be adopted according to local conditions rather than being defined uniformly for the
entire country (or an entire region). Regionally coordinated and balanced control strategy
for multiple pollutants are highly recommended in the future.