| Literature DB >> 33791199 |
Haiyan Chen1,2, Zhiheng Huang2,3, Liubo Chen4, Yanlin Li5, Tiehong Zhao5, Qichun Wei1,2.
Abstract
Localized nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) is a highly curable disease, but the prognosis of certain cases is still poor. Distinguishing patients with a poor outcome is necessary when developing therapeutic strategies. The aim of this study was to investigate the characteristics of early death (ED) among patients with localized NPC, and to identify independent predictors of ED. Patients diagnosed with localized NPC were included from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results dataset, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify ED predictors. A total of 752 patients with localized NPC were enrolled, including 198 cases of ED and 480 long-term survivors. Older age, unmarried status, and white race were risk factors for ED, whereas diagnosis in the recent period and undifferentiated non-keratinizing histology type were protective factors. In addition, for older patients, women and those without radiation treatment, there was less ED for married patients than unmarried patients. In conclusion, this population-based study provides an overview of the characteristics of ED patients with localized NPC. Age, race, marital status, year of diagnosis and histology type are risk factors for ED. Moreover, married patients are at a significantly lower risk of ED. This protective effect is especially pronounced in older people, women and those without radiation treatment.Entities:
Keywords: Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program; characteristics; early death; localized stage; nasopharyngeal cancer
Year: 2021 PMID: 33791199 PMCID: PMC8006381 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.580220
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Flow chart of patient inclusion.
Clinical and pathological characteristics of included patients.
| Characteristics | N | % |
|---|---|---|
|
| 752 | 100 |
|
| ||
| ≤40 | 112 | 14.89% |
| 41–59 | 355 | 47.21% |
| ≥60 | 285 | 37.90% |
|
| ||
| Female | 217 | 28.86% |
| Male | 535 | 71.14% |
|
| ||
| Married | 509 | 67.69% |
| Divorce/Separate/Single/widowed | 209 | 27.79% |
| Unknown | 34 | 4.52% |
|
| ||
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 306 | 40.69% |
| White | 371 | 49.34% |
| Others | 67 | 8.91% |
| Unknown | 8 | 1.06% |
|
| ||
| 1975–2003 | 501 | 66.62% |
| 2004–2011 | 251 | 33.38% |
|
| ||
| Keratinizing squamous cell | 313 | 41.62% |
| Differentiated non-keratinizing | 110 | 14.63% |
| Undifferentiated non-keratinizing | 188 | 25.00% |
| Others | 141 | 18.75% |
|
| ||
| Yes | 640 | 85.11% |
| No | 34 | 4.52% |
| Unknown | 70 | 9.31% |
Differences of clinicopathological characteristics between EDP and LTS.
| EDP | LTS | P Value | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 Year | 2–5 Year | Total | |||||||
|
| 57 | 100.00% | 141 | 100.00% | 198 | 100.00% | 480 | 100.00% | |
|
| <0.001╊ | ||||||||
| ≤40 | 1 | 1.75% | 14 | 9.93% | 15 | 7.58% | 94 | 19.58% | |
| 41–59 | 19 | 33.33% | 61 | 43.26% | 80 | 40.40% | 251 | 52.29% | |
| ≥60 | 37 | 64.91% | 66 | 46.81% | 103 | 52.02% | 135 | 28.13% | |
|
| 0.26╊ | ||||||||
| Female | 17 | 29.82% | 36 | 25.53% | 53 | 26.77% | 142 | 29.58% | |
| Male | 40 | 70.18% | 105 | 74.47% | 145 | 73.23% | 338 | 70.42% | |
|
| 0.01╊ | ||||||||
| Married | 34 | 59.65% | 86 | 60.99% | 120 | 60.61% | 344 | 71.67% | |
| Unmarried | 19 | 33.33% | 46 | 32.62% | 65 | 32.83% | 119 | 24.79% | |
| Unknown | 4 | 7.02% | 9 | 6.38% | 13 | 6.57% | 17 | 3.54% | |
|
| <0.001╊ | ||||||||
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 10 | 17.54% | 40 | 28.37% | 50 | 25.25% | 231 | 48.13% | |
| White | 43 | 75.44% | 85 | 60.28% | 128 | 64.65% | 199 | 41.46% | |
| Others | 4 | 7.02% | 16 | 11.35% | 20 | 10.10% | 42 | 8.75% | |
| Unknown | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 0.71% | 1 | 0.51% | 8 | 1.67% | |
|
| <0.001╊ | ||||||||
| 1975–2003 | 44 | 77.19% | 112 | 79.43% | 156 | 78.79% | 304 | 63.33% | |
| 2004–2011 | 13 | 22.81% | 29 | 20.57% | 42 | 21.21% | 176 | 36.67% | |
|
| <0.001╊ | ||||||||
| Keratinizing squamous cell | 36 | 63.16% | 82 | 58.16% | 118 | 59.60% | 161 | 33.54% | |
| Differentiated non-keratinizing | 5 | 8.77% | 18 | 12.77% | 23 | 11.62% | 79 | 16.46% | |
| Undifferentiated non-keratinizing | 7 | 12.28% | 24 | 17.02% | 31 | 15.66% | 143 | 29.79% | |
| Others | 9 | 15.79% | 17 | 12.06% | 26 | 13.13% | 97 | 20.21% | |
|
| <0.001╊ | ||||||||
| Yes | 36 | 63.16% | 123 | 87.23% | 159 | 80.30% | 427 | 88.96% | |
| No | 3 | 5.26% | 5 | 3.55% | 8 | 4.04% | 26 | 5.42% | |
| Unknown | 18 | 31.58% | 13 | 9.22% | 31 | 15.66% | 27 | 5.63% | |
╊Pearson x2 test.
