| Literature DB >> 33617816 |
Ozan M Demir1, Matthew Ryan1, Chiara Cirillo2, Nishita Desai3, Ana Pericao3, Hannah Sinclair3, Vasileios Stylianidis3, Kelly Victor3, Bashir Alaour1, Andrew Jones3, Antonis N Pavlidis3, Andrew Retter3, Gerald Carr-White4, Luigi Camporota3, Nicholas Barrett3, Michael Marber1, Divaka Perera5.
Abstract
Cardiac Troponin (hs-TnT) elevation has been reported in unselected patients hospitalized with COVID-19 however the mechanism and relationship with mortality remain unclear. Consecutive patients admitted to a high-volume intensive care unit (ICU) in London with severe COVID-19 pneumonitis were included if hs-TnT concentration at admission was known. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis performed, with cohorts classified a priori by multiples of the upper limit of normal (ULN). 277 patients were admitted during a 7-week period in 2020; 176 were included (90% received invasive ventilation). hs-TnT at admission was 16.5 (9.0 to 49.3) ng/L, 56% had concentrations >ULN. 56 patients (31.8%) died during the index admission. Admission hs-TnT level was lower in survivors (12.0 (8.0-27.8) vs 28.5 (14.0 to 81.0) ng/L, p = 0.001). Univariate predictors of mortality were age, APACHE-II Score and admission hs-TnT (HR 1.73, p = 0.007). By multivariate regression, only age (HR 1.33, CI: 1.16.to 1.51, p < 0.01) and admission hs-TnT (HR 1.94, CI: 1.22 to 3.10, p = 0.006) remained predictive. Survival was significantly lower when admission hs-TnT was >ULN (log-rank p-value<0.001). Peak hs-TnT was higher in those who died but was not predictive of death after adjustment for other factors. In conclusion, in critically ill patients with COVID-19 pneumonitis, the hs-TnT level at admission is a powerful independent predictor of the likelihood of surviving to discharge from ICU. In most cases, hs-TnT elevation does not represent major myocardial injury but acts as a sensitive integrated biomarker of global stress. Whether stratification based on admission Troponin level could be used to guide prognostication and management warrants further evaluation.Entities:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33617816 PMCID: PMC7895690 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2021.01.037
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Cardiol ISSN: 0002-9149 Impact factor: 2.778
Figure 1Study flow chart.
Characteristics of whole population
| Variable | Overall (n=277) | Included (n=176) | Excluded (n=101) | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 55.1 ± 13.9 | 55.1 ± 12.9 | 52.3 ± 15.6 | 0.14 |
| Men | 196 (71%) | 124 (71%) | 72 (71%) | 0.88 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 28.5 (26.3) | 28.5 ± 6.6 | 28.7 ± 5.8 | 0.82 |
| Ethnicity | ||||
| White | 114 (41%) | 74 (42%) | 40 (40%) | |
| Black | 80 (29%) | 50 (27%) | 30 (30%) | |
| Asian | 40 (15%) | 26 (15%) | 14 (14%) | 0.38 |
| Mixed | 6 (2%) | 5 (3%) | 1 (1%) | |
| Other | 15 (5%) | 13 (7%) | 2 (2%) | |
| Not stated | 22 (8%) | 8 (5%) | 14 (14%) | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 89 (32%) | 60 (34%) | 29 (29%) | 0.36 |
| Hypertension | 126 (46%) | 82 (47%) | 44 (44%) | 0.63 |
