Literature DB >> 33626079

The heartbeat of the city.

Rafael Prieto Curiel1, Jorge Eduardo Patino2, Juan Carlos Duque2, Neave O'Clery1.   

Abstract

Human activity is organised around daily and weekly cycles, which should, in turn, dominate all types of social interactions, such as transactions, communications, gatherings and so on. Yet, despite their strategic importance for policing and security, cyclical weekly patterns in crime and road incidents have been unexplored at the city and neighbourhood level. Here we construct a novel method to capture the weekly trace, or "heartbeat" of events and use geotagged data capturing the time and location of more than 200,000 violent crimes and nearly one million crashes in Mexico City. On aggregate, our findings show that the heartbeats of crime and crashes follow a similar pattern. We observe valleys during the night and peaks in the evening, where the intensity during a peak is 7.5 times the intensity of valleys in terms of crime and 12.3 times in terms of road accidents. Although distinct types of events, crimes and crashes reach their respective intensity peak on Friday night and valley on Tuesday morning, the result of a hyper-synchronised society. Next, heartbeats are computed for city neighbourhood 'tiles', a division of space within the city based on the distance to Metro and other public transport stations. We find that heartbeats are spatially heterogeneous with some diffusion, so that nearby tiles have similar heartbeats. Tiles are then clustered based on the shape of their heartbeat, e.g., tiles within groups suffer peaks and valleys of crime or crashes at similar times during the week. The clusters found are similar to those based on economic activities. This enables us to anticipate temporal traces of crime and crashes based on local amenities.

Entities:  

Year:  2021        PMID: 33626079      PMCID: PMC7904221          DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246714

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PLoS One        ISSN: 1932-6203            Impact factor:   3.240


  30 in total

1.  Drink driving and traffic accidents in young people.

Authors:  L J Horwood; D M Fergusson
Journal:  Accid Anal Prev       Date:  2000-11

2.  Growth, innovation, scaling, and the pace of life in cities.

Authors:  Luís M A Bettencourt; José Lobo; Dirk Helbing; Christian Kühnert; Geoffrey B West
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2007-04-16       Impact factor: 11.205

Review 3.  The statistical analysis of highway crash-injury severities: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives.

Authors:  Peter T Savolainen; Fred L Mannering; Dominique Lord; Mohammed A Quddus
Journal:  Accid Anal Prev       Date:  2011-05-02

Review 4.  Statistical physics of crime: a review.

Authors:  Maria R D'Orsogna; Matjaž Perc
Journal:  Phys Life Rev       Date:  2014-11-06       Impact factor: 11.025

Review 5.  Exploring spatial autocorrelation of traffic crashes based on severity.

Authors:  Ali Soltani; Sajad Askari
Journal:  Injury       Date:  2017-01-19       Impact factor: 2.586

6.  Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural freeway accident frequencies.

Authors:  V Shankar; F Mannering; W Barfield
Journal:  Accid Anal Prev       Date:  1995-06

Review 7.  The link between fatigue and safety.

Authors:  Ann Williamson; David A Lombardi; Simon Folkard; Jane Stutts; Theodore K Courtney; Jennie L Connor
Journal:  Accid Anal Prev       Date:  2011-03

8.  Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Authors: 
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2018-11-08       Impact factor: 79.321

9.  The scaling of crime concentration in cities.

Authors:  Marcos Oliveira; Carmelo Bastos-Filho; Ronaldo Menezes
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2017-08-11       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  A metric of the difference between perception of security and victimisation rates.

Authors:  Rafael Prieto Curiel; Steven Richard Bishop
Journal:  Crime Sci       Date:  2016-10-28
View more
  2 in total

1.  Recent advances in urban system science: Models and data.

Authors:  Elsa Arcaute; José J Ramasco
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2022-08-17       Impact factor: 3.752

2.  Weekly Crime Concentration.

Authors:  Rafael Prieto Curiel
Journal:  J Quant Criminol       Date:  2021-09-01
  2 in total

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.