Literature DB >> 33552739

Estimating the average daily rainfall in Thailand using confidence intervals for the common mean of several delta-lognormal distributions.

Patcharee Maneerat1, Sa-Aat Niwitpong2.   

Abstract

The daily average natural rainfall amounts in the five regions of Thailand can be estimated using the confidence intervals for the common mean of several delta-lognormal distributions based on the fiducial generalized confidence interval (FGCI), large sample (LS), method of variance estimates recovery (MOVER), parametric bootstrap (PB), and highest posterior density intervals based on Jeffreys' rule (HPD-JR) and normal-gamma-beta (HPD-NGB) priors. Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to assess the performance in terms of the coverage probability and average length of the proposed methods. The numerical results indicate that MOVER and PB provided better performances than the other methods in a variety of situations, even when the sample case was large. The efficacies of the proposed methods were illustrated by applying them to real rainfall datasets from the five regions of Thailand. ©2021 Maneerat and Niwitpong.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Agriculture; Bayesian approach; MOVER; Natural rainfall; Vague prior; Variance

Year:  2021        PMID: 33552739      PMCID: PMC7831370          DOI: 10.7717/peerj.10758

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  PeerJ        ISSN: 2167-8359            Impact factor:   2.984


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