Managing Diabetic Macular Edema in Clinical Practice: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Current Strategies and Treatment Options.

PURPOSE: This meta-analysis aims to summarize 12-month best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) outcomes in response to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy and dexamethasone implant for the treatment of diabetic macular edema (DME) and to identify factors affecting treatment response using evidence generated from meta-regression.
METHODS: A systematic review of electronic databases was conducted to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and real-life/observational studies that reported 12-month changes in BCVA in patients with DME on anti-VEGF or dexamethasone implant treatment in monotherapy. Study factors that were analyzed are baseline patient characteristics, study type, drug employed, number of injections and 12-month change in BCVA. Data were pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis with BCVA change as the main outcome. Meta-regression was conducted to assess the impact of multiple covariates.
RESULTS: One-hundred-five heterogeneous study populations (45,032 eyes) were identified and included in the analysis. The use of anti-VEGFs and dexamethasone implant induced an overall increase of +8.13 ETDRS letters in BCVA at 12 months of follow-up. Meta-regression provided evidence that mean BCVA change using anti-VEGFs was not statistically higher for RCTs (p=0.35) compared to observational studies. Dexamethasone implant showed a trend for better results in observational studies over RCTs. Populations following a fixed aflibercept regimen performed better than those following a reactive treatment regimen. Mean BCVA gain was higher in younger populations (p<0.001), with lower baseline BCVA (p<0.0001) and longer diabetes duration (p<0.0001), receiving a higher number of injections (p<0.0001).
CONCLUSION: Intravitreal therapy with anti-VEGFs or dexamethasone implant produces a significant improvement in BCVA at 12 months in patients with DME. Meta-regression identified the modifiable covariates that can be targeted in order to maximize functional results.

Introduction

Diabetic macular edema (DME) is a sight-threatening disease and a major cause of blindness among people in working age. It affects about 7 million patients with diabetic retinopathy (DR).1 The prevalence of DME increases with duration of disease and stage of DR, approaching 30% in adults who have had diabetes for more than 20 years and 71% of those with proliferative diabetic retinopathy.2,3

Grid and focal laser photocoagulation used to be the only evidence-based treatment modality to preserve vision in patients with DME.4 However, several decades of basic science research have revealed a growing and complex array of vascular permeability factors, such as vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), and proinflammatory mediators, providing the scaffold for identifying potential therapeutic targets.5 The introduction of intravitreal treatments has completely revolutionized the management of DME during the last decade. Anti-VEGF molecules, such as ranibizumab and aflibercept are commonly used as first-line therapy, while bevacizumab, a monoclonal antibody approved for the treatment of different types of cancer, is often employed in an off-label fashion in many countries.6–11 An innovative, controlled-release, bioerodible dexamethasone implant was licensed for the treatment of DME in 2014.12 The current body of evidence on the efficacy and safety of anti-VEGF agents and dexamethasone implant is broad and steadily growing as randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and real-life/observational studies are completed. As clinical experiences have accumulated, it has become necessary to synthesize the updated results to provide information that can be useful in clinical practice. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and a meta-analysis of published RCTs and observational/real-life studies to sum up available evidence and to quantify the efficacy of intravitreal anti-VEGFs and dexamethasone implant for the treatment of DME. In addition, we aimed to identify patient and study factors that may affect the reporting of outcomes through a meta-regression model.

Specifically, the aim of this study is to respond to the following questions:

Is there a difference between results from RCTs and real-life/observational studies?

Is there a difference between results from RCTs and real-life/observational studies when analyzing drug classes?

Considering both RCTs and real-life/observational studies, does the treatment regimen influence the outcome when using anti-VEGFs?

Does the treatment regimen employed in real-life/observational studies influence the outcome when using anti-VEGFs?

If fixed regimen produces better outcomes, is this true for all anti-VEGFs?

Does the frequency of treatments influence the outcomes when using anti-VEGFs?

If frequency of injections influences the outcome, is this true for all anti-VEGFs?

Considering both RCTs and real-life/observational studies, which drug shows more favorable results in literature?

Which drug shows more favorable outcomes in literature, when considering only real-life/observational studies?

What are the baseline characteristics that significantly influence visual outcomes in real-life?

Materials and Methods

A multistage approach, including a systematic literature review (SLR), a meta-analysis, and a meta-regression, was used to determine the efficacy/effectiveness of intravitreal therapy in patients with DME.

