Elizabeth Kwon1, Zachary Adams1, Dong-Chul Seo2. 1. Department of Psychiatry, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, United States. 2. Department of Applied Health Science, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington, IN, United States. Electronic address: seo@indiana.edu.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: To understand the heterogeneous longitudinal trends in adolescent nicotine product use risk, we investigated the trajectories and determinants of nicotine product use among adolescents. METHODS: Using Waves 1-4 (Years 2013-2018) data of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, we conducted group-based trajectory modeling to identify groups of individuals who followed homogeneous trajectories of nicotine product use risk over time and weighted multinomial logistic regression to examine relative risk ratios (RRRs) of different levels of predictors of group membership in each identified trajectory. RESULTS: For adolescents, who were 12-17 years old at baseline (N = 10,086), 5 trajectory groups emerged: (1) nonusers (73.7%); (2) stable low to moderate risk of developing poly use (5.0%); (3) gradual increase in risk of poly use (12.8%); (4) rapid linear increase in risk of poly use until Wave 3 and then plateauing for cigarettes or slightly diminishing for e-cigarettes and other tobacco products at Wave 4 (4.6%); and (5) stable moderate to high risk of poly use (3.9%). Adolescents who used social network services daily at Wave 1 were more likely to belong to each of the four trajectory groups compared to nonusers (RRRs ranging from 1.43 to 2.04). CONCLUSIONS: The current study findings imply that the majority of adolescents who initiated any nicotine product use have an elevated risk of transitioning to poly users. Risk and protective factors for different risk patterns are discussed.
INTRODUCTION: To understand the heterogeneous longitudinal trends in adolescent nicotine product use risk, we investigated the trajectories and determinants of nicotine product use among adolescents. METHODS: Using Waves 1-4 (Years 2013-2018) data of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, we conducted group-based trajectory modeling to identify groups of individuals who followed homogeneous trajectories of nicotine product use risk over time and weighted multinomial logistic regression to examine relative risk ratios (RRRs) of different levels of predictors of group membership in each identified trajectory. RESULTS: For adolescents, who were 12-17 years old at baseline (N = 10,086), 5 trajectory groups emerged: (1) nonusers (73.7%); (2) stable low to moderate risk of developing poly use (5.0%); (3) gradual increase in risk of poly use (12.8%); (4) rapid linear increase in risk of poly use until Wave 3 and then plateauing for cigarettes or slightly diminishing for e-cigarettes and other tobacco products at Wave 4 (4.6%); and (5) stable moderate to high risk of poly use (3.9%). Adolescents who used social network services daily at Wave 1 were more likely to belong to each of the four trajectory groups compared to nonusers (RRRs ranging from 1.43 to 2.04). CONCLUSIONS: The current study findings imply that the majority of adolescents who initiated any nicotine product use have an elevated risk of transitioning to poly users. Risk and protective factors for different risk patterns are discussed.
Authors: Melissa B Harrell; Baojiang Chen; Stephanie L Clendennen; Aslesha Sumbe; Kathleen R Case; Anna V Wilkinson; Alexandra Loukas; Cheryl L Perry Journal: Prev Med Date: 2021-06-01 Impact factor: 4.637
Authors: Kirsimarja Raitasalo; Elin K Bye; Charlotta Pisinger; Janne Scheffels; Rikke Tokle; Jaana M Kinnunen; Hanna Ollila; Arja Rimpelä Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health Date: 2022-01-07 Impact factor: 3.390