Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Admission or Death in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia in Istanbul, Turkey.

We aimed to determine the predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) admission or death in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. This retrospective and single-center study includes patients aged ≥18 years who were diagnosed with COVID-19 pneumonia (laboratory and radiologically confirmed) between March 9 and April 8, 2020. Our composite endpoint was ICU admission or in-hospital death. To evaluate the factors in the composite endpoint, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. A total of 336 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were recorded. The median age was 54 years [interquartile range (IQR): 21] and 187 (55.7%) were male. Fifty-one (15.2%) patients were admitted to the ICU. In-hospital death occurred in 33 (9.8%) patients. In univariate analysis, 17 parameters were associated with the composite endpoint and procalcitonin had the highest ODDs ratio (OR=36.568 CI=5.145-259.915). Our results revealed that body temperature (OR=1.489 CI=1.023-2.167, p=0.037), peripheral capillary oxygen saturation (SpO2) (OR=0.835 CI=0.773-0.901, p<0.001), and consolidation (>25%) in chest computed tomography (OR=3.170 CI=1.218-8.252, p=0.018) at admission were independent predictors. As a result, increased body temperature, decreased SpO2, a high level of procalcitonin, and degree of consolidation in chest computed tomography may predict a poor prognosis and have utility in the management of patients.