Literature DB >> 33723010

Flood risk behaviors of United States riverine metropolitan areas are driven by local hydrology and shaped by race.

James Knighton1, Kelly Hondula2, Cielo Sharkus3, Christian Guzman3, Rebecca Elliott4.   

Abstract

Flooding risk results from complex interactions between hydrological hazards (e.g., riverine inundation during periods of heavy rainfall), exposure, vulnerability (e.g., the potential for structural damage or loss of life), and resilience (how well we recover, learn from, and adapt to past floods). Building on recent coupled conceptualizations of these complex interactions, we characterize human-flood interactions (collective memory and risk-enduring attitude) at a more comprehensive scale than has been attempted to date across 50 US metropolitan statistical areas with a sociohydrologic (SH) model calibrated with accessible local data (historical records of annual peak streamflow, flood insurance loss claims, active insurance policy records, and population density). A cluster analysis on calibrated SH model parameter sets for metropolitan areas identified two dominant behaviors: 1) "risk-enduring" cities with lower flooding defenses and longer memory of past flood loss events and 2) "risk-averse" cities with higher flooding defenses and reduced memory of past flooding. These divergent behaviors correlated with differences in local stream flashiness indices (i.e., the frequency and rapidity of daily changes in streamflow), maximum dam heights, and the proportion of White to non-White residents in US metropolitan areas. Risk-averse cities tended to exist within regions characterized by flashier streamflow conditions, larger dams, and larger proportions of White residents. Our research supports the development of SH models in urban metropolitan areas and the design of risk management strategies that consider both demographically heterogeneous populations, changing flood defenses, and temporal changes in community risk perceptions and tolerance.

Entities:  

Keywords:  flood risk; hydrologic modeling; hydrology; insurance; sociohydrology

Year:  2021        PMID: 33723010      PMCID: PMC8020782          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2016839118

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  13 in total

1.  Disparities of population exposed to flood hazards in the United States.

Authors:  Yi Qiang
Journal:  J Environ Manage       Date:  2018-11-24       Impact factor: 6.789

2.  Building community disaster resilience: perspectives from a large urban county department of public health.

Authors:  Alonzo Plough; Jonathan E Fielding; Anita Chandra; Malcolm Williams; David Eisenman; Kenneth B Wells; Grace Y Law; Stella Fogleman; Aizita Magaña
Journal:  Am J Public Health       Date:  2013-05-16       Impact factor: 9.308

3.  Rethinking the relationship between flood risk perception and flood management.

Authors:  S Birkholz; M Muro; P Jeffrey; H M Smith
Journal:  Sci Total Environ       Date:  2014-02-11       Impact factor: 7.963

4.  'Scarier than another storm': values at risk in the mapping and insuring of US floodplains.

Authors:  Rebecca Elliott
Journal:  Br J Sociol       Date:  2018-05-08

5.  Structure and agency in development-induced forced migration: the case of Brazil's Belo Monte Dam.

Authors:  Heather Randell
Journal:  Popul Environ       Date:  2015-09-04

6.  How long do floods throughout the millennium remain in the collective memory?

Authors:  Václav Fanta; Miroslav Šálek; Petr Sklenicka
Journal:  Nat Commun       Date:  2019-03-07       Impact factor: 14.919

7.  Managed retreat through voluntary buyouts of flood-prone properties.

Authors:  Katharine J Mach; Caroline M Kraan; Miyuki Hino; A R Siders; Erica M Johnston; Christopher B Field
Journal:  Sci Adv       Date:  2019-10-09       Impact factor: 14.136

8.  Determinants of Probability Neglect and Risk Attitudes for Disaster Risk: An Online Experimental Study of Flood Insurance Demand among Homeowners.

Authors:  Peter John Robinson; W J Wouter Botzen
Journal:  Risk Anal       Date:  2019-06-27       Impact factor: 4.000

9.  Nighttime light data reveal how flood protection shapes human proximity to rivers.

Authors:  Johanna Mård; Giuliano Di Baldassarre; Maurizio Mazzoleni
Journal:  Sci Adv       Date:  2018-08-22       Impact factor: 14.136

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  1 in total

1.  Exploring the association between precipitation and population cases of ocular toxoplasmosis in Colombia.

Authors:  Laura Boada-Robayo; Danna Lesley Cruz-Reyes; Carlos Cifuentes-González; William Rojas-Carabali; Ángela Paola Vargas-Largo; Alejandra de-la-Torre
Journal:  PLoS Negl Trop Dis       Date:  2022-10-05
  1 in total

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