Literature DB >> 33510274

Pareto-based evaluation of national responses to COVID-19 pandemic shows that saving lives and protecting economy are non-trade-off objectives.

Marek Kochańczyk1, Tomasz Lipniacki2.   

Abstract

Countries worldwide have adopted various strategies to minimize the socio-economic impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Stringency of imposed measures universally reflects the standpoint from which protecting public health and avoiding damage to economy are seen as contradictory objectives. Based on epidemic trajectories of 25 highly developed countries and 10 US states in the (mobility reduction)-(reproduction number) plane we showed that delay in imposition of nation-wide quarantine elevates the number of infections and deaths, surge of which inevitably has to be suppressed by stringent and sustained lockdown. As a consequence, cumulative mobility reduction and population-normalized cumulative number of COVID-19-associated deaths are significantly correlated and this correlation increases with time. Overall, we demonstrated that, as long as epidemic suppression is the aim, the trade-off between the death toll and economic loss is illusory: high death toll correlates with deep and long-lasting lockdown causing a severe economic downturn.

Entities:  

Year:  2021        PMID: 33510274     DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-81869-2

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Sci Rep        ISSN: 2045-2322            Impact factor:   4.379


  1 in total

1.  Reply to: Concerns over calculating injury-related deaths associated with temperature.

Authors:  Robbie M Parks; James E Bennett; Helen Tamura-Wicks; Vasilis Kontis; Ralf Toumi; Goodarz Danaei; Majid Ezzati
Journal:  Nat Med       Date:  2020-11-16       Impact factor: 53.440

  1 in total
  4 in total

1.  Lives versus Livelihoods? Perceived economic risk has a stronger association with support for COVID-19 preventive measures than perceived health risk.

Authors:  Claudia F Nisa; Jocelyn J Bélanger; Daiane G Faller; Nicholas R Buttrick; Jochen O Mierau; Maura M K Austin; Birga M Schumpe; Edyta M Sasin; Maximilian Agostini; Ben Gützkow; Jannis Kreienkamp; Georgios Abakoumkin; Jamilah Hanum Abdul Khaiyom; Vjollca Ahmedi; Handan Akkas; Carlos A Almenara; Mohsin Atta; Sabahat Cigdem Bagci; Sima Basel; Edona Berisha Kida; Allan B I Bernardo; Phatthanakit Chobthamkit; Hoon-Seok Choi; Mioara Cristea; Sára Csaba; Kaja Damnjanović; Ivan Danyliuk; Arobindu Dash; Daniela Di Santo; Karen M Douglas; Violeta Enea; Gavan Fitzsimons; Alexandra Gheorghiu; Ángel Gómez; Joanna Grzymala-Moszczynska; Ali Hamaidia; Qing Han; Mai Helmy; Joevarian Hudiyana; Bertus F Jeronimus; Ding-Yu Jiang; Veljko Jovanović; Željka Kamenov; Anna Kende; Shian-Ling Keng; Tra Thi Thanh Kieu; Yasin Koc; Kamila Kovyazina; Inna Kozytska; Joshua Krause; Arie W Kruglanski; Anton Kurapov; Maja Kutlaca; Nóra Anna Lantos; Edward P Lemay; Cokorda Bagus Jaya Lesmana; Winnifred R Louis; Adrian Lueders; Najma Iqbal Malik; Anton Martinez; Kira O McCabe; Jasmina Mehulić; Mirra Noor Milla; Idris Mohammed; Erica Molinario; Manuel Moyano; Hayat Muhammad; Silvana Mula; Hamdi Muluk; Solomiia Myroniuk; Reza Najafi; Boglárka Nyúl; Paul A O'Keefe; Jose Javier Olivas Osuna; Evgeny N Osin; Joonha Park; Gennaro Pica; Antonio Pierro; Jonas Rees; Anne Margit Reitsema; Elena Resta; Marika Rullo; Michelle K Ryan; Adil Samekin; Pekka Santtila; Heyla A Selim; Michael Vicente Stanton; Samiah Sultana; Robbie M Sutton; Eleftheria Tseliou; Akira Utsugi; Jolien Anne van Breen; Caspar J Van Lissa; Kees Van Veen; Michelle R vanDellen; Alexandra Vázquez; Robin Wollast; Victoria Wai-Lan Yeung; Somayeh Zand; Iris Lav Žeželj; Bang Zheng; Andreas Zick; Claudia Zúñiga; N Pontus Leander
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2021-05-06       Impact factor: 4.379

2.  Aggressive containment, suppression, and mitigation of covid-19: lessons learnt from eight countries.

Authors:  Shishi Wu; Rachel Neill; Chuan De Foo; Alvin Qijia Chua; Anne-Sophie Jung; Victoria Haldane; Salma M Abdalla; Wei-Jie Guan; Sudhvir Singh; Anders Nordström; Helena Legido-Quigley
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2021-11-28

3.  Optimal non-pharmaceutical intervention policy for Covid-19 epidemic via neuroevolution algorithm.

Authors:  Arash Saeidpour; Pejman Rohani
Journal:  Evol Med Public Health       Date:  2022-01-28

Review 4.  The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: remaining uncertainties in our understanding of the epidemiology and transmission dynamics of the virus, and challenges to be overcome.

Authors:  Roy M Anderson; Carolin Vegvari; T Déirdre Hollingsworth; Li Pi; Rosie Maddren; Chi Wai Ng; Rebecca F Baggaley
Journal:  Interface Focus       Date:  2021-10-12       Impact factor: 3.906

  4 in total

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