Systematic Literature Review

A SLR of published studies including patients with DME receiving intravitreal ranibizumab, aflibercept, bevacizumab or dexamethasone implant with one-year follow-up was conducted. A systematic search of the PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for relevant literature published was performed until May 15, 2020. The search strategy was centered on the amalgamation of medical subject headings and the keywords: “diabetic macular edema”, “macular oedema”, “macular edema”, “anti-VEGF”, “DME”, “DMO”, “aflibercept”, “bevacizumab”, “ranibizumab”, “dexamethasone”.

All search hits were imported into a spreadsheet, and data from eligible abstracts and full-text studies were extracted and selected on the basis of relevant populations, interventions, comparators, outcomes, and study design. The data extraction template was built using the Meta-Analyses and Systematic Reviews of Observational Studies guidelines, and the reporting of the SLR followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.13 Screening of title, abstract, and full text was performed using PRISMA guidelines. RCTs, and real-world prospective and retrospective clinical studies were included. Data from eligible articles meeting inclusion criteria were extracted independently by two authors (VSa and VSo) and disagreements were resolved by consensus. The risk of bias was evaluated both qualitatively and quantitatively using the Downs and Black checklist. The same two authors evaluated data and categorized articles obtained from the literature search to assess quality.

Meta-Analysis

A meta-analysis of the data identified from the SLR was undertaken. Inclusion criteria for the meta-analysis were studies enrolling DME patients who received monotherapy with ranibizumab, aflibercept, bevacizumab or dexamethasone implant, reported 52-week (±4 weeks) effectiveness outcomes. The primary objective of the meta-analysis was to derive a pooled estimate for effectiveness (defined as best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) change from baseline to week 52 in Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study (ETDRS) letters). When necessary, variables of interest were converted: logMAR and decimal to ETDRS letters. Fixed-effects and random-effects models were used to produce estimates. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. Publication bias was evaluated by Egger’s linear regression and visualized with funnel plots.

Meta-Regression and Moderators Selection

A meta-regression analysis was undertaken. Primary moderators were pre-selected based on existing evidence. Moderators included in the meta-regression were age at baseline, diabetes duration, baseline BCVA, baseline central retinal thickness (CRT), study type (RCT, real-life/observational study), treatment regimen, number of injections, and drug/drug class. The outcome variable assessed was mean BCVA change in ETDRS letters at 52 weeks (±4 weeks).

Compliance with Ethics Guidelines

This study is based on previously conducted studies and does not involve any new studies of human participants. This study did not require ethical approval as it did not involve human participants or animal subjects.

Results

Study Selection

The flowchart of the selection process is reported in Figure 1.

Figure 1

Flowchart of studies meeting inclusion and exclusion criteria from literature review.

Our search resulted in 107 study titles that were screened for eligibility criteria.

Thirty-three papers were excluded based on failure to meet inclusion criteria, and 2 studies were ruled out on the basis of missing statistical parameters. The final analysis contained 105 heterogeneous patient populations described by 72 studies.14–80 The enrolled papers spanned 1 decade.

Study Characteristics

Characteristics of the 72 studies included for statistical analysis are shown in Table 1. All studies were composed of multiple heterogeneous study groups, which were treated as individual study populations in this analysis. A majority of studies were real-life/observational, which was defined as single‐arm interventional designs and retrospective chart reviews. One-hundred-five heterogeneous study populations were identified. The size of the study populations varied widely, ranging from 6 to 15,273 eyes, with a total of 45,032 eyes included. Mean baseline BCVA ranged from 31 to 85 ETDRS letters. Mean baseline CRT ranged from 306 to 701 μm. Seventy-two studies were individually scored for their methodological quality using the Downs and Black checklist. Scores for methodological quality ranged from 14 to 20, with an overall mean score of 17.1. Overall, reduced quality across studies can be attributed to inadequate reporting of blinding, loss to follow-up and characteristics of patients lost to follow-up, randomization, adjustment for confounding variables and estimates of random variability. Of the 72 studies included, 21 were randomized clinical trials, 22 were prospective cohort studies, and 29 were retrospective cohort studies.

Table 1

Study Characteristics

Study Type	RCT	Observational/Real-Life Studies	Prospective Studies	Retrospective Studies
Eyes (populations)	5404 (37)	39,628 (68)	5828 (61)	39,204 (44)
Drug	Ranibizumab	Aflibercept	Bevacizumab	Dexamethasone Implant
Eyes (populations)	12,322 (43)	10,767 (30)	19,067 (14)	2876 (18)
Regimen	Fixed	Pro-re-nata	Treat and Extend
Eyes (populations)	3831 (32)	12,210 (63)	333 (7)

Abbreviation: RCT, randomized controlled trial.

