Gerald Liew1, Bamini Gopinath1, Andrew J White1, George Burlutsky1, Tien Yin Wong2,3, Paul Mitchell1. 1. Centre for Vision Research, Westmead Institute for Medical Research, University of Sydney, Australia (G.L., B.G., A.J.W., G.B.M., P.M.). 2. Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore (T.Y.W.). 3. Singapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Center (T.Y.W.).
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Fractal analysis is a method of quantifying the branching complexity and density of the retinal vessels. We hypothesized that reduced fractal dimension, signifying a sparser vascular network, is associated with long-term stroke mortality. METHODS: We examined the relationship of fractal dimension and stroke mortality in a prospective, population-based cohort of 3143 participants aged 49 years or older. Fractal dimension was measured from digitized fundus photographs using a computer-automated method. Stroke mortality was documented from Australian National Death Index records. We defined reduced fractal dimension as values in the lowest quartile. RESULTS: Over 12 years, there were 132 (4.2%) stroke-related deaths. Stroke-related mortality was higher in participants with reduced fractal dimension (lowest quartile) compared with the highest quartile (7.7% versus 1.3%, P<0.01). After controlling for age, gender, smoking, blood pressure, history of stroke, and other factors, participants with reduced fractal dimension had higher stroke mortality (hazard ratio, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.15-5.07], lowest versus highest quartile). When modeled as a continuous variable, reduced fractal dimension was associated with increased stroke mortality (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.06-1.51], per SD decrease). CONCLUSIONS: Reduced retinal vascular fractal dimension is independently associated with 12-year stroke mortality. Reduced fractal dimension may indicate cerebral tissue hypoxia and increased risk of stroke.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Fractal analysis is a method of quantifying the branching complexity and density of the retinal vessels. We hypothesized that reduced fractal dimension, signifying a sparser vascular network, is associated with long-term stroke mortality. METHODS: We examined the relationship of fractal dimension and stroke mortality in a prospective, population-based cohort of 3143 participants aged 49 years or older. Fractal dimension was measured from digitized fundus photographs using a computer-automated method. Stroke mortality was documented from Australian National Death Index records. We defined reduced fractal dimension as values in the lowest quartile. RESULTS: Over 12 years, there were 132 (4.2%) stroke-related deaths. Stroke-related mortality was higher in participants with reduced fractal dimension (lowest quartile) compared with the highest quartile (7.7% versus 1.3%, P<0.01). After controlling for age, gender, smoking, blood pressure, history of stroke, and other factors, participants with reduced fractal dimension had higher stroke mortality (hazard ratio, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.15-5.07], lowest versus highest quartile). When modeled as a continuous variable, reduced fractal dimension was associated with increased stroke mortality (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.06-1.51], per SD decrease). CONCLUSIONS: Reduced retinal vascular fractal dimension is independently associated with 12-year stroke mortality. Reduced fractal dimension may indicate cerebral tissue hypoxia and increased risk of stroke.
Authors: Seyedeh Maryam Zekavat; Vineet K Raghu; Mark Trinder; Yixuan Ye; Satoshi Koyama; Michael C Honigberg; Zhi Yu; Akhil Pampana; Sarah Urbut; Sara Haidermota; Declan P O'Regan; Hongyu Zhao; Patrick T Ellinor; Ayellet V Segrè; Tobias Elze; Janey L Wiggs; James Martone; Ron A Adelman; Nazlee Zebardast; Lucian Del Priore; Jay C Wang; Pradeep Natarajan Journal: Circulation Date: 2021-11-08 Impact factor: 29.690