| SOFA Score | 6.0 (4.0 – 7.0) | 6.0 (4.0-7.3) | 5.0 (3.0 – 7.0) | 0.11 |
| APACHE II Score | 14.0 ± 5.0 | 14.0 ± 5.0 | 14 ± 5.1 | 0.95 |
| Hyperinflammation | 84 (30%) | 57 (32%) | 27 (27%) | 0.32 |
| Admission Hs-TnT (ng/L) | 16.5 (9.0-49.3) | 16.5 (9.0-49.3) | - | |
| Peak Hs-TnT (ng/L) | 49.5 (16.5 – 115.5) | 53.00 (16.0 – 124.0) | 44.0 (24.5 – 111.0) | 0.57 |
| Admission CRP (mg/L) | 160.0 (84.3 – 278.5) | 162.0 (85.0-269.0) | 152.0 (77.0 – 281.5) | 0.51 |
| Peak CRP (mg/L) | 334.5 (226.0 – 414.8) | 344.0 (246.0 – 427.0) | 315.0 (196.0 – 395.0) | 0.50 |
| Admission Ferritin (μg/L) | 1164.0 (708.0 – 2182.0) | 1176.5 (717.8-2106.8) | 1118.0 (689.0 – 2459.5) | 0.96 |
| Peak Ferritin (μg/L) | 1919.0 (999.0 – 3379.3) | 1963.0 (10.45.5 – 3428.5) | 1627.0 (999.0 – 3342.5) | 0.45 |
| LVEF, % (n=164) | 57.9 ± 11.1 | 56.7 ± 11.5 | 60.3 ± 9.6 | 0.02 |
| LV Impairment | 19 (11%) | 17 (14%) | 2 (4%) | 0.20 |
| TAPSE (mm) (n=136) | 19.9 ± 4.7 | 20.0 ± 4.8 | 19.7 ± 4.4 | 0.75 |
| RV Impairment (n=136) | 30 (22%) | 21 (22%) | 9 (22%) | 0.93 |
| IVC (mm) (n=117) | 19.39 ± 4.84 | 19.7 ± 4.7 | 18.7 ± 5.1 | 0.35 |
| Pericardial Effusion (n=164) | 31 (19%) | 21 (18%) | 10 (22%) | 0.78 |
| Non-invasive ventilation | 35 (13%) | 23 (13%) | 12 (11%) | 0.78 |
| Invasive ventilation | 238 (86%) | 158 (90%) | 80 (79%) | 0.02 |
| VV-ECMO | 25 (14%) | 4 (3%) | 21 (38%) | <0.001 |
| Renal Replacement Therapy | 89 (32%) | 58 (33%) | 31 (31%) | 0.70 |
| Survivors | 191 (69%) | 120 (68%) | 71 (70%) | 0.48 |
| Length of stay (days) | 16.8 ± 15.7 | 18.5 ± 16.8 | 14.6 ± 14.1 | 0.06 |
*Where measures are available only in a sub-sample this is shown in parenthesis.
¥ APACHE= Acute physiologic assessment and chronic health evaluation; CRP = C-reactive protein; Hs-TnT = high-sensitive Troponin-T; IVC = inferior vena cava; LV = Left ventricular; LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction; RV = Right ventricle; SOFA = sequential organ failure assessment TAPSE = Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion; VV-ECMO = Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
Characteristics of included population
| Variable | Survivors (n=120) | Non-survivors (n=56) | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 52.2 ±12.9 | 61.1 ± 10.7 | <0.001 |
| Men | 82 (68%) | 42 (75%) | 0.37 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 28.3 ± 6.6 | 28.7 ± 6.7 | 0.79 |
| Ethnicity | |||
| White | 46 (39%) | 28 (50%) | |
| Black | 35 (29%) | 15 (27%) | |
| Asian | 18 (15%) | 8 (14%) | 0.39 |
| Mixed | 4 (3%) | 1 (2%) | |
| Other | 12 (10%) | 1 (2%) | |
| Not stated | 5 (4%) | 3 (5%) | |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 39 (33%) | 20 (36%) | 0.30 |
| Hypertension | 51 (43%) | 31 (55%) | 0.11 |
| SOFA Score | 6.0 (4.0-7.0) | 6.5 (4.0-8.0) | 0.18 |
| APACHE II Score | 12.9 ± 4.9 | 16.3 ±4.5 | <0.001 |
| Hyperinflammation | 32 (27%) | 25 (45%) | 0.02 |
| Admission Hs-TnT (ng/L) | 12.0 (8.0 – 27.8) | 28.5 (14.0 – 81.0) | 0.001 |
| Peak Hs-TnT (ng/L) | 34.5 (11.25 – 105.75) | 78.0 (39.0 – 188.0) | <0.001 |
| Admission CRP (mg/L) | 150.0 (68.0 - 241.0) | 206.5 (113.3 - 318.8) | 0.07 |