Meta‐Analysis

We found a high heterogeneity among included studies in this meta-analysis (I2 =96.542%; p < 0.001) and a random-effects model was chosen. A leave-one-out sensitivity analysis showed that none of the single studies had a significant effect on overall effect size. The meta-analysis showed an overall increase in BCVA at 12 months of +8.13 ETDRS letters (95% CI: 7.26–9.00) (Forest plot is available as ).

Meta‐Regression Analyses

Robust effect modification was found for several moderators. We employed a meta-regression approach to provide answers to clinically significant questions.

Is There a Difference Between Results from RCTs and Real-Life/Observational Studies?

Regression of difference in means on study type was not statistically significant (p=0.55), showing a coefficient of +0.55 ETDRS letters favouring RCTs over real-life/observational studies (CI 95%: −2.4; +1.3).

Is There a Difference Between Results from RCTs and Real-Life/Observational Studies When Analyzing Drug Classes?

Regression of difference in means on study type for each anti-VEGF was not statistically significant (p=0.35), showing a coefficient of +0.9 ETDRS letters favouring RCTs over real-life/observational studies (CI 95%: −2.7; +1.0). The same analysis performed for dexamethasone implant showed a trend for better results in real-life/observational studies over RCTs (coefficient +1.8 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −3.7; +7.3; p=0.5).

Considering Both RCTs and Real-Life/Observational Studies, Does the Treatment Regimen Influence the Outcome When Using Anti-VEGFs?

Regression of difference in means on regimen was statistically significant, favouring fixed regimen over pro-re-nata (PRN) regimen (coefficient +2.4 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.6; +4.1; p=0.009), and treat and extend regimen (coefficient +3.6 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.1; +7.2; p=0.043).

Does the Treatment Regimen Employed in Real-Life/Observational Studies Influence the Outcome When Using Anti-VEGFs?

When considering only real-life/observational studies, regression of difference in means on regimen was not statistically significant. A slight trend towards better results with fixed regimen over PRN regimen (coefficient +0.4 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −3.0; +3.9; p=0.8), and treat and extend regimen (coefficient +2.3 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −3.2; +7.6; p=0.4) was observed.

Fixed Regimen Produces Better Outcomes: Is This True for All Anti-VEGFs?

In ranibizumab-treated patients a trend towards better results for fixed regimen over PRN regimen (coefficient +0.7 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −2.2; +3.7; p=0.6), and treat and extend regimen (coefficient +2.1 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −3.2; +7.6; p=0.4) was observed. Similarly, aflibercept-treated populations showed better results in studies employing fixed regimen over PRN regimen (coefficient +1.8 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −1.3; +4.8; p=0.2), and treat and extend regimen (coefficient +4.5 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.4; +9.4; p=0.07). In bevacizumab-treated populations, regression of difference in means on regimen was not significantly different between fixed regimen and PRN regimen (coefficient +3.5 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.8; +7.9; p=0.1).

Does the Frequency of Treatments Influence the Outcomes When Using Anti-VEGFs?

Regression of difference in means on mean number of injections was highly statistically significant (coefficient +0.88 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.57; +1.19; p<0.0001).

Frequency of Injections Influences the Outcome: Is This True for All Anti-VEGFs?

When considering all anti-VEGF agents, regression of difference in means on mean number of injections was highly statistically significant (coefficient +0.88 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.56; +1.20; p<0.0001). For ranibizumab the coefficient is +1.08 ETDRS letters (CI 95%: +0.57; +1.59; p<0.0001). For bevacizumab the coefficient is +0.99 ETDRS letters (CI 95%: +0.56; +1.42; p<0.0001). Regression of difference in means on mean number of injections was not statistically significant for aflibercept (coefficient +0.40 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.22; +1.02; p=0.21).

Considering Both RCTs and Real-Life/Observational Studies, Which Drug Shows More Favorable Results in Literature?

Regression of difference in means on drug shows that the studies employing aflibercept reported significantly superior results over bevacizumab (coefficient +3.01 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.10; +5.92; p=0.04), and dexamethasone implant (coefficient +3.95 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +1.25; +6.65; p<0.01). The comparison with ranibizumab was not statistically significant (coefficient +2.01 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.12; +4.15; p=0.06).

Which Drug Shows More Favorable Outcomes in Literature, When Considering Only Real-Life/Observational Studies?

