Andreas Dietzel1, Michael Bode2,3, Sean R Connolly2,4,5, Terry P Hughes2. 1. ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia. andreas.dietzel@my.jcu.edu.au. 2. ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia. 3. School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. 4. College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia. 5. Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa, Republic of Panama.