Figure 2Differences in clinicopathological characteristics between EDP (N = 198) and LTS (N = 480) groups. Illustrated is the percentage of EDPs and LTSs for each included factor, including age (P < 0.001), sex (P = 0.26), marital status (P = 0.01), race (P < 0.001), year of diagnosis (P < 0.001), histology type (P < 0.001) and radiation treatment (P < 0.001). (ns, no significance. *P < 0.05, ***P < 0.001). The analysis was conducted using the Pearson X2 test.
Figure 3Logistic regression analyses to identify ED predictors in localized NPC. Univariate logistic regression analysis (A) and multivariate logistic regression analysis (B) were conducted to identify factors significantly associated with ED.
Figure 4The nomogram model for predicting ED probabilities of patients with localized NPC. For example, there is one patient with localized NPC older than 60 (100 points), with married status (0 point), the race of Asian (0 point). He is diagnosed in 2010 (0 point), and the histology type is differentiated non-keratinizing tumor (60 points). These five values summed to 160 points. Therefore, we determined that the risk of ED was 0.1–0.2.
Figure 5Assessment of the performance of nomogram in the SEER cohort. (A) The AUC was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.69–0.78) for ED in patients with localized NPC. (B) DCA for the nomogram in predicting ED. (C) Calibration curve of nomogram-predicted ED risk and actual risk.
Marital Status and ED in Localized NPC.
| Characteristics | Total | Married | Unmarried | P Value | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | ED | Total | ED | |||||||
| N | % | N | % | N | % | N | % | |||
|
| 595 | 427 | 105 | 159 | 54 | |||||
|
| ||||||||||
| ≤40 | 94 | 55 | 58.51% | 6 | 10.91% | 39 | 41.49% | 6 | 15.38% | 0.37╊ |
| 41–59 | 298 | 242 | 81.21% | 55 | 22.73% | 56 | 18.79% | 14 | 25.00% | 0.42╊ |
| ≥60 | 203 | 135 | 66.50% | 44 | 32.59% | 68 | 33.50% | 34 | 50.00% | 0.01╊ |
|
| ||||||||||
| Female | 169 | 99 | 58.58% | 17 | 17.17% | 70 | 41.42% | 25 | 35.71% | 0.005╊ |
| Male | 426 | 333 | 78.17% | 88 | 26.43% | 93 | 21.83% | 29 | 31.18% | 0.22╊ |
|
| ||||||||||
| Asian or Pacific Islander | 255 | 194 | 76.08% | 28 | 14.43% | 61 | 23.92% | 12 | 19.67% | 0.22╊ |
| White | 289 | 209 | 72.32% | 72 | 34.45% | 80 | 27.68% | 34 | 42.50% | 0.13╊ |
| Others | 51 | 29 | 56.86% | 5 | 17.24% | 22 | 43.14% | 8 | 36.36% | 0.11╊ |
|
| ||||||||||
| 1975–2003 | 417 | 308 | 73.86% | 89 | 28.90% | 109 | 26.14% | 42 | 38.53% | 0.04╊ |
| 2004–2011 | 178 | 124 | 69.66% | 16 | 12.90% | 54 | 30.34% | 12 | 22.22% | 0.09╊ |
|
| ||||||||||
| Keratinizing squamous cell | 245 | 179 | 73.06% | 67 | 37.43% | 66 | 26.94% | 31 | 46.97% | 0.11╊ |
| Differentiated non-keratinizing | 92 | 65 | 70.65% | 14 | 21.54% | 27 | 29.35% | 7 | 25.93% | 0.42╊ |
| Undifferentiated non-keratinizing | 149 | 113 | 75.84% | 15 | 13.27% | 36 | 24.16% | 7 | 19.44% | 0.26╊ |
| Others | 109 | 75 | 68.81% | 9 | 12.00% | 34 | 31.19% | 9 | 26.47% | 0.06╊ |
|
| ||||||||||
| Yes | 562 | 408 | 72.60% | 102 | 25.00% | 154 | 27.40% | 49 | 31.82% | 0.07╊ |
| No | 33 | 24 | 72.73% | 3 | 12.50% | 9 | 27.27% | 5 | 55.56% | 0.02╊ |
╊Pearson x2 test.