Regression of difference in means on drug shows that the real-life/observational studies employing aflibercept reported not significantly different results over ranibizumab (coefficient +2.15 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −1.22; +5.52; p=0.21), bevacizumab (coefficient +3.50 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.57; +7.57; p=0.09), and dexamethasone implant (coefficient +3.56 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.48; +7.61; p=0.08).

What are the Baseline Characteristics That Significantly Influence Visual Outcomes in Real-Life?

Regression of difference in means was significant on age (coefficient −0.54 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.85; −0.23; p<0.001), diabetes duration (coefficient +0.98 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +0.54; +1.43; p<0.0001), baseline BCVA (coefficient −0.32 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.46; −0.18; p<0.0001). Regression of difference in means on baseline CRT was not statistically significant (coefficient +0.31 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: −0.33; +0.94; p=0.34).

Publication Bias and Sensitivity Analysis

Visual inspection of funnel plots suggested an asymmetry in the meta-analysis. The presence of publication bias was also indicated by Egger’s linear regression (intercept = 1.89, p=0.03), but not by Begg’s rank correlation test (Kendall’s τ=0.07, p= 0.26). After adjustment of effect size for potential publication bias using the trim-and-fill correction, missing studies were imputed in the funnel plot, resulting in lower, albeit still highly significant estimate of pooled mean difference (adjusted = +4.7 ETDRS letters; CI 95%: +3.7; +5.7; p<0.0001). Meta-analysis techniques “one-study-removed”, used in the search for heterogeneity sources, and ‘cumulative meta-analysis’ (in inverted order of sample size), to assess the potential impact of a small-study effect, both showed negative results.

A sensitivity analysis in which studies were restricted to those published between 2010–2016 (41 populations, difference in means 8.391 CI95% 7.115–9.667), and studies published between 2017–2020 (64 populations, difference in means 7.975 CI95% 6.791–9.160) was performed. The results did not differ from the overall analysis.

Discussion

DME has long been recognized as a leading cause of vision loss in patients with diabetes. Extensive research has been underway for decades to understand the precise pathogenesis and potential treatment modalities to improve, stabilize and prevent DME.5 This study was performed to summarize the clinical evidence from RCTs and real-life/observational studies on visual outcomes of intravitreal pharmacologic approaches in the management of DME, obtaining a pooled estimate for visual acuity change from baseline to week 52. The current meta-analysis, consisting of 45,032 eyes, is the largest and most comprehensive investigation to date that seeks to sum up the 12-month efficacy of intravitreal ranibizumab, aflibercept, bevacizumab and dexamethasone implant in treating DME. Overall, our results support the use of these drugs as effective treatment options for the management of DME, demonstrating that significant vision amelioration is achievable. The results showed an overall increase in visual acuity of approximately +8 ETDRS letters following 12 months of intravitreal therapy. However, a high variability exists between studies, as shown by the large variance in pooled effect size (p heterogeneity, <0.001). To elaborate on this matter, RCTs and real-life/observational studies were stratified into separate analyses. RCTs were calculated to have a pooled increase in visual acuity of +8.47 letters (95% CI: 7.21–9.72) compared to baseline, and real-life/observational studies had pooled increase of +7.97 letters (95% CI: 6.70–9.24). Overall, no statistically significant difference in terms of BCVA was detected between RCTs and real-life studies and, as expected, we found a high variability in real-life results. Even when stratified by drug classes (anti-VEGF agents and dexamethasone), differences in 1-year BCVA change between RCTs and real-life/observational studies remain not significant. This is in contrast to previous studies reporting that the real-world DME treatment outcomes with anti-VEGFs are meaningfully worse than those from RCTs. Specifically, patients with DME experienced a mean 1-year BCVA gain of approximately +5 letters in a clinical setting, while in the DRCR.net Protocol T trial, vision improved by a mean of +13.3, +9.7 and +11.2 at 1 year for eyes treated with aflibercept, bevacizumab and ranibizumab, respectively.9,19,80–82

The essential idea in a meta-analysis is that the estimates of the effect from previous studies of interest are pooled together, estimating a study-specific true effect. The observed heterogeneity in the estimates is attributed to between-study heterogeneity in true effects, and within-study sampling error. For the above-mentioned reasons, we believe that a random-effects approach is the best method to be used in our meta-analysis and meta-regression.83

When considering the results with dexamethasone implant, the visual outcomes surprisingly showed a trend to better performance in real-life studies (+1.8 letters) than those observed in RCTs. Differences in DME duration and the possibility of retreating at an earlier stage in real life, as opposed to the fixed treatment regimens required for the larger RCT studies (every 6 months or 5 months) may explain this difference in results.46,84–88

Mounting evidence from the literature suggests that the frequency of anti-VEGF injections has an influence on the visual outcome when treating a DME patient.80,81,89,90 Our findings reinforce this assumption. Specifically, we found a statistically significant correlation between BCVA gain and the number of anti-VEGF injections. Each additional injection produces +0.88 letter gain at month 12. However, these findings are not homogeneous for all anti-VEGF drugs.

