Anastasia Bougea1, Efthymia Efthymiopoulou1,2, Ioanna Spanou3, Panagiotis Zikos3. 1. First Department of Neurology, National and Kapodistrian University, Aiginition Hospital, Athens, Greece. 2. Maison Sofos Elderly Care Unit, Athens, Greece. 3. 251 General Air-Force Hospital, Athens, Greece.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to develop a machine learning algorithm based only on non-invasively clinic collectable predictors, for the accurate diagnosis of these disorders. METHODS: This is an ongoing prospective cohort study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT number NCT04448340) of 78 PDD and 62 DLB subjects whose diagnostic follow-up is available for at least 3 years after the baseline assessment. We used predictors such as clinico-demographic characteristics, 6 neuropsychological tests (mini mental, PD Cognitive Rating Scale, Brief Visuospatial Memory test, Symbol digit written, Wechsler adult intelligence scale, trail making A and B). We investigated logistic regression, K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NNs) Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes classifier, and Ensemble Model for their ability to predict successfully PDD or DLB diagnosis. RESULTS: The K-NN classification model had an accuracy 91.2% of overall cases based on 15 best clinical and cognitive scores achieving 96.42% sensitivity and 81% specificity on discriminating between DLB and PDD. The binomial logistic regression classification model achieved an accuracy of 87.5% based on 15 best features, showing 93.93% sensitivity and 87% specificity. The SVM classification model had an accuracy 84.6% of overall cases based on 15 best features achieving 90.62% sensitivity and 78.58% specificity. A model created on Naïve Bayes classification had 82.05% accuracy, 93.10% sensitivity and 74.41% specificity. Finally, an Ensemble model, synthesized by the individual ones, achieved 89.74% accuracy, 93.75% sensitivity and 85.73% specificity. CONCLUSION: Machine learning method predicted with high accuracy, sensitivity and specificity PDD or DLB diagnosis based on non-invasively and easily in-the-clinic and neuropsychological tests.
OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to develop a machine learning algorithm based only on non-invasively clinic collectable predictors, for the accurate diagnosis of these disorders. METHODS: This is an ongoing prospective cohort study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT number NCT04448340) of 78 PDD and 62 DLB subjects whose diagnostic follow-up is available for at least 3 years after the baseline assessment. We used predictors such as clinico-demographic characteristics, 6 neuropsychological tests (mini mental, PD Cognitive Rating Scale, Brief Visuospatial Memory test, Symbol digit written, Wechsler adult intelligence scale, trail making A and B). We investigated logistic regression, K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NNs) Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes classifier, and Ensemble Model for their ability to predict successfully PDD or DLB diagnosis. RESULTS: The K-NN classification model had an accuracy 91.2% of overall cases based on 15 best clinical and cognitive scores achieving 96.42% sensitivity and 81% specificity on discriminating between DLB and PDD. The binomial logistic regression classification model achieved an accuracy of 87.5% based on 15 best features, showing 93.93% sensitivity and 87% specificity. The SVM classification model had an accuracy 84.6% of overall cases based on 15 best features achieving 90.62% sensitivity and 78.58% specificity. A model created on Naïve Bayes classification had 82.05% accuracy, 93.10% sensitivity and 74.41% specificity. Finally, an Ensemble model, synthesized by the individual ones, achieved 89.74% accuracy, 93.75% sensitivity and 85.73% specificity. CONCLUSION: Machine learning method predicted with high accuracy, sensitivity and specificity PDD or DLB diagnosis based on non-invasively and easily in-the-clinic and neuropsychological tests.