| Literature DB >> 33532727 |
Laura Cabrera-Quiros1, Deedee Kommers1,2, Maria K Wolvers2, Laurien Oosterwijk2, Niek Arents3, Jacqueline van der Sluijs-Bens2, Eduardus J E Cottaar1, Peter Andriessen1,2, Carola van Pul1,4.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Prediction of late-onset sepsis (onset beyond day 3 of life) in preterm infants, based on multiple patient monitoring signals 24 hours before onset.Entities:
Keywords: infant; intensive care units; machine learning; monitoring; neonatal; physiologic; predictive value of tests; premature; sepsis
Year: 2021 PMID: 33532727 PMCID: PMC7846455 DOI: 10.1097/CCE.0000000000000302
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care Explor ISSN: 2639-8028
Figure 3.Accuracy per time interval of 1 hr, based on the machine learning model trained using 3-hr segment. Results for: A, logistic regressor. B, Naive Bayes classifier. C, Nearest mean classifier. In general, the accuracy of combining all features is superior than the accuracy of a single feature. CRASH = Cultures, Resuscitation, and Antibiotics Started Here, HRV = heart rate variability.
Evaluation Metrics (Mean ± sd per Fold) for the Classification of Proven Sepsis for Different Times Before Cultures, Resuscitation, and Antibiotics Started Here (or Equivalent Crash Moment), Using All Features and the 3-Hour Segment for Training
| Machine Learning Method | Time Before Cultures, Resuscitation, and Antibiotics Started Here | Accuracy | Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve | Sensitivity | Specificity | Precision (Positive Predictive Value) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic regressor | 0 hr | 0.71 ± 0.17 | 0.71 ± 0.12 | 0.68 ± 0.21 | 0.74 ± 0.19 | 0.74 ± 0.22 |
| 1 hr | 0.66 ± 0.16 | 0.66 ± 0.21 | 0.65 ± 0.22 | 0.68 ± 0.18 | 0.67 ± 0.16 | |
| 3 hr | 0.78 ± 0.07 | |||||
| 5 hr | 0.76 ± 0.16 | 0.76 ± 0.20 | 0.70 ± 0.18 | 0.73 ± 0.16 | ||
| Naive Bayes | 0 hr | 0.67 ± 0.10 | 0.67 ± 0.04 | 0.63 ± 0.14 | 0.71 ± 0.22 | 0.73 ± 0.19 |
| 1 hr | 0.62 ± 0.13 | 0.62 ± 0.06 | 0.53 ± 0.13 | 0.72 ± 0.22 | 0.69 ± 0.22 | |
| 3 hr | 0.71 ± 0.10 | 0.71 ± 0.05 | 0.68 ± 0.09 | 0.74 ± 0.15 | 0.73 ± 0.13 | |
| 5 hr | 0.69 ± 0.10 | 0.69 ± 0.08 | 0.66 ± 0.16 | 0.71 ± 0.15 | 0.69 ± 0.14 | |
| Nearest mean | 0 hr | 0.63 ± 0.10 | 0.63 ± 0.15 | 0.63 ± 0.14 | 0.64 ± 0.22 | 0.68 ± 0.19 |
| 1 hr | 0.72 ± 0.10 | 0.72 ± 0.09 | 0.68 ± 0.17 | 0.75 ± 0.08 | 0.73 ± 0.09 | |
| 3 hr | 0.70 ± 0.14 | 0.70 ± 0.19 | 0.67 ± 0.13 | 0.74 ± 0.19 | 0.73 ± 0.20 | |
| 5 hr | 0.68 ± 0.13 | 0.68 ± 0.15 | 0.66 ± 0.14 | 0.68 ± 0.17 | 0.68 ± 0.14 |
Sensitivity: true positive over total positives; specificity: true negatives over total negatives; and precision or positive predictive value: true positive over predicted positives.
Accuracy column has the same values as in Figure 3.
Boldface values indicate the best scores per column.
Figure 2.Time series analysis for late-onset sepsis (LOS) (red) and controls (green) for 32 matched patients (Online Figure I, Supplemental Digital Content, http://links.lww.com/CCX/A460; 62 and 69 patients of the total cohorts before matching). The value displayed at each timepoint is the average value of the last hour preceding that timepoint. * and ** correspond to a significant difference between LOS and with p < 0.05 and p < 0.01, respectively. As the greatest differences for various features were observed approximately 3 hr before Cultures, Resuscitation, and Antibiotics Started Here (CRASH), 3-hr segments were used for training the classifiers. ECG = electrocardiogram, pDec = percentage of decelerations, RespIDR = interdecile range of respiratory rate, RespSD = the sd of respiratory rate, RMSSD = square root of the mean of the squares of successive differences between adjacent normal-to-normal intervals, SDDec = the sd of RR interval corresponding to percentage of decelerations, SDNN = sd of the RR interval, SII = signal instability index, SII-IDR = interdecile range of the SII, SII-Skew = skewness of the SII.
Clinical Characteristics of the Late-Onset Sepsis and C Group After Matching for Gestational Age
| Characteristics | Late-Onset Sepsis ( | Controls ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gestational age (wk) | 28.8 ± 1.6 | 28.9 ± 1.5 | NS |
| Birth weight (g) | 1,149 ± 324 | 1,179 ± 298 | NS |
| Singletons | 21 (66%) | 23 (72%) | NS |
| Female gender | 16 (50%) | 21 (66%) | NS |
| Intrapartum maternal antibiotic treatment | 6 (19%) | 7 (22%) | NS |
| Antenatal corticosteroids (two doses of betamethasone) | 29 (91%) | 31 (97%) | NS |
| Cesarean section | 23 (72%) | 21 (66%) | NS |
| Umbilical artery Ph | 7.26 ± 0.12 | 7.28 ± 0.10 | NS |
| Apgar score 5 mina | 7 (6–8) | 8 (7–8) | NS |
| Surfactant replacement therapy | 17 (53%) | 18 (56%) | NS |
| Patent ductus arteriosus (ibuprofen) | 10 (31%) | 7 (22%) | NS |
| Patients with a central line in the 48 hr before CRASH | 12 (38%) | 7 (22%) | NS |
| CRASH or ECM in postnatal age (d) | 8.0 ± 5.6 | 6.9 ± 4.4 | NS |
| CRASH or ECM at postmenstrual age (wk) | 29.9 ± 1.3 | 29.9 ± 1.5 | NS |
| Caffeine therapy prior to CRASH | 31 (97%) | 31 (97%) | NS |
| Spontaneous ventilation prior to CRASH | 4 (13%) | 4 (13%) | NS |
| Nasal continuous positive airway pressure prior to CRASH | 26 (81%) | 28 (87%) | NS |
| Noninvasive positive airway pressure ventilation prior to CRASH | 2 (6%) | 0 (0%) | NS |
| Artificial ventilation prior to CRASH | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | NS |
| Mechanically ventilated after CRASH/ECM | 13 (41%) | 0 (0%) | < 0.01 |
| In-hospital mortality | 2 (6.3%) | 0 (%) | NS |
CRASH = Cultures, Resuscitation, and Antibiotics Started Here, ECM = equivalent crash moment, NS = not significant.
aThe Apgar score is a standard newborn status score ranging from 0 to 10, based on Appearance (skin color), Pulse, Grimace, Activity, and Respiration.
Categorical variables in n (%) and continuous variables are expressed as mean ± sd or median (interquartile range).
Paired Student t test, signed rank test, or Fisher exact test.