Jian Shen1, Feng Guo1, Yan Sun1, Dianyun Ren1, Jingyuan Zhao1, Jin Hu2, Yushun Zhang1, Xin Jin3, Heshui Wu4. 1. Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. 2. Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. 3. Cancer Center, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. 4. Department of Pancreatic Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China, heshuiwu@hust.edu.cn.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Postoperative complications after pancreatectomy are a challenging problem due to their high incidence and serious consequences. The majority of studies have focused on a specific complication, but data on predictors of overall postoperative complications (OPCs) are limited. METHODS: The data of patients who underwent pancreatectomy at a single institute between 2017 and 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to investigate predictors of the outcomes of interest. The Clavien-Dindo classification and comprehensive complication index (CCI) were used to assess postoperative complications and the severity of postoperative complications. The relationship between predictors and the CCI was evaluated by linear regression. RESULTS: A total of 490 patients were divided into a training group (n = 339) and a validation group (n = 151). The rate of OPCs was 44.25%. Fluid transfusion and albumin difference (AD) were predictors of OPCs. AD showed a good discrimination (AUC = 0.70) and good calibration in the validation cohort. AD was associated with complications, including pancreatic fistula, intra-abdominal hemorrhage, intra-abdominal infection, delayed gastric emptying, and re-intervention, and was positively correlated with complication severity. Intraoperative blood loss and preoperative albumin were independent predictors of AD. CONCLUSIONS: AD, a variable that reflects dynamic physiological changes is a new and accessible predictor of OPCs following pancreatectomy.
BACKGROUND:Postoperative complications after pancreatectomy are a challenging problem due to their high incidence and serious consequences. The majority of studies have focused on a specific complication, but data on predictors of overall postoperative complications (OPCs) are limited. METHODS: The data of patients who underwent pancreatectomy at a single institute between 2017 and 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to investigate predictors of the outcomes of interest. The Clavien-Dindo classification and comprehensive complication index (CCI) were used to assess postoperative complications and the severity of postoperative complications. The relationship between predictors and the CCI was evaluated by linear regression. RESULTS: A total of 490 patients were divided into a training group (n = 339) and a validation group (n = 151). The rate of OPCs was 44.25%. Fluid transfusion and albumin difference (AD) were predictors of OPCs. AD showed a good discrimination (AUC = 0.70) and good calibration in the validation cohort. AD was associated with complications, including pancreatic fistula, intra-abdominal hemorrhage, intra-abdominal infection, delayed gastric emptying, and re-intervention, and was positively correlated with complication severity. Intraoperative blood loss and preoperative albumin were independent predictors of AD. CONCLUSIONS:AD, a variable that reflects dynamic physiological changes is a new and accessible predictor of OPCs following pancreatectomy.