| Peak CRP (mg/L) | 326.0 (196.0 – 414.0) | 363.0 (327.8 – 444.0) | 0.07 |
| Admission Ferritin (μg/L) | 1091.0 (684.0-1907.0) | 1469.0 (721.0-3170.0) | 0.10 |
| Peak Ferritin (μg/L) | 1833.5 (960.0 – 2794.0) | 2363.0 (1251.0 – 5333.0) | 0.02 |
| LVEF, % (n=120) | 57.7 ± 9.3 | 54.9 ± 14.3 | 0.24 |
| LV Impairment | 7 (10%) | 10 (22%) | 0.051 |
| TAPSE (mm) (n=96) | 20.4 ± 4.9 | 19.2 ± 4.6 | 0.25 |
| RV Impairment (n=96) | 12 (20%) | 9 (25%) | 0.57 |
| IVC (mm) (n=117) | 18.7 ± 5.1 | 21.5 ± 3.4 | 0.003 |
| Pericardial Effusion (n=120) | 13 (18%) | 8 (17%) | 0.72 |
| Non-invasive ventilation | 15 (13%) | 8 (14%) | 0.74 |
| Invasive ventilation | 106 (88%) | 52 (93%) | 0.36 |
| VV-ECMO | 2 (3%) | 2 (4%) | 0.64 |
| Renal replacement therapy | 33 (28%) | 25 (45%) | 0.02 |
| Length of stay (days) | 20.5 ±18.1 | 14.1 ±12.4 | 0.006 |
*Where measures are available only in a sub-sample this is shown in parenthesis.
¥ APACHE = Acute physiologic assessment and chronic health evaluation; CRP = C-reactive protein; Hs-TnT = high sensitive Troponin-T; IVC = inferior vena cava; LV = Left ventricular; LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction; RV = Right ventricle; SOFA = sequential organ failure assessment TAPSE = Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion; VV-ECMO = Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
Figure 2Histogram of admission and peak high sensitivity Troponin-T measurements.
Figure 3Patient characteristics and outcomes by admission high-sensitivity Cardiac Troponin-T. Length of stay (LOS) analysis exclusively of patients who survived to discharge from intensive care unit.
Univariate and multivariate cox regression of data available at admission
| Variable | Univariate | Multivariate (Model 1: n=175) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | CI (95%) | p | HR | CI (95%) | p | |
| Age (per 5 years) | 1.32 | 1.16 – 1.51 | <0.001 | 1.33 | 1.16 – 1.51 | <0.001 |
| Male sex | 1.07 | 0.58 – 1.98 | 0.82 | |||
| Ethnicity (Black and Asian) | 1.00 | 1.00 – 1.01 | 0.93 | |||
| Body mass index | 1.00 | 0.96 – 1.04 | 0.93 | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | 0.99 | 0.58 – 1.71 | 0.98 | |||
| Hypertension | 1.33 | 0.78 – 2.26 | 0.29 | |||
| SOFA Score | 1.04 | 0.93 – 1.17 | 0.49 | |||
| APACHE II Score | 1.08 | 1.03 – 1.14 | 0.002 | 1.03 | 0.97 – 1.10 | 0.33 |
| Admission Hs-TnT | 1.73 | 1.16 – 2.57 | 0.007 | 1.94 | 1.22 – 3.10 | 0.006 |
| Admission CRP | 1.84 | 0.83 – 4.06 | 0.13 | 0.96 | 0.42 –2.19 | 0.92 |
| Admission Ferritin | 0.97 | 0.50 – 1.87 | 0.97 | |||
¥ APACHE = Acute physiologic assessment and chronic health evaluation; CRP = C-reactive protein; Hs-TnT = high sensitive Troponin-T; SOFA = sequential organ failure assessment.
Figure 4Receiver operating characteristic curve of mortality. Area under the curve (AUC): Hs-TnT 0.71, Age 0.68, APACHE-II score 0.67 and SOFA score 0.60. Optimal cut-off value of hs-TnT to predict mortality was >17 ng/L, at a sensitivity of 69.6% and specificity of 62.5%.
Figure 5Kaplan-Meier curves of death rate stratified by multiples of the upper limit of normal for high sensitivity Troponin-T.