Aflibercept seems to be the less sensitive agent to the frequency of injections (coefficient +0.40 ETDRS letters per injection). Conversely, ranibizumab and bevacizumab seem to be more dependent on the number of injections given per year (bevacizumab coefficient +0.99, ranibizumab coefficient +1.08). This finding may be attributable to drug pharmacological properties and to the characteristics of the studies included in the analysis. Specifically, the variability in the number of injections is narrower in aflibercept studies than in those using ranibizumab and bevacizumab. This is mostly due to the fact that the majority of aflibercept studies use a proactive treatment scheduling (fixed or treat and extend) whereas a large proportion of the ranibizumab and bevacizumab studies apply a PRN approach which implies a larger variability in the number of injections. As known, the treatment regimen influences the final outcomes.89 In our meta-regression, we found a trend to better outcomes when employing a fixed treatment regimen. Administrative and logistic factors may hinder therapeutic efficacy of PRN treatment regimen in a real-life scenario. Difficulty in scheduling appointments for treatment and monitoring visits is just an example of a real-world factor that may result in inferior actual clinical outcomes. A recently published comparison of DME trials shows that fixed dosing regimens or strict PRN regimens with clear retreatment criteria help to maximize the gains in BCVA, leading to optimal outcomes for patients.9 In contrast, the results from trials with less strict PRN treatment criteria show diminished BCVA gains and fewer injections in year 1 compared with trials with more rigorous regimens.6,9,24,25

When looking for baseline characteristics that may influence the outcome, we noted that the 12-month change in BCVA negatively correlated with baseline BCVA in patients with DME, which is consistent with prior studies noting a negative correlation between baseline BCVA and long-term BCVA change.91,92 This has been described as a “ceiling effect” in which the visual acuity gained by anti-VEGF and dexamethasone implant use reaches a maximum over the time-course of treatment. Hence, patients with higher baseline visual acuity may experience a lesser degree of visual acuity gain due to starting with a visual acuity closer to the maximum benefit afforded by the treatment.93 Our meta-regression also revealed a decreasing trend in visual acuity change with increasing age. The negative correlation between age and BCVA change at 12 months observed is likely a manifestation of worsened outcomes at later age of presentation, when both the advanced progression of the disease and decreased response to treatment may result in inferior clinical outcomes. However, the correlation was not statistically significant which may be on account of the high variability between studies.

Strengths and Limitations

The present analysis has the following strengths: it provides an overview that is exhaustive and representative of the different therapeutic approaches used in clinical practice and in RCTs to manage patients with DME, we used a predefined search strategy and two independent reviewers conducted data extraction. Moreover, we conducted subgroup and sensitivity analysis. However, some important limitations should be noted. The main limitation of our meta-analysis is the quality of the included studies. Non-randomized studies exhibit a risk of bias. First, the heterogeneity among studies was high, possibly due to confounding variables as varying sample sizes, study designs, DME subtypes and treatment modalities. Actually, comparing RCTs with observational studies predisposes bias due to uncontrolled confounding. Moreover, this meta-analysis and meta-regression rely on papers which are not free from sample selection bias. In addition, the meta-analysis was based on aggregate data and not patient-level data, so it may be prone to ecological bias. Our findings are, consequently, an ecological association, based on aggregate measures in a highly selected population. They are not a causal association that can directly be extrapolated to an individual level. For these reasons, caution must be taken in assuming any particular form of quantitative relationship, which may change over time and with a greater number of studies. Summary estimates based on methodologically limited studies should not be over-interpreted and it must be noted that the best evidence synthesis to explore the impact of effect modifiers in a complex evidence network is a network meta-analysis. It allows both direct comparisons of interventions within randomized controlled trials and indirect comparisons across trials based on a common comparator.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the evidence for intravitreal therapy has been established in this meta-analysis to be highly favorable in the treatment of DME equally in clinical trials and real-world clinical settings. Frequent injections are required to preserve the outcomes of anti-VEGF therapy. Increased injection frequency and younger age demonstrates a trend with improved outcomes.