Literature DB >> 33583265

Machine learning for weather and climate are worlds apart.

D Watson-Parris1.   

Abstract

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage and often even components; however, they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should reflect this. While the use of machine learning to emulate weather forecast models is a relatively new endeavour, there is a rich history of climate model emulation. This is primarily because while weather modelling is an initial condition problem, which intimately depends on the current state of the atmosphere, climate modelling is predominantly a boundary condition problem. To emulate the response of the climate to different drivers therefore, representation of the full dynamical evolution of the atmosphere is neither necessary, or in many cases, desirable. Climate scientists are typically interested in different questions also. Indeed emulating the steady-state climate response has been possible for many years and provides significant speed increases that allow solving inverse problems for e.g. parameter estimation. Nevertheless, the large datasets, non-linear relationships and limited training data make climate a domain which is rich in interesting machine learning challenges. Here, I seek to set out the current state of climate model emulation and demonstrate how, despite some challenges, recent advances in machine learning provide new opportunities for creating useful statistical models of the climate. This article is part of the theme issue 'Machine learning for weather and climate modelling'.

Entities:  

Keywords:  climate; climate modelling; machine learning

Year:  2021        PMID: 33583265      PMCID: PMC7898127          DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0098

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci        ISSN: 1364-503X            Impact factor:   4.226


  14 in total

1.  Towards objective probabalistic climate forecasting.

Authors:  Myles R Allen; David A Stainforth
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2002-09-12       Impact factor: 49.962

Review 2.  The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction.

Authors:  Peter Bauer; Alan Thorpe; Gilbert Brunet
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2015-09-03       Impact factor: 49.962

3.  Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases.

Authors:  D A Stainforth; T Aina; C Christensen; M Collins; N Faull; D J Frame; J A Kettleborough; S Knight; A Martin; J M Murphy; C Piani; D Sexton; L A Smith; R A Spicer; A J Thorpe; M R Allen
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2005-01-27       Impact factor: 49.962

4.  More is different.

Authors:  P W Anderson
Journal:  Science       Date:  1972-08-04       Impact factor: 47.728

5.  Inference in ensemble experiments.

Authors:  Jonathan Rougier; David M H Sexton
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2007-08-15       Impact factor: 4.226

6.  Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change.

Authors:  Mat Collins
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2007-08-15       Impact factor: 4.226

7.  Nonlinear information fusion algorithms for data-efficient multi-fidelity modelling.

Authors:  P Perdikaris; M Raissi; A Damianou; N D Lawrence; G E Karniadakis
Journal:  Proc Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2017-02       Impact factor: 2.704

8.  The frontier of simulation-based inference.

Authors:  Kyle Cranmer; Johann Brehmer; Gilles Louppe
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2020-05-29       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models.

Authors:  Stephan Rasp; Michael S Pritchard; Pierre Gentine
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-09-06       Impact factor: 11.205

10.  Applying Machine Learning to Improve Simulations of a Chaotic Dynamical System Using Empirical Error Correction.

Authors:  Peter A G Watson
Journal:  J Adv Model Earth Syst       Date:  2019-05-21       Impact factor: 6.660

View more
  1 in total

1.  Sensitivity of Air Pollution Exposure and Disease Burden to Emission Changes in China Using Machine Learning Emulation.

Authors:  Luke Conibear; Carly L Reddington; Ben J Silver; Ying Chen; Christoph Knote; Stephen R Arnold; Dominick V Spracklen
Journal:  Geohealth       Date:  2022-06-01
  1 in total

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.