David J Berlowitz1,2,3,4, Nicole Sheers5,2,3,4. 1. Departments of Physiotherapy and. 2. Institute for Breathing and Sleep, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia; and. 3. Department of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine and. 4. Department of Physiotherapy, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia. 5. Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Motor neuron disease or amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a
rare, progressive, terminal neurological disease that can strike anyone. As ALS
progresses, respiratory muscle strength declines, ventilatory capacity diminishes, and
respiratory failure and death ensue. Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has been a key
element of multidisciplinary care since the 2006 randomized controlled trial (RCT) of
NIV in 41 people with ALS demonstrated a median survival benefit of 7 months (1). There is now no clinical and/or ethical
equipoise to repeat the experiment despite the very real risk that the initial finding
was a type 1 error. Five participants died within days of randomization, separating the
survival curves very early and likely contributing to the observed benefit. Despite no
confirmatory RCTs, numerous subsequent cohorts and case series have associated NIV with
increased survival in ALS, and in this issue of AnnalsATS, Ackrivo and
colleagues (pp. 486–494) have
furthered our understanding of the magnitude of benefit with a careful and thorough
interrogation of their single-site, 9-year cohort (2).From a clinic population of 864, Ackrivo and colleagues extracted 452 participants into
180 matched groups; the authors carefully matched people using NIV to the non-NIV group
across diagnosis delay, symptom onset site (limb or bulbar), ALSFRS-R orthopnea score
>2 or ≤2 (ALS Functional Rating Scale–Revised), and forced vital
capacity percent predicted normal. Immortal time bias was matched for by including the
time since the first visit to the day of matching. Once matched, both unadjusted and
adjusted survival were modeled and reported taking into account the known confounders of
age at diagnosis, body mass index, ALSFRS-R dyspnea score, and daily hours of NIV
use.The NIV users had an unadjusted median survival of 8.0 months from NIV prescription
versus 7.4 months for the people who did not receive NIV. This difference equated to a
20% nonsignificant reduction in the rate of death, which rose to 26% and became
statistically significant once known confounders were controlled for (hazard ratio [HR],
0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57–0.98;
P = 0.04). As the authors noted, another large
cohort from our group demonstrated a very similar adjusted HR of 0.72 (95% CI,
0.60–0.88) (3). Our paper reported a
median survival advantage of 13 months from a different baseline (symptom onset vs. time
of NIV initiation), and although we addressed left-truncation in our cohort, Ackrivo and
colleagues arguably better controlled for immortal time bias in their analyses (2). Ackrivo and colleagues also refined their
model in a secondary analysis of time-matched groups by diagnostic delay and follow-up
time since first visit, and this further extended the reduction in the rate of death
(HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.46–0.82; P = 0.001).
Other cohorts have reported a range of survival benefits with NIV from different
baselines; Lo Coco and colleagues reported a median survival advantage from disease
onset of 18 months (4), whereas Kleopa and
colleagues (5) and Aboussouan and colleagues
(6) both reported their survival advantages
from time of NIV prescription in those adherent with therapy as 10 and 15 months,
respectively.Alongside the carefully controlled analyses of whether NIV increases survival time
overall, Ackrivo’s team also examined whether the amount of NIV use matters.
After adjustment for body mass index and age at diagnosis, the authors showed that
>4 h/d was associated with a 33% reduction in the rate of death (median, unadjusted
survival of 10.7 months in >4 hours vs. 5.9 months in users of <4 h/d). This
“dose–response” on survival has been similarly observed by other
groups; the median survival was 18.0 months if >4 h/d versus 6 months if <4
h/d and 14.2, 7.0, and 4.6 months if >4 h/d, <4 h/d, or refused NIV,
respectively (4, 5). In a previous physiological study from an unselected NIV
cohort, it was found that greater NIV usage per day better controls arterial carbon
dioxide and sleepiness and that the “effective dose” cutoff is >4 h/d
(7). Furthermore, a recent single-site
randomized controlled trial determined that careful alignment of NIV settings to patient
effort using an overnight sleep study can increase adherence with NIV in ALS. In
participants who initially used NIV for <4 h/d, optimizing NIV increased adherence
by 118 minutes (95% CI, 53–182; P < 0.01)
compared with control subjects (8). NIV use in
ALS is recommended in clinical guidelines globally (9), but only recently has literature emerged that highlights the importance
of the quality of NIV care and the need for ongoing alignment of care with symptom
relief and clinical needs (10).Sleep disordered breathing in ALS is a potent source of repeated sleep fragmentation,
chronic intermittent hypoxia (CIH), and reperfusion (8). These reperfusion events are strongly associated with the generation of
intracellular reactiveoxygen species and alterations in cellular redox status (11). Oxidative stress has been identified as a
therapeutic target in ALS (12), and a recent
animal model has demonstrated a potential link between sleep disordered breathing and
ALS progression (13). ALS mice (SOD1-G93A) and
wild-type control mice (Wt) were randomized to CIH or normoxia (NOX) for 12 hours during
sleep over 2 weeks. In the CIH-exposed ALS mice, motor learning on the rotarod test
(P = 0.017), spatial memory
(P = 0.016), and wire hanging
(P = 0.037) were all statistically impaired compared
with the ALS-NOX conditions and worse than Wt-NOX and Wt-CIH, although not always
statistically different (13). Furthermore, CIH
in an optineurin-deficient ALS mouse model (optineurin appears to be relatively
respiratory neuroprotective in humans with ALS) accelerates ventilatory decline (14). These data suggest that NIV could provide
relief from repeated sleep fragmentation, CIH, and reperfusion “upstream”
of end-organ and cellular dysfunction in ALS and thus potentially modify or potentiate
cellular therapies.In the original Riluzole study (15), the
uncontrolled median 12-month survival advantage was 39%, but if we look at a comparison
time at the end of the placebo-controlled period, a time more aligned to the NIV
survival literature, the advantage was 19% or 2.8 months, an estimate at the lower end
of the benefits reported with NIV. Furthermore, when the original Riluzole dose-finding
study were reexamined, it was apparent that the bulk of the survival benefit from
Riluzole accrues in stage 4 of the disease; the clinical period characterized as that
when a person achieves clinical readiness for NIV (16). The original Riluzole study (15) did not control for NIV prescription or adherence, and although
randomization should have accounted for group allocation (chance) differences, it is
interesting to speculate whether uncontrolled benefits from therapies such as NIV may
have confounded the results. As such, we believe that an important conclusion to draw
from studies such as that by Ackrivo and colleagues is that NIV prescription and actual
adherence with therapy in hours is a critical confounder that must be measured in future
trials of ALS therapeutics, particularly as we move toward large-scale and platform
trials such as TRICALS (17) and HEALEY
(clinical trials number NCT04297683).We can never undertake another RCT of NIV versus no NIV, but the data from the five
cohorts clearly indicate that NIV increases survival if you can use it, and emerging
preclinical data may suggest that NIV is disease modifying per se. The challenge is to
both increase uptake of NIV from clinician prescription through to patient use and
family support and to drive comprehensive clinical and basic science partnerships that
fully explore how and where the prescription of NIV sits in the disease process.
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