Literature DB >> 33692895

Predictors of unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children from a prospective cohort study in Pakistan.

Meredith B Brooks1, Amyn Malik2,3,4, Salman Khan2, Junaid F Ahmed2, Sara Siddiqui2, Maria Jaswal2, Saniya Saleem2, Farhana Amanullah5, Mercedes C Becerra1, Hamidah Hussain4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Every year, about 239 000 children die from tuberculosis (TB), despite availability of highly effective regimens. Few studies have evaluated predictors for poor treatment outcomes in children treated for TB.
METHODS: We assessed predictors of unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes in a prospective cohort of children diagnosed by an intensified TB patient-finding intervention at four facilities in Pakistan between 2014 and 2016. A case of TB disease was determined through either bacteriologic confirmation of disease or a clinical diagnosis. To estimate characteristics predictive of experiencing an unsuccessful treatment outcome, we used a multi-level model with a modified Poisson approach, accounting for clustering at the facility level. We report estimated relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).
RESULTS: During the study period, 1404 children less than 15 years old were initiated on treatment for drug-susceptible TB. In total, 709 (50.5%) were 0-4, 406 (28.9%) were 5-9 years, and 289 (20.6%) were 10-14 years old; 614 (43.7%) were female; and of the 1377 children assessed for malnourishment, 1161 (84.3%) were malnourished. A total of 1322 (94.2%) children experienced a successful treatment outcome, 14 (1.0%) children transferred out to a different facility, and 68 (4.8%) children experienced an unsuccessful treatment outcome: 14 (1.0%) died, 20 (1.4%) failed treatment, and 34 (2.4%) were lost to follow-up. After adjustment for age group, sex, and malnutrition status, we identified increased risk of unsuccessful treatment outcome in children presenting with fever (RR = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.02-6.44; P = 0.05) or an abdominal examination suggestive of TB disease (RR = 2.34, 95% CI = 1.20-4.58; P = 0.01), and a decreased risk in children who initiated treatment at a rural facility (RR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.00-0.74; P = 0.03).
CONCLUSIONS: More than 94% of children experienced successful treatment outcomes. We identified individual-, facility-, and clinical-factors predictive of experiencing unsuccessful treatment outcomes. Children with fevers and abdominal findings suggestive of TB disease should be tested for TB and followed closely throughout treatment to ensure necessary support for successful completion of treatment.
Copyright © 2021 by the Journal of Global Health. All rights reserved.

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Year:  2021        PMID: 33692895      PMCID: PMC7916443          DOI: 10.7189/jogh.11.04011

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Glob Health        ISSN: 2047-2978            Impact factor:   4.413


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